Tottenham vs Crystal Palace
Match recap
Tottenham beat Crystal Palace 2–0 in their Premier League fixture. Gray and van Hecke scored for Tottenham. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 3.31 for Tottenham versus 0.21 for Crystal Palace. Tottenham sit 8th in the Premier League table while Crystal Palace are 18th.
Outcome probability
Tottenham and Crystal Palace face off in the ninth round of the regular season, with both sides eager to improve their league standings. Tottenham, sitting 12th, look to leverage their attacking prowess against a Palace side struggling near the bottom.
Match factors
Tottenham's creative midfield edge
James Maddison and Sandro Tonali provide strong creative and scoring threat from midfield, outmatching Palace's midfield creativity
Home scoring form favors Tottenham
Tottenham averages 1.25 goals at home with a positive scoring streak, supporting predicted 3 goals
Palace's key attacker doubtful
Jørgen Strand Larsen is doubtful, capping his scoring probability and weakening Palace's attack
Mohammed Kudus' assist form
Kudus has 2 assists recently and strong home assist rate, likely to create chances for Tottenham
Defensive solidity from Jan van Hecke
Van Hecke's high passing accuracy and full match presence stabilize Tottenham's defense against Palace's attack
The context
This fixture sees Tottenham, nicknamed the Lilywhites, take on Crystal Palace, known as the Eagles. Tottenham currently hold a better league position and goal difference, while Palace have had a tougher start to the season. The head-to-head record favours Tottenham, who have won 13 of their last 20 encounters.
Key insights
James Maddison
Tottenham
Consistent goal threat with 1 goal in 5 recent games, providing creative spark from midfield.
Premier League 26/271 goal in 5 games, 144 mins avg
Mohammed Kudus
Tottenham
Top assister with 2 assists this season, strong home assist rate and creative role likely to create chances.
Premier League 26/272 assists in 6 games, 276 mins avg
- J
Jørgen Strand Larsen
Crystal Palace
Doubtful for match, capping his scoring probability and weakening Palace's attack.
Premier League 26/271 goal this season
Sandro Tonali
Tottenham
Creative midfielder with high passing accuracy (89%) and strong defensive stats, bolstering midfield control.
Premier League 26/271 assist in 7 games, 609 mins avg
Analysis
Tottenham's midfield creativity, led by James Maddison and Sandro Tonali, provides a clear tactical edge. Maddison's consistent scoring and Tonali's high passing accuracy and defensive work rate bolster Tottenham's chances. Meanwhile, Palace's key attacker Jørgen Strand Larsen is doubtful, which could blunt their offensive threat. Mohammed Kudus's assist form also suggests Tottenham will create plenty of chances. Defensively, Jan van Hecke's solidity will help contain Palace's attack.
Key facts
- 1.Tottenham have won 13 of 20 matches against Crystal Palace.
- 2.Average goals in head-to-head matches is 2.4, supporting a multi-goal game.
- 3.Tottenham rank 12th with 9 points; Crystal Palace 16th with 7 points.
- 4.Tottenham have a +6 goal difference advantage this season.
- 5.James Maddison has scored 1 goal in 5 recent games.
- 6.Mohammed Kudus has provided 2 assists this season.
- 7.Jørgen Strand Larsen is doubtful for Crystal Palace.
Prediction
The most probable outcome is a Tottenham win, with a halftime lead of 1-0 and a fulltime score of 3-1. The predicted four cards suggest a competitive but controlled match. Tottenham's superior goal difference and home scoring form support this forecast.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Tottenham
Away — Crystal Palace
The verdict
Expect Tottenham to assert their dominance and secure a comfortable victory over Crystal Palace. Their creative midfield and solid defence should see them through, while Palace will struggle to keep pace without their key attacker.
Prediction generated 25 Oct 2026, 15:58 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Card upgrade confirmed
Mateta
Red Card
Gray
Yellow Card
Gray
Assist: Kudus
Gray
Mingueza
Yellow Card
Yeremy Pino
Mingueza
Solanke
van Hecke
McNeil
Omar Marmoush
Robertson
Wharton
Tel
Kamada
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | +9 | 24 |
| 7 |  Bournemouth | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 8 |  Tottenham | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 |  Aston Villa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 12 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 |  Crystal Palace | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 7 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 6 |
Match Statistics
Tottenham
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3A. RobertsonD
- 6J. van HeckeD
- 11M. TelM
- 14A. GrayD
- 16S. TonaliM
- 18Mateus FernandesM
- 19D. SolankeF
- 20M. KudusM
- 22Omar MarmoushM
- 31A. KinskýG
- 37M. van de VenD
Substitutes
- 5M. SenesiD
- 8C. GallagherM
- 10J. MaddisonM
- 13D. UdogieD
- 21D. KulusevskiM
- 23Pedro PorroD
- 33B. DaviesD
- 39M. DúbravkaG
- 68L. Williams-BarnettM
Crystal Palace
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1D. HendersonG
- 3T. MitchellM
- 5A. DisasiD
- 6J. CanvotD
- 10Yeremy PinoM
- 11D. McNeilM
- 14J. MatetaF
- 18D. KamadaM
- 20A. WhartonM
- 26C. RichardsD
- 30Óscar MinguezaM
Substitutes
- 8J. LermaM
- 9E. NketiahF
- 19W. HughesM
- 24D. OsorioM
- 25A. KhalailiD
- 28C. DoucouréM
- 29E. GuessandF
- 33B. ChilwellD
- 44W. BenítezG
Tottenham
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. van Hecke | D | 90 | 8.6 | 1 | — | 5 | 2 | 3 | — |
| A. Robertson | D | 77 | 8.0 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 3 | — |
| M. van de Ven | D | 90 | 7.8 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| M. Kudus | M | 90 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 3 | — | 3 | 5/9 |
| Pedro Porro | D | 44 | 7.6 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | — |
| A. Gray | D | 46 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. Tonali | M | 90 | 7.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Mateus Fernandes | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 3 | — | 4 | 0/1 |
| M. Tel | M | 88 | 7.2 | — | — | 4 | — | 4 | 6/10 |
| Omar Marmoush | M | 77 | 7.2 | — | — | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3/3 |
| L. Williams-Barnett | M | 2 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| D. Kulusevski | M | 13 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| C. Gallagher | M | 24 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — |
| D. Udogie | D | 13 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| D. Solanke | F | 66 | 6.6 | — | — | 4 | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Kinský | G | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Senesi | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Davies | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Dúbravka | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Maddison | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Crystal Palace
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Henderson | G | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Canvot | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| C. Richards | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Kamada | M | 88 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| A. Disasi | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| T. Mitchell | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| E. Nketiah | F | 30 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Khalaili | D | 30 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| D. McNeil | M | 77 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| D. Osorio | M | 13 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W. Hughes | M | 2 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Yeremy Pino | M | 60 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| A. Wharton | M | 88 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Óscar Mingueza | M | 60 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Mateta | F | 13 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| J. Lerma | M | 2 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Doucouré | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W. Benítez | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Guessand | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Chilwell | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Tottenham vs Crystal Palace?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Tottenham to win against Crystal Palace.
- What score did Fipster predict for Tottenham vs Crystal Palace?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Tottenham 3–1 Crystal Palace.
- What were the win probabilities for Tottenham vs Crystal Palace?
- Fipster's model gave Tottenham a 95% chance of winning, Crystal Palace a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.