Toronto FC vs Nashville SC
Toronto FC edge Nashville in tight contest
A nervy win sealed by a stoppage-time strike keeps Toronto's hopes alive.
Toronto FC secured a narrow 2-1 victory over Nashville SC in Major League Soccer, with an early own goal by N. Dorsch giving Toronto the initial lead. D. Sallói doubled the advantage after the break before Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga wrapped up the win deep into stoppage time. Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a 2-1 home win proved accurate, though the late drama added extra spice to the outcome.
Outcome probability
Toronto FC and Nashville SC face off in what promises to be a closely contested MLS regular season match. Both teams have shown moments of quality this season, but Toronto's recent home scoring form could be the difference.
Match factors
Toronto FC's home scoring streak vs Nashville's defense
Toronto FC has scored in all last 5 home games, leveraging Sallói and Sargent's form against Nashville's defense.
Nashville's superior defensive record
Nashville concedes only 0.74 goals per game on average, significantly better than Toronto's 1.83, indicating defensive solidity.
Sargent's recent scoring surge
Joshua Sargent has scored 4 goals in his last 5 matches, showing strong finishing form at home.
Mukhtar and Espinoza's creative partnership
Hany Mukhtar and Cristian Espinoza combine for 15 assists this season, key to Nashville's attacking threat.
Full squad availability for both teams
No confirmed injuries or suspensions for either team, allowing full-strength lineups and tactical flexibility.
The context
This fixture is part of the 2026 MLS regular season, round 24. Toronto FC have been consistent at home, scoring in all their last five home games. Nashville SC boast a strong defensive record, conceding fewer than one goal per game on average, making this a tactical battle between attacking flair and defensive solidity.
Key insights
Joshua Sargent
Toronto FC
Top scorer for Toronto FC with strong recent goal form, scoring 4 goals in last 5 matches.
Major League Soccer 26/2713 apps, 3 goals this season, 4 goals last 5 games
Dániel Sallói
Toronto FC
Consistent goal and assist contributor with 6 goals and 3 assists this season, influential at home.
Major League Soccer 26/2720 apps, 6 goals, 3 assists this season
Hany Mukhtar
Nashville SC
Creative leader with 10 goals and 6 assists, excellent recent form with multiple goal contributions.
Major League Soccer 26/2722 apps, 10 goals, 6 assists this season
Analysis
Toronto FC's attacking duo, Joshua Sargent and Dániel Sallói, have been in fine form, combining for multiple goals and assists this season. Sargent, in particular, has netted four goals in his last five matches, making him a key threat. Nashville's Hany Mukhtar and Cristian Espinoza provide creative spark, with a combined 15 assists this season, but Nashville's defence, anchored by Maxwell Woledzi, has been tough to break down. The prediction leans towards a narrow home win, with Toronto likely to lead 1-0 at halftime before Nashville pulls one back, only for Toronto to clinch it late.
Key facts
- 1.Toronto FC have scored in all their last 5 home games.
- 2.Nashville SC concede only 0.74 goals per game on average this season.
- 3.Joshua Sargent has scored 4 goals in his last 5 matches for Toronto FC.
- 4.Dániel Sallói has contributed 6 goals and 3 assists this season.
- 5.Hany Mukhtar and Cristian Espinoza combine for 15 assists this season for Nashville SC.
- 6.No confirmed injuries or suspensions for either team.
- 7.Prediction favours a 2-1 home win with a 1-0 halftime lead.
- 8.Three total cards expected in the match.
Prediction
Expect Toronto FC to take the lead by halftime, capitalising on their home scoring streak. Nashville SC will respond, but Toronto's attacking edge should see them through to a 2-1 victory. The match is likely to feature a few cards, reflecting the competitive nature of the encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Toronto FC
Away — Nashville SC
The verdict
While the prediction favours Toronto FC, the low confidence in this call suggests a finely balanced contest. Fans can anticipate an entertaining match with key players on both sides influencing the outcome. A 2-1 scoreline seems a fitting result for this MLS showdown.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Dorsch (OG)
Morgan
Kuscevic
Gilman
Saad
Dorsch
Sallói
Assist: Corbeanu
Lovitz
Tagseth
Sargent
Espinoza
Aristizábal Chavarriaga
Assist: Sallói
Match Statistics
Toronto FC
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1L. GavranG
- 6N. DorschM
- 9J. SargentF
- 11D. EtienneM
- 13B. KuscevicD
- 14Alonso CoelloM
- 20D. SallóiF
- 22R. LaryeaD
- 25W. ZimmermanD
- 38J. GilmanD
- 90L. MorganM
Substitutes
- 3Matheus PereiraD
- 7T. CorbeanuF
- 12Z. MonlouisD
- 15N. GomisD
- 17Emilio Aristizábal ChavarriagaF
- 19K. FranklinD
- 23W. YarbroughG
- 44R. EdwardsD
- 71M. CimermancicM
Nashville SC
4-3-3Starting XI
- 2D. LovitzD
- 3M. WoledziD
- 5J. MaherD
- 7C. EspinozaF
- 9S. SurridgeF
- 10H. MukhtarF
- 11E. SaadM
- 16M. CorcoranM
- 20E. TagsethM
- 27R. Baker-WhitingD
- 99B. SchwakeG
Substitutes
- 1J. WillisG
- 4J. PalaciosD
- 6B. AcostaM
- 8P. YazbekM
- 14S. MohammedM
- 19A. MuylM
- 22J. BauerD
- 31A. NajarD
- 37A. QasemF
Toronto FC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Sallói | F | 90 | 8.8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga | F | 15 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| T. Corbeanu | F | 31 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | — |
| R. Laryea | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| L. Gavran | G | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alonso Coello | M | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1/1 |
| B. Kuscevic | D | 59 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| L. Morgan | M | 59 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1/3 |
| D. Etienne | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| W. Zimmerman | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| J. Sargent | F | 75 | 6.4 | — | — | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2/5 |
| N. Gomis | D | 31 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matheus Pereira | D | 31 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Gilman | D | 59 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Cimermancic | M | 20 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| N. Dorsch | M | 70 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| R. Edwards | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W. Yarbrough | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Z. Monlouis | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Franklin | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nashville SC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Woledzi | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2/2 |
| E. Saad | M | 66 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0/1 |
| B. Schwake | G | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Corcoran | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| J. Maher | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Lovitz | D | 74 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| R. Baker-Whiting | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Tagseth | M | 74 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| S. Surridge | F | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| A. Najar | D | 16 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Qasem | F | 24 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Mohammed | M | 3 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Yazbek | M | 16 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Mukhtar | F | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| C. Espinoza | F | 87 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| B. Acosta | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Willis | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Muyl | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Bauer | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Palacios | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |