Swansea vs Blackburn
Swansea steamroll Blackburn with four-goal blitz
A commanding display sees Swansea run riot at home, leaving Blackburn shell-shocked.
Swansea delivered a dominant performance in the Championship, cruising to a 4-0 victory over Blackburn. S. Eustáquio set the tone early with a goal in the 11th minute, followed by a quickfire double from Joseph Okopu and F. Lissah before the break. R. Stewart sealed the emphatic win after the break, ensuring Blackburn never got a foothold. Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a Swansea win was spot on, though the margin of victory far exceeded expectations.
Outcome probability
Swansea and Blackburn face off in the 13th round of the regular season, with Swansea currently sitting comfortably near the top of the table and Blackburn mid-table. Both teams have shown moments of promise, but Swansea's form and defensive solidity suggest they will have the upper hand in this encounter.
Match factors
Swansea's Defensive Solidity at Home
Swansea concedes only 0.5 goals per home game, indicating a strong defensive setup likely to frustrate Blackburn's attack.
Blackburn's Scoring Streak
Blackburn has scored in their last 5 matches, showing attacking consistency despite defensive vulnerabilities.
Swansea Missing Key Defenders
Swansea will miss two defenders (C. Burgess and J. Key), potentially weakening their backline depth.
Swansea's Superior Passing Accuracy
Swansea defenders like S. Welsh have passing accuracy around 88%, well above league average, aiding ball retention and build-up.
Blackburn's Creative Midfielders
Players like O. Afolayan and Sam Morsy provide creativity and goal threat, which could challenge Swansea's defense if exploited.
The context
Swansea rank 2nd in the league with 23 points from 11 games, boasting a strong goal difference of +8. Blackburn, on the other hand, are 12th with 15 points and a modest +1 goal difference. Historically, Swansea have edged Blackburn in their head-to-head meetings, winning 9 of 19 matches, while Blackburn have won 6 and 4 ended in draws.
Key insights
- S
S. Welsh
Swansea
Exceptional passing accuracy of 88% helps Swansea maintain possession and build attacks effectively from the back.
Championship 26/2788% passing accuracy, 32.4 passes/game
- B
B. Cabango
Swansea
Strong defensive presence and leadership as captain, contributing to Swansea's solid backline.
Championship 26/2787% passing accuracy, solid interceptions and tackles
- O
O. Afolayan
Blackburn
Creative midfielder with multiple goals and assists recently, providing Blackburn with attacking spark.
Championship 26/27High match ratings up to 8.8, multiple goals and assists
Analysis
Swansea's defensive setup is particularly impressive at home, conceding only 0.5 goals per game, which should frustrate Blackburn's attack despite their recent scoring streak of five consecutive matches finding the net. Swansea's defenders, such as S. Welsh and B. Cabango, contribute significantly with high passing accuracy and leadership, helping maintain possession and control. Blackburn's creative midfielders like O. Afolayan and forward A. Guðjohnsen pose threats, but Swansea's superior form and tactical discipline are likely to keep them at bay. Swansea will miss key defenders C. Burgess and J. Key, but their overall defensive strength remains intact.
Key facts
- 1.Swansea are 2nd in the league with 23 points after 11 games.
- 2.Blackburn sit 12th with 15 points from 11 matches.
- 3.Swansea have a +8 goal difference compared to Blackburn's +1.
- 4.Swansea have won 9 of 19 head-to-head matches against Blackburn.
- 5.Swansea concede only 0.5 goals per home game this season.
- 6.Blackburn have scored in their last 5 matches.
- 7.Swansea defenders S. Welsh and B. Cabango have passing accuracy around 87-88%.
- 8.Swansea will miss defenders C. Burgess and J. Key due to injury.
