SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05
Elversberg storms past Mainz in stunning win
A dominant display from Elversberg sees them thrash Mainz 4-1, defying expectations.
SV Elversberg put on a commanding performance, racing into a 3-0 lead with goals from F. Keidel, Francis-Ikechukwu Onyeka, and M. Krattenmacher before the break. William Cole Campbell added a late fourth to seal the emphatic victory, while Mainz's B. Hollerbach managed a consolation goal in stoppage time. This result was a clear upset, as Fipster had tipped a narrow away win for Mainz with medium confidence, but Elversberg had other ideas.
Outcome probability
SV Elversberg and FSV Mainz 05, both sitting close in the league standings, are set for a competitive regular season encounter. With similar points and form, this match promises to be a closely fought battle with plenty of attacking intent.
Match factors
SV Elversberg's midfield defensive strength
L. Petkov's high tackle rate and defensive work could disrupt Mainz's creative midfielders
Mainz's attacking form advantage
Mainz have scored in all last 5 matches, showing strong offensive momentum
SV Elversberg missing key midfielders
Confirmed outs include multiple midfielders, weakening creative and scoring options
Mainz's consistent scoring streak
Mainz have a 5-game scoring streak, boosting confidence for away goals
Rohr's dual threat from defense
M. Rohr combines high passing accuracy with goal threat, aiding build-up and scoring
The context
Both teams have accumulated 10 points from 6 games, placing SV Elversberg sixth and Mainz fifth in the league. Their comparable league positions suggest a balanced contest, with neither side having a clear upper hand in the standings.
Key insights
- L
L. Petkov
SV Elversberg
Petkov's high tackle rate and work rate in midfield could disrupt Mainz's creative flow.
Bundesliga 26/273.3 tackles per game, league average is 1.01
- M
M. Rohr
SV Elversberg
Rohr's passing accuracy and goal threat add an important dimension to Elversberg's play.
Bundesliga 26/2787% passing accuracy, avg 63 passes per game
- A
A. Caci
FSV Mainz 05
Caci's consistent scoring and playmaking are key to Mainz's attacking momentum.
Bundesliga 26/27Multiple goals and assists recently
- S
S. Becker
FSV Mainz 05
Becker's high ratings and goal contributions make him a crucial attacking outlet for Mainz.
Bundesliga 26/27Recent ratings up to 9.19 with goals and assists
Analysis
The first half is expected to be evenly matched, likely ending 1-1 as both sides find their rhythm. SV Elversberg's midfield, led by L. Petkov, boasts a high tackle rate that could disrupt Mainz's creative playmakers. However, Mainz's consistent scoring streak, with goals in their last five matches, highlights their offensive momentum. Defensively, M. Rohr's passing accuracy and goal threat add an extra dimension to Elversberg's play, while Mainz's attacking duo, including S. Becker and A. Caci, have been pivotal in recent games. The match is poised for a high-scoring affair, with a predicted 2-3 final scoreline favouring Mainz.
Key facts
- 1.SV Elversberg are ranked 6th with 10 points from 6 games (W3 D1 L2).
- 2.FSV Mainz 05 are ranked 5th with 10 points from 6 games (W3 D1 L2).
- 3.The most probable halftime score is 1-1, indicating a balanced first half.
- 4.The predicted fulltime score is 2-3, suggesting a high-scoring match with five goals.
- 5.L. Petkov leads SV Elversberg with 3.3 tackles per game, well above the league average.
- 6.FSV Mainz 05 have scored in their last five matches, showing strong offensive form.
- 7.M. Rohr has an 87% passing accuracy and contributes offensively from defence.
Prediction
We anticipate a closely contested match with both teams scoring in the first half. Ultimately, FSV Mainz 05 are predicted to edge out SV Elversberg 3-2, capitalising on their attacking form and clinical finishing in the second half.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — SV Elversberg
Away — FSV Mainz 05
The verdict
This fixture promises excitement and goals, with Mainz's offensive consistency likely to tip the scales. SV Elversberg's defensive efforts and midfield grit will keep them in the game, but Mainz's edge in attack should secure them the win.
Prediction generated 24 Oct 2026, 15:29 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Mwene
Yellow Card
Keidel
Onyeka
Assist: Mokwa
da Costa
Yellow Card
Krattenmacher
Nebel
Amiri
Mwene
Tietz
Goal cancelled
Günther
Königsdörffer
Yellow Card
Krattenmacher
Onyeka
Posch
Yellow Card
Sano
Petkov
Mokwa
Hollerbach
Posch
Red Card
William Cole Campbell
Assist: Mickelson
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +19 | 18 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13 |
| 8 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 9 |
Match Statistics
SV Elversberg
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 7M. KrattenmacherM
- 8Ł. PorębaM
- 19L. PinckertD
- 20N. KristofG
- 21L. GüntherD
- 25L. PetkovM
- 26L. SirchD
- 31M. RohrD
- 40Francis-Ikechukwu OnyekaM
- 42D. MokwaF
- 43F. KeidelM
Substitutes
- 2N. MickelsonD
- 3F. Le JoncourD
- 6A. CondéM
- 9N. FutkeuF
- 15R. AdamF
- 17F. SchmahlM
- 24L. SchnellbacherM
- 28T. BossG
- 39William Cole CampbellF
FSV Mainz 05
3-5-2Starting XI
- 2P. MweneM
- 4S. PoschD
- 6K. SanoM
- 8P. NebelM
- 9P. TietzF
- 10N. AmiriM
- 19A. CaciM
- 21D. da CostaD
- 23S. BeckerF
- 27R. ZentnerG
- 48K. PotulskiD
Substitutes
- 1A. SchwolowG
- 3F. GruberD
- 5E. MartelM
- 7Lee Jae-SungM
- 11R. KönigsdörfferF
- 15L. MaloneyM
- 16S. BellD
- 17B. HollerbachF
- 30S. WidmerD
SV Elversberg
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Keidel | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1/1 |
| M. Krattenmacher | M | 77 | 8.1 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2/4 |
| Francis-Ikechukwu Onyeka | M | 77 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| William Cole Campbell | F | 13 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| L. Pinckert | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Sirch | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| D. Mokwa | F | 88 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Rohr | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| N. Mickelson | D | 22 | 6.7 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| N. Kristof | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Adam | F | 2 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ł. Poręba | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Schmahl | M | 13 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Petkov | M | 88 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| L. Schnellbacher | M | 2 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Günther | D | 68 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| N. Futkeu | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Condé | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Boss | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Le Joncour | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
FSV Mainz 05
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Hollerbach | F | 27 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| N. Amiri | M | 63 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| P. Tietz | F | 63 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| S. Becker | F | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| E. Martel | M | 3 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Königsdörffer | F | 27 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| K. Potulski | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| R. Zentner | G | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Nebel | M | 63 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Sano | M | 87 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Maloney | M | 27 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Mwene | M | 63 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| A. Caci | M | 90 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/3 |
| S. Widmer | D | 27 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. da Costa | D | 90 | 5.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| S. Posch | D | 95 | 4.8 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| F. Gruber | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Schwolow | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Bell | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lee Jae-Sung | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05?
- Fipster's AI model predicted FSV Mainz 05 to win against SV Elversberg.
- What score did Fipster predict for SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05?
- Fipster predicted a final score of SV Elversberg 2–3 FSV Mainz 05.
- What were the win probabilities for SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05?
- Fipster's model gave SV Elversberg a 26% chance of winning, FSV Mainz 05 a 48% chance, and a 26% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 48% confidence — a medium-confidence call.