Torino vs Juventus
Match recap
Torino and Juventus drew 2–2 in their Serie A fixture. Casadei and Adams scored for Torino; Vlahović and Vlahović replied for Juventus. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.85 for Torino versus 2.03 for Juventus. Torino sit 12th in the Serie A table while Juventus are 6th.
Analysis
The Turin derby is set to light up the Serie A finale, with Torino hosting Juventus in what promises to be a tightly contested affair. Both teams have plenty to play for, but the Bianconeri's superior form and tactical edge make them favourites to claim all three points.
Juventus have a strong record against Torino, winning 13 of their last 20 encounters without defeat. Currently sitting 6th with 68 points, they hold a clear advantage over 12th-placed Torino, who have 44 points. The absence of Juventus' top scorer K. Yıldız due to injury adds an intriguing twist, while Torino will rely heavily on G. Simeone's home scoring prowess.
Torino's defensive line is weakened by the suspension of G. Maripán, which could be exploited by Juventus' attackers despite missing Yıldız. Simeone remains a potent threat at home, boasting a goal per game average on his turf. Juventus' defensive solidity, conceding fewer goals on average, and their superior points per game suggest they will manage to edge the match, likely pulling ahead by halftime and holding on for a narrow win.
Prediction
Expect Juventus to lead 2-0 at halftime, with Torino pulling one back in the second half to make it a nervy finish. The final scoreline of 2-1 in favour of the away side reflects Juventus' ability to control the game and capitalise on Torino's defensive vulnerabilities. Four cards are anticipated, reflecting the derby's intensity but not detracting from the quality of football.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Juventus missing key attacker K. Yıldız
Yıldız leads Juventus in goals and assists but is out injured, reducing their attacking options.
Torino's reliance on G. Simeone at home
Simeone's strong home scoring form (1.0 goals/game) makes him a focal point against Juventus defense.
Juventus' superior defensive record
Juventus concedes fewer goals (0.86 avg) than Torino (1.65), indicating defensive solidity advantage.
Torino's recent home scoring streak
Torino has scored in last 5 home games, showing attacking momentum at home.
Torino's defensive stalwart absence
Maripán's suspension weakens Torino's defense, potentially exploitable by Juventus attackers.
Key Takeaways
In summary, Juventus' historical dominance, combined with their tactical discipline and Torino's defensive absences, points to a hard-fought but ultimately successful trip for the Bianconeri. Torino will fight valiantly, especially with Simeone leading the charge, but the visitors' experience should see them through to victory.
- Juventus have won 13 of the last 20 Turin derbies against Torino, with no wins for Torino.
- Juventus average 1.84 points per game this season, compared to Torino's 1.19.
- Juventus boast a +27 goal difference, while Torino have a -19 goal difference.
- Torino's G. Maripán is suspended, weakening their defensive line.
- Juventus' K. Yıldız, top scorer and assist provider, is injured and will miss the match.
- G. Simeone has a strong home scoring record, averaging 1.0 goals per game at home.
- Torino have scored in their last five home games, showing attacking momentum.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Torino
Away — Juventus
No standout top scorers flagged for Juventus
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Vlahović
Assist: Thuram
Gineitis
Vlahović
Assist: Conceição
Zapata
Casadei
Assist: Obrador
Vlahović
İlkhan
Cambiaso
Obrador
Kalulu
Yellow Card
Pedersen
Thuram
Conceição
Boga
Adams
Zhegrova
Yellow Card
Ebosse
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
Torino
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 1A. PaleariG
- 6E. İlkhanM
- 10N. VlašićF
- 16M. PedersenM
- 18G. SimeoneF
- 23Saúl CocoD
- 33Rafael ObradorM
- 44A. IsmajliD
- 66G. GineitisM
- 77E. EbosseD
- 91D. ZapataF
Substitutes
- 4M. PratiM
- 8I. IlićM
- 17S. KulenovićF
- 19C. AdamsF
- 20V. LazaroD
- 22C. CasadeiM
- 25N. NkounkouD
- 34C. BiraghiD
- 61A. TamèzeM
- 81F. IsraelG
- 84T. GabelliniF
- 92A. NjieF
- 93M. PelliniD
- 99L. SivieroG
Juventus
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1M. PerinG
- 4F. GattiD
- 5M. LocatelliM
- 6L. KellyD
- 7Francisco ConceiçãoF
- 9D. VlahovićF
- 13J. BogaF
- 15P. KaluluD
- 19K. ThuramM
- 22W. McKennieM
- 27A. CambiasoM
Substitutes
- 2E. HolmD
- 8T. KoopmeinersM
- 10K. YıldızF
- 11E. ZhegrovaF
- 14A. MilikF
- 16M. Di GregorioG
- 17Vasilije AdžićM
- 18F. KostićM
- 20L. OpendaF
- 21F. MirettiM
- 23C. PinsoglioG
- 30J. DavidF
- 32J. CabalD
Torino
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Vlašić | F | 96 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Ardian Ismajli | D | 96 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Enzo Ebosse | D | 96 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Rafael Obrador | M | 63 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Gvidas Gineitis | M | 45 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Duván Zapata(C) | F | 56 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Alberto Paleari | G | 96 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcus Pedersen | M | 69 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Emirhan İlkhan | M | 63 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Giovanni Simeone | F | 96 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Saúl Coco | D | 96 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Adrien Tameze | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Valentino Lazaro | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cristiano Biraghi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sandro Kulenović | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ivan Ilić | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Franco Israel | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tommaso Gabellini | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lapo Siviero | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mattia Pellini | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cesare Casadei | M | 51 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Niels Nkounkou | D | 33 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/4 |
| Alieu Njie | F | 33 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 3/3 |
| Che Adams | F | 40 | 6.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| Matteo Prati | M | 27 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Juventus
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dušan Vlahović | F | 62 | 8.0 | 2 | — | 4 | 2 | 3 | — |
| Manuel Locatelli(C) | M | 96 | 7.9 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| Andrea Cambiaso | M | 63 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jérémie Boga | F | 78 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Khéphren Thuram | M | 70 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Mattia Perin | G | 96 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Weston McKennie | M | 96 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Federico Gatti | D | 96 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Pierre Kalulu | D | 96 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Lloyd Kelly | D | 96 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Francisco Conceição | F | 70 | 6.2 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Michele Di Gregorio | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arkadiusz Milik | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carlo Pinsoglio | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Filip Kostić | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Loïs Openda | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juan Cabal | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vasilije Adžić | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kenan Yıldız | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Edon Zhegrova | F | 18 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| Fabio Miretti | M | 26 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emil Holm | D | 33 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Teun Koopmeiners | M | 26 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jonathan David | F | 34 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |