Torino vs Sassuolo
Match recap
Torino beat Sassuolo 2–1 in their Serie A fixture. Simeone and Pedersen scored for Torino; Thorstvedt replied for Sassuolo. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 2.82 for Torino versus 2.10 for Sassuolo. Torino sit 12th in the Serie A table while Sassuolo are 11th.
Analysis
Torino host Sassuolo in what promises to be a closely contested Serie A fixture. Both teams have shown resilience this season, and with key players missing or suspended, a tight game is on the cards.
Torino sit 13th in the league with 41 points, while Sassuolo are a bit higher at 9th with 49 points. Historically, these sides have drawn nearly half their meetings, suggesting a well-matched contest. Torino's home scoring form is decent, but Sassuolo's away performances have been inconsistent.
Torino's attack is slightly weakened due to the suspension of Vlašić and injury concerns for Simeone, their top scorer. Sassuolo's Laurienté, their main creative force, poses a significant threat with his recent assist form. Defensively, Pedersen's contributions for Sassuolo will be crucial to contain Torino's home threat. The expected goals difference is minimal, supporting a draw outcome.
Prediction
The prediction is a 1-1 draw, with a halftime scoreline of 0-0. The match is expected to be competitive with both sides finding the net once. A total of four cards is anticipated, reflecting a moderately physical game.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Torino's Attack Weakened by Key Absences
Simeone and Vlašić injuries/suspensions reduce Torino's scoring options significantly.
Laurienté's Creativity vs Torino's Defense
Laurienté's high assist rate and recent form pose a threat to Torino's backline.
Torino's Strong Home Scoring Form
Torino scores 1.4 goals per home game, above league average, boosting scoring chances.
Sassuolo's Mixed Away Form
Sassuolo's away scoring is decent but inconsistent, impacting their goal threat away.
Defensive Stability Key for Torino
Pedersen and Maripán's defensive and assist contributions crucial to contain Sassuolo attack.
Key Takeaways
Given the balanced history and current squad situations, a draw seems the most likely outcome. Both teams will be eager to avoid defeat, making this a tactical and cautious affair with moments of attacking promise.
- Torino and Sassuolo have drawn 9 of their 20 meetings, indicating a balanced matchup.
- Average goals in head-to-head matches is 2.9, supporting a moderate scoring draw.
- Sassuolo ranks higher (9th) than Torino (13th) in the league standings.
- Torino scores an average of 1.4 goals per home game, above the league average.
- Laurienté leads Sassuolo with 8 assists this season, key to their creativity.
- Simeone is Torino's top scorer with 10 goals, but injury concerns linger.
- Vlašić, Torino's second top scorer, is currently suspended for this match.
- Prediction confidence stands at 37% for a 1-1 draw outcome.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Torino
Away — Sassuolo
No standout top scorers flagged for Sassuolo
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Lipani
Yellow Card
Thorstvedt
Assist: Lipani
Marianucci
Yellow Card
Lazaro
Njie
Lipani
Prati
Yellow Card
Volpato
Simeone
Assist: Ebosse
Prati
Pedersen
Assist: Zapata
Doig
Pinamonti
Matić
Obrador
Simeone
Thorstvedt
Yellow Card
Nkounkou
Yellow Card
Gineitis
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
Torino
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1A. PaleariG
- 4M. PratiM
- 10N. VlašićF
- 18G. SimeoneF
- 20V. LazaroM
- 23Saúl CocoD
- 33Rafael ObradorM
- 35Luca MarianucciD
- 66G. GineitisM
- 77E. EbosseD
- 92A. NjieF
Substitutes
- 6E. İlkhanM
- 8I. IlićM
- 13G. MaripánD
- 16M. PedersenD
- 17S. KulenovićF
- 19C. AdamsF
- 22C. CasadeiM
- 25N. NkounkouD
- 34C. BiraghiD
- 61A. TamèzeM
- 81F. IsraelG
- 84T. GabelliniF
- 91D. ZapataF
- 99L. SivieroG
Sassuolo
4-3-3Starting XI
- 3J. DoigD
- 6S. WalukiewiczD
- 7C. VolpatoF
- 18N. MatićM
- 25W. CoulibalyD
- 35L. LipaniM
- 42K. ThorstvedtM
- 45A. LaurientéF
- 49A. MurićG
- 80T. MuharemovićD
- 99A. PinamontiF
Substitutes
- 8M'Bala NzolaF
- 10D. BerardiF
- 12G. SatalinoG
- 16G. ZacchiG
- 19F. RomagnaD
- 23U. GarciaD
- 24L. MoroF
- 33C. FrangellaM
- 40A. VranckxM
- 44E. IannoniM
- 50D. BakolaM
- 66Pedro FelipeD
- 90I. KonéM
Torino
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alberto Paleari | G | 95 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Giovanni Simeone | F | 86 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Gvidas Gineitis | M | 95 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2/2 |
| Enzo Ebosse | D | 95 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | — |
| Luca Marianucci | D | 95 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Valentino Lazaro | M | 59 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1/1 |
| Saúl Coco | D | 95 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nikola Vlašić(C) | F | 95 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Alieu Njie | F | 59 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Rafael Obrador | M | 86 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| Matteo Prati | M | 67 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Guillermo Maripán | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Che Adams | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adrien Tameze | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cristiano Biraghi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ivan Ilić | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Franco Israel | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cesare Casadei | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zanos Savva | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tommaso Gabellini | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lapo Siviero | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Duván Zapata | F | 36 | 8.0 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| Marcus Pedersen | D | 36 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Emirhan İlkhan | M | 28 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Niels Nkounkou | D | 9 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Sandro Kulenović | F | 9 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Sassuolo
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristian Thorstvedt | M | 95 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2/3 |
| Woyo Coulibaly | D | 95 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Luca Lipani | M | 63 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Nemanja Matić(C) | M | 84 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cristian Volpato | F | 63 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 4 | — |
| Sebastian Walukiewicz | D | 95 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arijanet Murić | G | 95 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tarik Muharemović | D | 95 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Armand Laurienté | F | 95 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Andrea Pinamonti | F | 76 | 6.2 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Josh Doig | D | 75 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Aster Vranckx | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Giacomo Satalino | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Filippo Romagna | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luca Moro | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Edoardo Iannoni | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gioele Zacchi | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Felipe | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Christian Frangella | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ulisses Garcia | D | 20 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Darryl Bakola | M | 11 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Ismael Koné | M | 32 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M'bala Nzola | F | 19 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Domenico Berardi | F | 32 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |