Toronto FC vs Columbus Crew
Match recap
Toronto FC beat Columbus Crew 2–1 in their Major League Soccer fixture. Cifuentes and Zimmerman scored for Toronto FC; Abou Ali replied for Columbus Crew. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.91 for Toronto FC versus 0.68 for Columbus Crew.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
4-2 Toronto FC win
Actual
2–1
Outcome probability
Toronto FC and Columbus Crew face off in what promises to be an entertaining MLS regular season match. Both teams have shown attacking intent, but Toronto FC's home form and creative midfield edge could prove decisive.
Match factors
Toronto FC's attacking midfield strength
Dániel Sallói's dual threat as top scorer and assister gives Toronto FC a creative edge in midfield.
Joshua Sargent's home scoring form
Sargent has scored 3 goals in last 6 home games, above league average striker home scoring rate.
Columbus Crew's away scoring streak
Columbus Crew have scored in all last 5 away games, showing strong offensive momentum on the road.
Diego Rossi's goal threat
Rossi's 6 goals in 15 games and key forward role make him a primary scoring threat for Columbus Crew.
Dániel Sallói's assist creativity
Sallói's 6 assists this season highlight his role as a key playmaker for Toronto FC.
The context
This fixture is part of the 2026 MLS regular season, round 5. Toronto FC have demonstrated solid home performances, while Columbus Crew have maintained a consistent scoring streak on the road. The teams have met 19 times previously, with Columbus holding a slight edge in wins.
Key insights
Dániel Sallói
Toronto FC
Sallói's dual role as top scorer and assister gives Toronto FC a creative edge in midfield.
Major League Soccer 26/277 goals and 6 assists this season in MLS 2026
Joshua Sargent
Toronto FC
Sargent's strong home scoring form makes him a key offensive threat for Toronto FC.
Major League Soccer 26/273 goals in last 6 home games, 7 goals in 21 appearances this season
- D
Diego Rossi Marachlian
Columbus Crew
Rossi's goal threat is crucial for Columbus Crew's attack.
Major League Soccer 26/276 goals in 15 appearances this season
Analysis
Toronto FC's attacking midfield strength, led by Dániel Sallói who tops both scoring and assisting charts for his team, provides a creative advantage. Joshua Sargent's strong home scoring form adds to their offensive threat. Columbus Crew rely heavily on Diego Rossi's goal threat and have scored in all their last five away games, indicating offensive momentum. However, Toronto's ability to convert chances and maintain pressure is expected to tip the scales.
Key facts
- 1.Toronto FC have won 5 of 19 previous meetings against Columbus Crew, who have won 8, with 6 draws.
- 2.Dániel Sallói leads Toronto FC with 7 goals and 6 assists this season, highlighting his creative and scoring role.
- 3.Joshua Sargent has scored 3 goals in his last 6 home games, showing strong form at home.
- 4.Columbus Crew have scored in all their last 5 away games, demonstrating consistent offensive threat on the road.
- 5.Diego Rossi is a key attacking player for Columbus Crew with 6 goals in 15 appearances this season.
Prediction
We predict a home win for Toronto FC with a final scoreline of 4-2. The halftime score is expected to be 2-1, consistent with the fulltime outcome. The match is likely to see around four cards, reflecting a competitive but fair contest.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Toronto FC
Away — Columbus Crew
The verdict
In summary, Toronto FC's combination of home advantage, creative midfield play, and clinical finishing should secure them a 4-2 victory over Columbus Crew. Fans can expect an entertaining match with plenty of goals and competitive spirit.
Prediction generated 11 Oct 2026, 19:11 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Abou Ali
Assist: Arfsten
Herrera
Yellow Card
Chambost
Yellow Card
Sargent
Cifuentes
Assist: Sallói
Chambost
Habroune
Kerr
Cifuentes
Arfsten
Zimmerman
Assist: Mihailović
Zimmerman
Yellow Card
Rossi
André Gomes
Coello
Thiaré
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
Toronto FC
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1L. GavranG
- 8J. CifuentesF
- 9J. SargentF
- 13B. KuscevicD
- 14Alonso CoelloM
- 20D. SallóiF
- 21J. OsorioM
- 22R. LaryeaD
- 25W. ZimmermanD
- 29D. KerrM
- 44R. EdwardsM
Substitutes
- 6K. ThompsonM
- 10D. MihailovićM
- 11D. EtienneF
- 12Z. MonlouisD
- 17Emilio Aristizábal ChavarriagaF
- 19K. FranklinD
- 23W. YarbroughG
- 71M. CimermancicM
- 78Malik HenryM
Columbus Crew
4-4-2Starting XI
- 2M. HerreraD
- 7D. ChambostM
- 9W. Abou AliF
- 10D. RossiM
- 16T. HabrouneF
- 18M. AmundsenD
- 20André GomesM
- 25S. ZawadzkiD
- 27M. ArfstenM
- 28P. SchulteG
- 31S. MoreiraD
Substitutes
- 1N. HagenG
- 4R. CamachoD
- 8D. GazdagM
- 14A. SejdićM
- 17S. BangouraM
- 19J. ThiaréF
- 21Y. CheberkoD
- 30H. PicardM
- 90N. AxundzadəF
Toronto FC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walker Zimmerman | D | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| José Cifuentes | F | 75 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Luka Gavran | G | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Richie Laryea | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/5 |
| Alonso Coello | M | 89 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Deandre Kerr | M | 75 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Benjamin Kuscevic | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Raheem Edwards | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Jonathan Osorio(C) | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Dániel Sallói | F | 90 | 6.6 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 |
| Josh Sargent | F | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Kosi Thompson | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| William Yarbrough | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Derrick Etienne Junior | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kobe Franklin | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Markus Cimermancic | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zane Monlouis | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Đorđe Mihailović | M | 45 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Malik Henry | M | 15 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emilio Aristizábal | F | 15 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Columbus Crew
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malte Amundsen | D | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Patrick Schulte | G | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maximilian Arfsten | M | 81 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 3/4 |
| Wessam Abou Ali | F | 90 | 6.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | 1/4 |
| Diego Rossi | M | 88 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 3/6 |
| Sean Zawadzki(C) | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dylan Chambost | M | 66 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Taha Habroune | F | 66 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Steven Moreira | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Marcelo Herrera | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1/2 |
| André Gomes | M | 88 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Yevhen Cheberko | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Amar Sejdic | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicholas Hagen | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dániel Gazdag | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sekou Tidiany Bangoura | M | 10 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Hugo Picard | M | 9 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Nariman Akhundzade | F | 10 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Jamal Thiaré | F | 24 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rudy Camacho | D | 24 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Toronto FC vs Columbus Crew?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Toronto FC to win against Columbus Crew.
- What score did Fipster predict for Toronto FC vs Columbus Crew?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Toronto FC 4–2 Columbus Crew.
- What were the win probabilities for Toronto FC vs Columbus Crew?
- Fipster's model gave Toronto FC a 82% chance of winning, Columbus Crew a 9% chance, and a 9% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 82% confidence — a high-confidence call.