Swansea vs West Ham
Mukasa's strike seals West Ham win
A solitary goal from D. Mukasa handed West Ham a narrow victory at Swansea.
West Ham edged out Swansea 1-0 thanks to D. Mukasa's first-half goal at 34 minutes. Despite Fipster's high-confidence prediction favouring a Swansea win, the visitors managed to defy expectations and secure all three points with a disciplined performance.
Outcome probability
Swansea and West Ham face off in what promises to be a lively encounter in the regular season. Both teams have shown solid form, but Swansea's home advantage and attacking prowess give them the upper hand.
Match factors
Swansea's attacking trio in strong recent form
Idah and Yeo have combined for 7 goals in last 5 games, boosting Swansea's scoring potential at home.
West Ham's defensive solidity led by Mavropanos
Mavropanos' high duel win rate and tackling provide a defensive edge against Swansea's attackers.
Jarrod Bowen's recent scoring and assisting spree
Bowen's 7 goals and 4 assists in recent matches make him West Ham's key offensive threat.
Swansea's home scoring consistency
Swansea averages 1.4 goals per home game with a 44% clean sheet rate, supporting predicted home win.
West Ham missing key midfielder Lamadrid
Lamadrid's confirmed absence weakens West Ham's midfield creativity and depth for this match.
The context
Swansea currently lead the league with 23 points from 10 games, showcasing consistent performances. West Ham sit fifth with 16 points from 9 games, trailing but still competitive. This match is a key test for both sides as they look to maintain or improve their league positions.
Key insights
Adam Idah
Swansea
Top scorer for Swansea with 4 goals, showing strong home scoring form with 3 goals in 5 home games, making him a key threat.
Championship 26/274 goals in 9 appearances, 0.44 goals/game
Moussa Yeo
Swansea
Consistent goal scorer with 3 goals in 9 games and high defensive work rate, contributing both offensively and defensively.
Championship 26/273 goals in 9 appearances, 0.33 goals/game
- J
Jarrod Bowen
West Ham
Leading scorer and assist provider for West Ham with 7 goals and 4 assists recently, posing the main offensive threat.
Championship 26/277 goals in recent matches
Analysis
Swansea's attacking duo, Adam Idah and Moussa Yeo, have been in fine form, combining for seven goals in the last five games. Their home scoring consistency, averaging 1.4 goals per game with a 44% clean sheet rate, bodes well for the hosts. West Ham's defensive efforts, led by Konstantinos Mavropanos with a strong duel win rate, will be tested. However, the absence of key midfielder Lamadrid weakens West Ham's midfield creativity. Jarrod Bowen remains West Ham's main offensive threat, with seven goals and four assists recently, but Swansea's overall form and home advantage are likely to prevail.
Key facts
- 1.Swansea lead the league with 23 points from 10 games (W7 D2 L1).
- 2.West Ham are fifth with 16 points from 9 games (W4 D4 L1).
- 3.Swansea average 2.30 points per game, higher than West Ham's 1.78.
- 4.Adam Idah is Swansea's top scorer with 4 goals in 9 appearances.
- 5.Jarrod Bowen has 7 goals and 4 assists recently for West Ham.
- 6.Swansea average 1.4 goals per home game with a 44% clean sheet rate.
- 7.West Ham's Konstantinos Mavropanos has a 66% duel win rate and 3 goals this season.
- 8.West Ham's Lamadrid is out, weakening their midfield creativity.
Prediction
We predict Swansea to take a 1-0 lead by halftime and hold on to win 2-1 by full time. The match is expected to be competitive with around four cards shown, reflecting the intensity of the contest.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Swansea
Away — West Ham
No standout top scorers flagged for West Ham
The verdict
Swansea's strong league position and attacking form make them favourites to claim all three points. West Ham will provide a stern challenge, but the home side's consistency and key player performances should see them through to a narrow victory.
Prediction generated 14 Oct 2026, 20:54 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Mukasa
Assist: Kanté
Mukasa
Yellow Card
Fulton
Okopu
Pablo
Kanté
Gonçalo Franco
Stamenić
Yeo
Castellanos
Yellow Card
Solomon
Mukasa
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +10 | 25 |
| 3 |  Stoke City | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 23 |
| 4 |  Swansea | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 23 |
| 5 |  West Ham | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +17 | 22 |
| 6 |  Wolves | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 21 |
Match Statistics
Swansea
4-3-3Starting XI
- 4J. FultonM
- 5B. CabangoD
- 6M. StamenićM
- 14J. TymonD
- 17Gonçalo FrancoM
- 22L. VigourouxG
- 23S. WelshD
- 30Joseph OkopuF
- 33A. IdahF
- 35RonaldD
- 49M. YeoF
Substitutes
- 1A. FisherG
- 3J. SeeltD
- 7M. WidellM
- 8E. JustF
- 9Z. VipotnikF
- 10Eom Ji-SungF
- 46S. EustáquioM
- 50C. HeywoodD
West Ham
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1M. HermansenG
- 3M. KilmanD
- 5MoratoD
- 7A. EngelsM
- 10M. SolomonM
- 14D. MukasaM
- 15K. MavropanosD
- 17M. KantéM
- 19PabloF
- 20J. BowenM
- 34J. VeltmanD
Substitutes
- 2K. Walker-PetersD
- 9J. PiroeF
- 11V. CastellanosF
- 23A. AreolaG
- 28T. SoučekM
- 30O. ScarlesD
- 35E. AustböF
- 58A. GolambeckisD
- 61L. OrfordM
Swansea
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronald | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/2 |
| J. Tymon | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| S. Welsh | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Vigouroux | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Fulton | M | 56 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| M. Stamenić | M | 76 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Eom Ji-Sung | F | 33 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Z. Vipotnik | F | 14 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| S. Eustáquio | M | 34 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| Gonçalo Franco | M | 76 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Idah | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 0/1 |
| B. Cabango | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Joseph Okopu | F | 57 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Yeo | F | 76 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/8 |
| E. Just | F | 14 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| M. Widell | M | 14 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| C. Heywood | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Fisher | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Seelt | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
West Ham
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Mukasa | M | 85 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| K. Mavropanos | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Morato | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| M. Kanté | M | 69 | 7.1 | — | 1 | — | — | 4 | 1/2 |
| E. Austbö | F | 21 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Souček | M | 6 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| A. Engels | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Piroe | F | 5 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| M. Kilman | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| J. Bowen | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1/2 |
| M. Solomon | M | 84 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| J. Veltman | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Pablo | F | 61 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| V. Castellanos | F | 29 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Hermansen | G | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Areola | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Orford | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Scarles | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Golambeckis | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Walker-Peters | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Swansea vs West Ham?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Swansea to win against West Ham.
- What score did Fipster predict for Swansea vs West Ham?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Swansea 2–1 West Ham.
- What were the win probabilities for Swansea vs West Ham?
- Fipster's model gave Swansea a 85% chance of winning, West Ham a 7% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.