Switzerland vs Algeria
Switzerland secures solid win over Algeria
Early strike and swift second-half goal seal a 2-0 victory for the Swiss.
Switzerland took control early with B. Embolo's goal in the 10th minute and doubled their lead right after the break through D. Ndoye. The 2-0 scoreline reflects a composed performance that kept Algeria at bay throughout. Fipster's prediction of a Swiss win was spot on, though the model slightly overestimated Algeria's reply.
Analysis
Switzerland face Algeria in the Round of 32 at the FIFA World Cup 2026, both teams eager to progress in this knockout stage. Switzerland lead their group with seven points from three games, while Algeria have yet to secure their place in the knockout rounds.
Switzerland bring a wealth of experience with 12 prior World Cup appearances and a best finish of quarter-finals in 1934, 1938, and 1954. Algeria have appeared four times before, reaching the Round of 16 in 2014. Both teams qualified directly, with Algeria topping their qualifying group with 25 points and Switzerland leading theirs with 14 points.
Switzerland hold a strong squad calibre advantage, boasting 23 of their 26 players in top-five European leagues, including notable names like defender Manuel Akanji of Inter and attacker Breel Embolo of Rennes. Algeria, while respectable, have 11 players in top-five leagues, including Nabil Bentaleb of Lille. Switzerland's recent form is slightly better, averaging 2.333 points per game over the last 12 months compared to Algeria's 2.0. This edge in quality and form suggests a narrow Swiss victory, though Algeria's defensive resilience and creative midfielders like Riyad Mahrez could keep the contest tight.
Prediction
We predict Switzerland to take a 1-0 lead by halftime and hold on for a 2-1 victory by fulltime. The match is expected to be competitive, with an estimated three total cards reflecting typical knockout stage discipline. Confidence in this prediction stands at 85%, favouring Switzerland's superior squad and recent performances.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Switzerland's Home Scoring Momentum
Switzerland scores heavily at home with key players Manzambi and Embolo in strong form, likely to exploit Algeria's defensive vulnerabilities.
Algeria's Defensive Pressure via Aït-Nouri
Aït-Nouri's high tackle rate and duel success could disrupt Switzerland's midfield rhythm, balancing the contest.
Manzambi's Exceptional Recent Goal Form
Manzambi's 6 goals in last 3 games, especially at home, indicate a hot streak that could decide the match.
Algeria Missing Key Attacker Amoura
Absence of Amoura reduces Algeria's attacking depth, increasing reliance on Gouiri and Benbouali.
Mahrez's Creative Influence for Algeria
Mahrez's set-piece and assist ability provide Algeria with crucial chances against a strong Swiss defense.
Key Takeaways
This Round of 32 encounter promises a closely fought battle, but Switzerland's blend of quality and form should see them through. Algeria will provide stern resistance, but the Swiss are expected to edge this one and advance to the next round.
- Switzerland have 12 prior World Cup appearances with a best finish of quarter-finals (1934, 1938, 1954).
- Algeria have 4 prior World Cup appearances, best finish Round of 16 (2014).
- Switzerland qualified directly, topping their group with 14 points and +12 goal difference.
- Algeria qualified directly, topping their group with 25 points and +16 goal difference.
- Switzerland field 23 players in top-five European leagues, compared to Algeria's 11.
- Switzerland's recent form yields 2.333 points per game; Algeria's is 2.0.
- Switzerland lead their group with 7 points from 3 games; Algeria have 3 points from 2 games and are third in their group.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Switzerland
Away — Algeria
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
FIFA world ranking
Embolo
Assist: Manzambi
Chaïbi
Yellow Card
Ndoye
Aouar
Zerrouki
Bentaleb
Vargas
Manzambi
Mahrez
Boudaoui
Yellow Card
Belghali
Embolo
Ndoye
Zakaria
Match Statistics
Switzerland
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1G. KobelG
- 4N. ElvediD
- 5M. AkanjiD
- 6D. ZakariaD
- 7B. EmboloF
- 8R. FreulerM
- 9J. ManzambiM
- 10G. XhakaM
- 11D. NdoyeM
- 13R. RodríguezD
- 17R. VargasM
Substitutes
- 2M. MuheimD
- 3S. WidmerD
- 12Y. MvogoG
- 14A. JashariM
- 15D. SowM
- 16C. FassnachtM
- 18E. CömertD
- 19N. OkaforF
- 20M. AebischerM
- 21M. KellerG
- 22F. RiederM
- 23Z. AmdouniF
- 24A. AmendaD
- 26C. IttenF
Algeria
4-3-3Starting XI
- 2A. MandiD
- 6R. ZerroukiM
- 7R. MahrezF
- 8H. AouarF
- 10F. ChaïbiM
- 15R. Aït-NouriD
- 17R. BelghaliD
- 19N. BentalebM
- 21R. BensebaïniD
- 22I. MazaF
- 23L. ZidaneG
Substitutes
- 1M. MastilG
- 3A. AbadaD
- 4M. TougaiD
- 5Z. BelaïdD
- 9A. GouiriF
- 11A. Hadj-MoussaF
- 13J. HadjamD
- 14H. BoudaouiM
- 16O. BenbotG
- 20A. BoulbinaF
- 24Y. TitraouiM
- 25F. GhedjemisF
- 26S. CherguiD
Switzerland
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Ndoye | M | 87 | 8.1 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/3 |
| B. Embolo | F | 83 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| M. Akanji | D | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| J. Manzambi | M | 71 | 7.5 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 3/6 |
| R. Rodríguez | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| N. Elvedi | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| D. Zakaria | D | 87 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2/5 |
| S. Widmer | D | 3 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Xhaka | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Freuler | M | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| F. Rieder | M | 19 | 6.8 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| M. Aebischer | M | 3 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Okafor | F | 19 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| G. Kobel | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Vargas | M | 71 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 3/6 |
| Z. Amdouni | F | 7 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Fassnacht | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Jashari | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Amenda | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Keller | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Sow | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Itten | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Muheim | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Mvogo | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Cömert | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Algeria
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Aït-Nouri | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3/5 |
| A. Mandi | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Bensebaïni | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Belghali | D | 82 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| N. Bentaleb | M | 71 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| J. Hadjam | D | 32 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 3/4 |
| R. Zerrouki | M | 58 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Mahrez | F | 71 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| F. Chaïbi | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0/2 |
| A. Hadj-Moussa | F | 19 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| A. Gouiri | F | 32 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Boulbina | F | 8 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| H. Aouar | F | 58 | 6.1 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| I. Maza | F | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 1/2 |
| L. Zidane | G | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Boudaoui | M | 19 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Benbot | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Z. Belaïd | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Tougai | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Chergui | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Mastil | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Titraoui | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Ghedjemis | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Abada | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |