Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia
Torreense snatch thrilling late win
Two stoppage-time goals seal a dramatic 3-2 victory over Ararat-Armenia.
Torreense edged out Ararat-Armenia 3-2 in a pulsating UEFA Europa League encounter, with Jorge Aguirre opening the scoring early on. Ararat-Armenia fought back through K. Muradyan and Bruno Wilson, but Torreense's resilience shone through with Javi Vázquez and M. Drammeh netting in stoppage time to clinch the win. Fipster's medium-confidence prediction for a home win was spot on, even if the exact scoreline was more dramatic than expected.
Outcome probability
This Group Stage encounter between Torreense and Ararat-Armenia promises a competitive fixture as both sides look to assert themselves early in the competition. Torreense, playing at home, will be keen to leverage their advantage and secure vital points.
Match factors
No key injuries affecting lineups
Both teams have no confirmed injuries, so full squads available for selection.
Ararat-Armenia's recent scoring consistency
Ararat-Armenia scored in their last two matches, showing positive scoring momentum.
Torreense favored to win at home
Prediction confidence favors Torreense with a 2-1 win, indicating home advantage despite limited data.
Limited player-level data restricts individual predictions
No top scorers or assisters listed for either team, limiting ability to identify key individual contributors.
The context
Ararat-Armenia have played two matches in this competition so far, boasting a record of one win and one draw, scoring twice and conceding once. Their recent knockout success includes a 1-0 home victory against Universitatea Craiova in the Play-offs. Torreense's form in this competition is less documented, but the home advantage and statistical edge suggest they are favourites to claim the win.
Key facts
- 1.Torreense are predicted to win 2-1 at home against Ararat-Armenia.
- 2.Ararat-Armenia have played 2 matches in this competition with a record of W1 D1 L0.
- 3.Ararat-Armenia scored 2 goals and conceded 1 in their group matches so far.
- 4.Ararat-Armenia recently won 1-0 at home in the Play-offs against Universitatea Craiova.
- 5.Both teams have no confirmed injuries and full squads available for selection.
- 6.The predicted total number of cards in the match is 4.
Analysis
The aggregate probabilities favour a home win for Torreense at around 43%, with the most likely scoreline being 2-1. This suggests a closely contested match where Torreense's home advantage could tip the scales. Ararat-Armenia have shown scoring consistency in their recent matches, which indicates they will not be pushovers. Both teams have full squads available, so expect a competitive and tactical battle.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Torreense
Away — Ararat-Armenia
Prediction
We predict Torreense to clinch a 2-1 victory in this Group Stage match. The home side's slight edge in probabilities and the likelihood of a narrow scoreline make this the most plausible outcome. Expect a game with a few goals and some competitive spirit from both sides.
The verdict
In summary, Torreense's home advantage and the statistical outlook point towards a 2-1 win over Ararat-Armenia. While the visitors have shown good form, the home side should just about have enough to take the points in this encounter.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Aguirre
Assist: Javi Vázquez
Card upgrade confirmed
Aguirre
Red Card
Zoabi
Muradyan
Assist: Shaghoyan
Bruno Wilson
Yellow Card
Feltes
Yellow Card
Muradyan
Yellow Card
Oliveira
Yellow Card
Bruno Wilson
Assist: Serobyan
Manu Pozo
Mutombo
Shaghoyan
Oliveira
João Bravim
Red Card
João Marques
Jean
Serobyan
Nersesyan
Yellow Card
Balanta
França
Yellow Card
Oliveira
Drammeh
Yellow Card
Javi Vázquez
Assist: Bruno
Drammeh
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sparta Praha | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 24 |  Real Sociedad | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 |  Torreense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 |  Union St. Gilloise | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 35 |  AC Milan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
Match Statistics
Torreense
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Lucas PaesG
- 4Volnei FeltesD
- 5M. DiadieD
- 7D. JeanM
- 8Alejandro AlfaroM
- 11Manu PozoM
- 14Jorge AguirreF
- 19K. ZoabiM
- 23Javi VázquezD
- 33João MarquesM
- 45J. MutomboD
Substitutes
- 2StopiraD
- 3Juan María AlcedoD
- 6A. OudrhiriM
- 17M. DrammehF
- 21Nuha JattaM
- 22David BrunoD
- 26André SimõesM
- 29L. QuinteroF
- 31AdrielG
- 44S. HenriksenG
Ararat-Armenia
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2Hugo OliveiraD
- 7Z. ShaghoyanM
- 8J. BalantaM
- 16E. GrigoryanD
- 19K. MuradyanM
- 43Bruno WilsonD
- 47A. MalisD
- 70B. OliveiraM
- 77A. SerobyanM
- 91Sandro LimaF
- 98João BravimG
Substitutes
- 1A. NersesyanG
- 5Luís FelipeD
- 9A. EloyanM
- 10A. AmbartsumyanM
- 11Zidane BanjaquiM
- 13K. HovhannisyanD
- 14Bruno PereiraD
- 17M. CarlierM
- 20A. TeraM
- 25A. NdourF
- 95FrançaF
Torreense
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javi Vázquez | D | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | — |
| M. Drammeh | F | 54 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Paes | G | 90 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jorge Aguirre | F | 25 | 7.0 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| David Bruno | D | 24 | 6.8 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | — |
| L. Quintero | F | 24 | 6.6 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 |
| Volnei Feltes | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alejandro Alfaro | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| Manu Pozo | M | 66 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| João Marques | M | 76 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| J. Mutombo | D | 66 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| M. Diadie | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| D. Jean | M | 76 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| A. Oudrhiri | M | 14 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Zoabi | M | 36 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juan María Alcedo | D | 14 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| André Simões | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nuha Jatta | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adriel | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Henriksen | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stopira | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Ararat-Armenia
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Shaghoyan | M | 68 | 7.6 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 4 | 1/3 |
| Bruno Wilson | D | 90 | 7.0 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| J. Balanta | M | 80 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Hugo Oliveira | D | 85 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 |
| K. Muradyan | M | 90 | 6.7 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2/3 |
| A. Serobyan | M | 79 | 6.6 | — | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2/2 |
| França | F | 22 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| A. Malis | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sandro Lima | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| E. Grigoryan | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| B. Oliveira | M | 68 | 6.2 | — | — | 3 | — | 2 | — |
| Zidane Banjaqui | M | 22 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| K. Hovhannisyan | D | 10 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Carlier | M | 5 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Bravim | G | 76 | 5.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Nersesyan | G | 11 | 4.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Eloyan | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luís Felipe | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Pereira | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Ambartsumyan | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Ndour | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Tera | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Torreense to win against Ararat-Armenia.
- What score did Fipster predict for Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Torreense 2–1 Ararat-Armenia.
- What were the win probabilities for Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia?
- Fipster's model gave Torreense a 48% chance of winning, Ararat-Armenia a 26% chance, and a 26% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 48% confidence — a medium-confidence call.