Tottenham vs Newcastle
Newcastle double sinks Tottenham
Two second-half strikes from Elanga and Wissa secure a solid away win.
Newcastle claimed a 2-0 victory at Tottenham with goals from A. Elanga and Y. Wissa after the break. The Magpies' clinical finishing in the second half proved decisive, leaving Spurs unable to respond. This result defied Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a Tottenham win, marking a notable upset in the Premier League clash.
Outcome probability
The new Premier League season kicks off with Tottenham facing Newcastle in what promises to be a closely contested encounter. Both sides have refreshed their squads over the summer, setting the stage for a competitive match as they look to start the campaign on a positive note.
Key facts
- 1.Tottenham have signed J. van Hecke and Mateus Fernandes ahead of the new season.
- 2.A. Devine has departed from Tottenham during the summer transfer window.
- 3.Newcastle have added L. Horníček, A. Dedić, and Sean Steur to their squad.
- 4.The predicted final score is Tottenham 2, Newcastle 1.
- 5.The match is the second round of the regular Premier League season.
- 6.Probabilities for home win, draw, and away win are closely matched, indicating a tight contest.
- 7.Newcastle finished last season with a better goal difference than Tottenham.
The context
Tottenham have bolstered their ranks with the arrivals of J. van Hecke and Mateus Fernandes, while parting ways with A. Devine. Newcastle, meanwhile, have strengthened their squad by signing L. Horníček, A. Dedić, and Sean Steur. These changes could play a crucial role in how both teams perform in this opening fixture.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Tottenham
Away — Newcastle
Analysis
The prediction leans towards a Tottenham win by a 2-1 margin, reflecting the highest combined probability among home win scorelines. The match is expected to be finely balanced, with probabilities for a home win, draw, and away win all close. Newcastle's superior goal difference from last season suggests they will provide stern resistance, but Tottenham's summer signings may give them the edge needed to clinch the victory.
Prediction
Expect Tottenham to narrowly overcome Newcastle with a 2-1 scoreline. The Lilywhites are favoured to start their season with a win, capitalising on their summer reinforcements and home advantage to secure all three points.
The verdict
While the match promises to be tight, Tottenham's slight advantage in squad strengthening and home conditions should see them through. Newcastle will no doubt push hard, but the Lilywhites are predicted to take the spoils in this season opener.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
van de Ven
Yellow Card
Nico González
Yellow Card
Elanga
Assist: Dedić
Gray
Robertson
Tel
Nico González
Willock
Wissa
Assist: Woltemade
Tonali
Botman
Yellow Card
Wissa
Elanga
Barnes
Match Statistics
Tottenham
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3A. RobertsonD
- 6J. van HeckeD
- 11M. TelM
- 14A. GrayD
- 16S. TonaliM
- 18Mateus FernandesM
- 22Omar MarmoushF
- 23Pedro PorroM
- 30R. BentancurM
- 31A. KinskýG
- 37M. van de VenD
Substitutes
- 5M. SenesiD
- 8C. GallagherM
- 13D. UdogieD
- 15L. BergvallM
- 19D. SolankeF
- 20M. KudusM
- 33B. DaviesD
- 39M. DúbravkaG
- 47M. MooreF
Newcastle
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3L. HallD
- 4S. BotmanD
- 6Nico GonzálezM
- 9Y. WissaF
- 11H. BarnesM
- 12M. ThiawD
- 19A. ElangaM
- 21L. HorníčekG
- 28J. WillockM
- 37A. DedićD
- 67L. MileyM
Substitutes
- 5F. SchärD
- 8A. BambaM
- 14Sean SteurM
- 17B. TouréF
- 23J. MurphyM
- 24E. JaouenG
- 27N. WoltemadeF
- 41J. RamseyM
- 51L. ShaharD
Tottenham
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateus Fernandes | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | — |
| J. van Hecke | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Solanke | F | 15 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Omar Marmoush | F | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3/4 |
| A. Robertson | D | 68 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. van de Ven | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Udogie | D | 22 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| R. Bentancur | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Tonali | M | 75 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| M. Moore | F | 22 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Pedro Porro | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 4 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| A. Gray | D | 68 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Kudus | M | 22 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| M. Tel | M | 68 | 6.0 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| A. Kinský | G | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Bergvall | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Dúbravka | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Senesi | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Davies | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Gallagher | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Newcastle
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Elanga | M | 82 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| A. Dedić | D | 90 | 8.0 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Y. Wissa | F | 82 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| L. Hall | D | 90 | 7.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| L. Horníček | G | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Thiaw | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Botman | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| L. Miley | M | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| J. Murphy | M | 8 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Willock | M | 71 | 6.8 | — | — | 3 | — | — | — |
| Nico González | M | 71 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Sean Steur | M | 19 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Ramsey | M | 8 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| H. Barnes | M | 93 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| N. Woltemade | F | 19 | 6.4 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| A. Bamba | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Touré | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Shahar | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Jaouen | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Schär | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Tottenham vs Newcastle?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Tottenham to win against Newcastle.
- What score did Fipster predict for Tottenham vs Newcastle?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Tottenham 2–1 Newcastle.
- What were the win probabilities for Tottenham vs Newcastle?
- Fipster's model gave Tottenham a 35% chance of winning, Newcastle a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.