Tottenham vs Coventry
Tottenham outgun Coventry in Premier League clash
Spurs secure a 3-1 victory with goals from Maddison, Marmoush, and Davies.
Tottenham took an early lead through J. Maddison before Coventry's J. Rudoni briefly levelled after the break. However, Spurs pulled away with goals from Omar Marmoush and a stoppage-time strike by B. Davies to seal a 3-1 win. This result defied Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a Coventry upset, proving the home side too strong on the day.
Outcome probability
Tottenham and Coventry face off in what promises to be a closely contested fixture. Both sides have struggled for wins so far this season, making this a crucial match for momentum.
Match factors
Tottenham's key midfielders excel in passing and defense
Tonali and van Hecke show passing accuracy and defensive stats well above league averages, aiding ball retention and disruption
Solanke's recent away goal boosts scoring chances
Solanke scored recently away with good minutes and shot involvement, increasing his likelihood to score again
Coventry's top scorer is a defender, indicating limited attacking threat
Jay Dasilva is Coventry's only top scorer with 1 goal, suggesting limited forward options and reliance on defense
No confirmed injuries for either team, full squads expected
Both teams have no confirmed outs, so all top scorers and assisters remain eligible and likely to play
The context
Tottenham sit 18th in the league with just three points from six games, having yet to secure a win. Coventry are just below them in 19th place, with three points from five games and a single victory. Both teams have shown defensive resilience but lack cutting edge in attack.
Key insights
Sandro Tonali
Tottenham
Tonali's passing accuracy of 88% and defensive contributions help Tottenham retain possession and disrupt Coventry's play.
Premier League 26/2788% passing accuracy, 2 tackles/game, 65% duel win rate
- D
Dominic Solanke-Mitchell
Tottenham
Solanke's recent away goal and involvement in shots increase his chances to score again despite limited minutes.
Premier League 26/271 goal in 6 appearances, 0.17 goals/game
Jay Dasilva
Coventry
As Coventry's only top scorer and a defender, Dasilva highlights the team's reliance on defence rather than attack.
Premier League 26/271 goal in 5 appearances, 0.2 goals/game
Analysis
The probabilities slightly favour an away win for Coventry, despite their low league standing. Tottenham's top scorer Dominic Solanke-Mitchell has shown some promise with a recent away goal, but Coventry's Jay Dasilva, a defender, is their only top scorer, highlighting their limited attacking threat. Tottenham's midfielders Sandro Tonali and Jan van Hecke excel in passing and defensive stats, but Coventry's defensive organisation could frustrate them. The predicted 1-0 scoreline reflects a tight match with few clear chances.
Key facts
- 1.Tottenham are 18th in the league with 3 points from 6 games (W0 D3 L3).
- 2.Coventry are 19th with 3 points from 5 games (W1 D0 L4).
- 3.Dominic Solanke-Mitchell is Tottenham's top scorer with 1 goal in 6 games.
- 4.Jay Dasilva is Coventry's only top scorer with 1 goal in 5 games.
- 5.Sandro Tonali boasts an 88% passing accuracy and strong defensive stats.
- 6.Jan van Hecke has a 92% passing accuracy and averages 1.8 tackles per game.
- 7.The most probable full-time score is 0-1 in favour of Coventry.
- 8.Total cards predicted for the match are 3.
Prediction
Expect Coventry to nick a narrow 1-0 victory. The away side's defensive solidity and ability to capitalise on limited opportunities should be enough to overcome Tottenham, who have struggled to convert chances this season.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Tottenham
Away — Coventry
The verdict
This fixture is finely balanced but leans towards Coventry pulling off a surprise win. Tottenham will need to improve their attacking output to avoid another frustrating result.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 23:19 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Maddison
Assist: Kudus
Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi
Yellow Card
Solanke
Yellow Card
Dasilva
Yellow Card
Rudoni
Assist: Thomas-Asante
Omar Marmoush
Assist: Robertson
Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi
Cherif
Rudoni
Yellow Card
Robertson
Maddison
Adarabioyo
Sakamoto
Thomas-Asante
Kudus
Rudoni
Omar Marmoush
Davies
Assist: Solanke
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +10 | 21 |
| 7 |  Bournemouth | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 8 |  Tottenham | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 |  Hull City | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 14 |  Everton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 |  Coventry | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -7 | 9 |
| 16 |  Fulham | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
Match Statistics
Tottenham
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3A. RobertsonD
- 4T. AdarabioyoD
- 6J. van HeckeD
- 10J. MaddisonM
- 14A. GrayM
- 16S. TonaliM
- 19D. SolankeF
- 20M. KudusM
- 22Omar MarmoushM
- 31A. KinskýG
- 37M. van de VenD
Substitutes
- 5M. SenesiD
- 8C. GallagherM
- 11M. TelF
- 18Mateus FernandesM
- 21D. KulusevskiM
- 33B. DaviesD
- 39M. DúbravkaG
- 68L. Williams-BarnettM
Coventry
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2E. PinnockD
- 3J. DasilvaD
- 4B. ThomasD
- 5J. RudoniM
- 6M. GrimesM
- 7T. SakamotoM
- 8Caleb Marfo YirenkyiM
- 19C. RushworthG
- 23B. Thomas-AsanteM
- 27M. van EwijkD
- 49S. CherifF
Substitutes
- 9E. SimmsF
- 10E. Mason-ClarkM
- 12S. MfuniD
- 14T. AwoniyiF
- 16F. OnyekaM
- 20K. Kesler-HaydenD
- 25D. BentleyG
- 29V. TorpM
- 38G. HamerM
Tottenham
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Maddison | M | 69 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Omar Marmoush | M | 87 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | 0/3 |
| M. Kudus | M | 87 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 2 | 2/3 |
| B. Davies | D | 21 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| A. Robertson | D | 69 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| J. van Hecke | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| S. Tonali | M | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| T. Adarabioyo | D | 71 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. van de Ven | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Mateus Fernandes | M | 19 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| D. Solanke | F | 90 | 6.7 | — | 1 | 3 | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| A. Gray | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 2/3 |
| C. Gallagher | M | 21 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Tel | F | 3 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| D. Kulusevski | M | 3 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| A. Kinský | G | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| M. Dúbravka | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Senesi | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Williams-Barnett | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Coventry
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Rudoni | M | 87 | 6.8 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/4 |
| B. Thomas-Asante | M | 78 | 6.7 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | 1/4 |
| E. Pinnock | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| S. Cherif | F | 60 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| M. Grimes | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Thomas | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| T. Awoniyi | F | 30 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | — | — | — |
| M. van Ewijk | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| G. Hamer | M | 12 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| E. Mason-Clark | M | 12 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| F. Onyeka | M | 30 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| K. Kesler-Hayden | D | 3 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Sakamoto | M | 78 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi | M | 60 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| C. Rushworth | G | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Dasilva | D | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| D. Bentley | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Mfuni | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Torp | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Simms | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Tottenham vs Coventry?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Coventry to win against Tottenham.
- What score did Fipster predict for Tottenham vs Coventry?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Tottenham 0–1 Coventry.
- What were the win probabilities for Tottenham vs Coventry?
- Fipster's model gave Tottenham a 32% chance of winning, Coventry a 35% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.