Swansea vs Burnley
Swansea secure comfortable win over Burnley
A trio of goals from Swansea, led by A. Idah and Z. Vipotnik, sealed the deal.
Swansea took control early with A. Idah opening the scoring in the 13th minute, followed by M. Yeo's strike before half-time. Burnley pulled one back through L. Ramazani after the break, but Z. Vipotnik restored Swansea's two-goal cushion to ensure a 3-1 victory. Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a Swansea win was spot on, though the margin was more generous than expected.
Outcome probability
Swansea and Burnley face off in what promises to be a closely contested encounter. With Swansea unbeaten and leading the league, they look to maintain their momentum against a struggling Burnley side.
Match factors
Swansea's attacking duo synergy
Eom Ji-Sung and Adam Idah have combined for goals and assists, boosting Swansea's attack
Swansea's strong home defense
Swansea have kept 3 clean sheets in 3 home games, conceding 0 goals at home
Burnley's scoring streak despite poor form
Burnley have scored in all last 5 games but conceded heavily, indicating defensive issues
Burnley missing key attackers
Burnley have 3 attackers confirmed out, weakening their offensive options
The context
Swansea currently top the league with 11 points from 5 games, unbeaten so far, while Burnley languish near the bottom with just 2 points and no wins. The gulf in form and goal difference sets the stage for a challenging match for Burnley.
Key insights
Eom Ji-Sung
Swansea
Eom Ji-Sung is a key creative and scoring threat with 2 goals and 2 assists in 5 games, boosting Swansea's attack.
Championship 26/272 goals and 2 assists in 5 appearances
Adam Idah
Swansea
Adam Idah’s consistent starting role and 2 goals with 1 assist this season make him a reliable home scorer.
Championship 26/272 goals and 1 assist in 5 appearances
Joshua Tymon
Swansea
Joshua Tymon contributes defensively and offensively with a high duel win rate and assists from defence.
Championship 26/2764.3% duel win rate, 1 assist in 5 appearances
Zian Flemming
Burnley
Zian Flemming is Burnley’s top scorer with 2 goals in 2 games, posing the main offensive threat despite limited recent form.
Championship 26/272 goals in 2 appearances
Analysis
Swansea's attacking duo, Eom Ji-Sung and Adam Idah, have been pivotal this season, combining goals and assists to spearhead their side's strong offensive record. Defensively, Swansea have kept three clean sheets at home, making it tough for Burnley to find the net. Burnley, despite scoring in their last five games, have defensive frailties and are missing key attackers, which could hamper their chances.
Key facts
- 1.Swansea are 1st in the league with 11 points from 5 games (W3 D2 L0).
- 2.Burnley are 24th with 2 points from 5 games (W0 D2 L3).
- 3.Swansea have a +12 goal difference compared to Burnley's -6.
- 4.Swansea average 2.20 points per game; Burnley average 0.40.
- 5.Swansea have kept 3 clean sheets in 3 home games this season.
- 6.Burnley have scored in their last 5 games but conceded heavily.
- 7.Burnley are missing 3 key attackers for this match.
- 8.Eom Ji-Sung has 2 goals and 2 assists in 5 games, leading Swansea's attack.
Prediction
The prediction is a narrow 1-0 win for Swansea, with the halftime score also expected to be 1-0. The match is likely to be competitive but Swansea's superior form and home defensive record should see them through.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Swansea
Away — Burnley
The verdict
In summary, Swansea's consistency and strong home performances make them favourites to claim all three points. Burnley will need to tighten up defensively and find a way to break down Swansea's defence if they are to avoid defeat.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Idah
Yeo
Assist: Just
Key
Ramsey
Ramazani
Assist: Igor
Pires
Yellow Card
Yeo
Yellow Card
Yeo
Idah
Raghouber
Vipotnik
Assist: Ronald
Lissah
Yellow Card
Just
Amdouni
Sonne
Ramazani
Eustáquio
Match Statistics
Swansea
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2J. KeyD
- 5B. CabangoD
- 6M. StamenićM
- 7M. WidellM
- 8E. JustM
- 14J. TymonD
- 22L. VigourouxG
- 23S. WelshD
- 33A. IdahF
- 46S. EustáquioM
- 49M. YeoM
Substitutes
- 1A. FisherG
- 3J. SeeltD
- 4J. FultonM
- 9Z. VipotnikF
- 17Gonçalo FrancoM
- 20Tiago ParenteD
- 26F. LissahD
- 30Joseph OkopuF
- 35RonaldF
Burnley
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1M. WeißG
- 2K. WalkerD
- 3Max AlleyneM
- 8U. RaghouberM
- 11Z. AmdouniF
- 14C. RobertsD
- 19L. RamazaniM
- 21A. RamseyM
- 22O. SonneD
- 29J. LaurentM
- 44IgorD
Substitutes
- 5R. HatateM
- 9J. VardyF
- 15A. AhmedhodžićD
- 17A. HountondjiF
- 18H. EkdalD
- 23Lucas PiresD
- 27A. BrojaF
- 30L. CastellF
- 37G. CoudertG
Swansea
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Idah | F | 64 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Yeo | M | 64 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 5 | 3 | — | 2/2 |
| Z. Vipotnik | F | 26 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. Welsh | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Vigouroux | G | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Just | M | 77 | 7.1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2/3 |
| B. Cabango | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| J. Key | D | 46 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| M. Stamenić | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Ronald | F | 26 | 6.8 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| M. Widell | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4/4 |
| J. Tymon | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| S. Eustáquio | M | 85 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| J. Fulton | M | 5 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gonçalo Franco | M | 13 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Lissah | D | 44 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Joseph Okopu | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tiago Parente | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Seelt | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Fisher | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Burnley
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Igor | D | 90 | 7.4 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| L. Ramazani | M | 82 | 6.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/4 |
| K. Walker | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| J. Vardy | F | 25 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Hountondji | F | 8 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| A. Broja | F | 8 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Max Alleyne | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| A. Ramsey | M | 54 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| O. Sonne | D | 82 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Z. Amdouni | F | 82 | 6.2 | — | — | 4 | — | — | 2/4 |
| R. Hatate | M | 8 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Laurent | M | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| C. Roberts | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| U. Raghouber | M | 65 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| M. Weiß | G | 90 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Pires | D | 36 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| L. Castell | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Ekdal | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Ahmedhodžić | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Coudert | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Swansea vs Burnley?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Swansea to win against Burnley.
- What score did Fipster predict for Swansea vs Burnley?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Swansea 1–0 Burnley.
- What were the win probabilities for Swansea vs Burnley?
- Fipster's model gave Swansea a 85% chance of winning, Burnley a 7% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.