Prediction
The prediction is for Swansea to take a 1-0 lead into halftime and extend that advantage to a 2-0 victory by fulltime. The match is expected to feature around four cards, reflecting a competitive but controlled encounter. Swansea's home advantage and consistent performances make them the clear favourites to secure all three points.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Swansea
Away — Blackburn
The verdict
In summary, Swansea's combination of solid defence, effective passing, and home form should see them comfortably overcome Blackburn. While Blackburn have shown attacking promise, Swansea's ability to control the game and limit chances will be decisive. Expect a 2-0 win with Swansea leading at the break.
Prediction generated 24 Oct 2026, 15:56 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Eustáquio
Assist: Okopu
Baradji
Yellow Card
Pickering
Okopu
Lissah
Assist: Welsh
Atcheson
Fevrier
Stewart
Assist: Eom Ji-Sung
Widell
Stewart
Tymon
Eustáquio
Guðjohnsen
Lissah
Baradji
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +10 | 25 |
| 3 |  Stoke City | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 23 |
| 4 |  Swansea | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 23 |
| 5 |  West Ham | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +17 | 22 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +2 | 19 |
| 11 |  Blackburn | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 12 |  Portsmouth | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 18 |
Match Statistics
Swansea
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4J. FultonM
- 5B. CabangoD
- 7M. WidellM
- 10Eom Ji-SungM
- 14J. TymonD
- 22L. VigourouxG
- 23S. WelshD
- 26F. LissahD
- 30Joseph OkopuM
- 31R. StewartF
- 46S. EustáquioM
Substitutes
- 1A. FisherG
- 2J. KeyD
- 3J. SeeltD
- 8E. JustF
- 9Z. VipotnikF
- 12J. MongaF
- 17Gonçalo FrancoM
- 18Tiago ParenteD
- 33A. IdahF
Blackburn
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2R. AlebiosuD
- 3H. PickeringD
- 6Tom AtchesonD
- 9A. GuðjohnsenF
- 10T. CantwellM
- 11J. FevrierM
- 15S. McLoughlinD
- 21O. AfolayanM
- 22B. TóthG
- 24M. BaradjiM
- 31Kristi MontgomeryM
Substitutes
- 1A. PearsG
- 4Yuri RibeiroD
- 7A. KargboF
- 14D. De NeveM
- 17H. CarterD
- 23Y. OhashiF
- 27Gady BeyukuD
- 30J. GarrettM
- 48I. DunnM
Swansea
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Okopu | M | 90 | 9.0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2/2 |
| S. Welsh | D | 90 | 8.2 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| S. Eustáquio | M | 73 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| F. Lissah | D | 78 | 8.1 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3/6 |
| R. Stewart | F | 62 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| B. Cabango | D | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eom Ji-Sung | M | 90 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Tymon | D | 72 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| J. Fulton | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| J. Key | D | 12 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Tiago Parente | D | 18 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Vigouroux | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gonçalo Franco | M | 28 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Z. Vipotnik | F | 28 | 6.8 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | — |
| M. Widell | M | 62 | 6.6 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| A. Idah | F | 17 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Just | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Monga | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Seelt | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Fisher | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Blackburn
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Kargbo | F | 44 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3/5 |
| S. McLoughlin | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| B. Tóth | G | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Ohashi | F | 12 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| A. Guðjohnsen | F | 78 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/3 |
| Gady Beyuku | D | 66 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| M. Baradji | M | 79 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Alebiosu | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Afolayan | M | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| T. Cantwell | M | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| H. Pickering | D | 24 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tom Atcheson | D | 46 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Kristi Montgomery | M | 90 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Fevrier | M | 46 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Yuri Ribeiro | D | 11 | 5.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Carter | D | 44 | 5.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Pears | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Dunn | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. De Neve | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Garrett | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Swansea vs Blackburn?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Swansea to win against Blackburn.
- What score did Fipster predict for Swansea vs Blackburn?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Swansea 2–0 Blackburn.
- What were the win probabilities for Swansea vs Blackburn?
- Fipster's model gave Swansea a 78% chance of winning, Blackburn a 11% chance, and a 11% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 78% confidence — a high-confidence call.