Tottenham vs Leeds
Match recap
Tottenham and Leeds drew 1–1 in their Premier League fixture. Tel scored for Tottenham; Calvert-Lewin replied for Leeds. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.32 for Tottenham versus 1.26 for Leeds. Tottenham sit 17th in the Premier League table while Leeds are 14th.
Analysis
Tottenham host Leeds in what promises to be a closely contested Premier League fixture. Both teams have shown resilience this season, and with key players missing, a tight game is on the cards.
Tottenham sit 17th with 37 points, while Leeds are slightly better off in 14th with 43 points. Historically, Tottenham have dominated head-to-head clashes, winning six of eight meetings, but recent form and injuries level the playing field.
Leeds' Dominic Calvert-Lewin leads the scoring charts for his side with 12 goals and is in good form, posing a threat to Tottenham's defence. However, Tottenham's João Palhinha offers defensive solidity with his tackling prowess. Both teams have key absences—Tottenham's Richarlison and Xavi Simons are sidelined, which dampens their attacking threat. The match is expected to be cagey, with a modest goal return and a fair share of fouls leading to around four cards.
Prediction
The most likely outcome is a 1-1 draw, reflecting the balanced nature of the contest. The halftime score is expected to be goalless, with both sides cautious in the opening exchanges. Four cards are predicted, indicating a competitive but controlled match.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Richarlison and Xavi Simons Absences Weaken Tottenham Attack
Both key attackers are injured or suspended, reducing Tottenham's scoring threat.
Leeds' Calvert-Lewin vs Tottenham's Defensive Gaps
Calvert-Lewin's strong scoring form exploits Tottenham's defensive vulnerabilities and injuries.
Aaronson's Creative Influence Boosts Leeds' Chances
Aaronson's assist rate and recent form provide Leeds with a key playmaker advantage.
Leeds' Positive Scoring Streak Away from Home
Leeds have scored in 4 of last 5 away games, indicating good attacking momentum.
Palhinha's Defensive Role Crucial to Tottenham's Stability
Palhinha's tackling and interceptions are vital to counter Leeds' attack if fit.
Key Takeaways
In summary, Tottenham and Leeds are set for a stalemate, each cancelling out the other's strengths. Fans can expect a disciplined, tactical battle with moments of attacking promise but ultimately a shared point apiece.
- Tottenham have won 6 of 8 meetings against Leeds, with no draws historically.
- Head-to-head matches average 4.0 goals, suggesting an open game.
- Leeds rank 14th with 43 points; Tottenham are 17th with 37 points, indicating a close contest.
- Dominic Calvert-Lewin is Leeds' top scorer with 12 goals this season.
- Brenden Aaronson leads Leeds in assists with 5 this season.
- Tottenham's João Palhinha averages 3.38 tackles per game, key for defensive stability.
- Richarlison and Xavi Simons are unavailable for Tottenham due to injury and suspension.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Tottenham
Away — Leeds
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Danso
Yellow Card
Tel
Struijk
James
Aaronson
João Palhinha
Yellow Card
Penalty confirmed
Calvert-Lewin
Penalty
Rodon
Yellow Card
Bentancur
Pedro Porro
Yellow Card
Tel
Udogie
Tanaka
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | +44 | 85 |
| 13 |  Everton | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | -3 | 49 |
| 14 |  Leeds | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | -7 | 47 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | -10 | 45 |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | -3 | 44 |
| 17 |  Tottenham | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | -9 | 41 |
| 18 |  West Ham | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | -19 | 39 |
Match Statistics
Tottenham
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4K. DansoD
- 6João PalhinhaM
- 9RicharlisonF
- 11M. TelM
- 13D. UdogieD
- 22C. GallagherM
- 23Pedro PorroD
- 30R. BentancurM
- 31A. KinskýG
- 37M. van de VenD
- 39R. Kolo MuaniM
Substitutes
- 3R. DrăgușinD
- 8Y. BissoumaM
- 10J. MaddisonM
- 14A. GrayM
- 15L. BergvallM
- 24D. SpenceD
- 29P. SarrM
- 38SouzaD
- 40B. AustinG
Leeds
3-5-2Starting XI
- 4E. AmpaduM
- 5P. StruijkD
- 6J. RodonD
- 7D. JamesM
- 9D. Calvert-LewinF
- 11B. AaronsonF
- 15J. BijolD
- 18A. StachM
- 22A. TanakaM
- 24J. JustinM
- 26K. DarlowG
Substitutes
- 1Lucas PerriG
- 8S. LongstaffM
- 10J. PiroeF
- 14L. NmechaF
- 23S. BornauwD
- 25S. ByramD
- 29W. GnontoF
Tottenham
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonín Kinský | G | 90 | 8.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Porro | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2/5 |
| Mathys Tel | M | 85 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Conor Gallagher | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Rodrigo Bentancur | M | 81 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Destiny Udogie | D | 85 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Randal Kolo Muani | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/5 |
| Kevin Danso | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Richarlison | F | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| João Palhinha | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Micky van de Ven(C) | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Pape Matar Sarr | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Archie Gray | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Souza | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brandon Austin | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Radu Drăguşin | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yves Bissouma | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| James Maddison | M | 21 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Djed Spence | D | 21 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Bergvall | M | 9 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Leeds
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaka Bijol | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Ethan Ampadu(C) | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Karl Darlow | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| James Justin | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Pascal Struijk | D | 56 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Ao Tanaka | M | 89 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/3 |
| Joe Rodon | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Brenden Aaronson | F | 63 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/5 |
| Dominic Calvert-Lewin | F | 90 | 6.3 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Anton Stach | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| Daniel James | M | 63 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Lucas Perri | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sam Byram | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joël Piroe | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lukas Nmecha | F | 27 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Sean Longstaff | M | 13 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Wilfried Gnonto | F | 27 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Sebastiaan Bornauw | D | 34 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |