SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg
Elversberg stuns Augsburg in seven-goal thriller
SV Elversberg's early blitz and late resilience seal a narrow victory over FC Augsburg.
SV Elversberg took the Bundesliga clash by storm with a rapid-fire start, as L. Petkov and L. Günther struck within the first seven minutes, followed by M. Rohr's effort before the break. Despite FC Augsburg clawing back with penalties from F. Rieder and M. Gregoritsch and a late goal from M. Kömür, Elversberg's F. Schmahl ensured the home side held on with a crucial goal in the 89th minute. The result defied Fipster's medium-confidence prediction favouring an Augsburg win, delivering a surprise victory for the hosts in a pulsating 4-3 encounter.
Outcome probability
SV Elversberg and FC Augsburg both come into this fixture with identical league points and similar form, promising an exciting clash. With attacking talents on both sides and a predicted flurry of goals, fans should brace for an entertaining contest.
Match factors
SV Elversberg missing key midfielders
Confirmed outs Onyeka and Seifert weaken midfield and defense, impacting team balance
FC Augsburg's attacking doubts
Multiple forwards including Mounié and Kade doubtful, reducing attacking options and requiring adjustments
FC Augsburg's consistent scoring streak
Augsburg has scored in all last 5 matches, showing strong offensive form
Midfield creativity edge to FC Augsburg
Rieder and Massengo provide creative passing and assists, likely to unlock SV Elversberg's defense
SV Elversberg's home scoring slightly above average
Elversberg averages 2 goals at home, slightly higher than league average, supporting potential for goals despite defensive issues
The context
Both teams sit close in the league standings, with SV Elversberg ranked 8th and FC Augsburg 5th, each having collected 7 points from 4 games. This early-season encounter is crucial for momentum, as both sides look to establish themselves in the upper half of the table.
Key insights
- F
F. Rieder
FC Augsburg
Captain and creative midfielder, Rieder's passing and assists are key to unlocking Elversberg's defence.
Bundesliga 26/27Recent ratings up to 7.85 with assists
- D
D. Mokwa
SV Elversberg
Important attacking outlet with multiple goals and strong recent performances.
Bundesliga 26/27Multiple goals in recent matches with ratings up to 8.18
- L
L. Petkov
SV Elversberg
Key playmaker with consistent goal and assist contributions, strong tackling and passing.
Bundesliga 26/27High recent ratings up to 8.23 and goal+assist contributions
- A
A. Kade
FC Augsburg
Top recent rating and high involvement in attack, but doubtful fitness may limit impact.
Bundesliga 26/27Top recent rating 9.3 with goals and assists
Analysis
FC Augsburg's consistent scoring streak, netting in all of their last five matches, gives them a clear offensive edge. Their midfield creativity, led by captain F. Rieder, is likely to unlock Elversberg's defence despite the home side's slightly above-average home scoring record. However, Augsburg face doubts over key forwards like A. Kade, which could temper their attacking threat. Meanwhile, Elversberg will rely on standout performers like D. Mokwa and L. Petkov to breach Augsburg's defence, though injuries to Onyeka and Seifert weaken their midfield and defensive stability.
Key facts
- 1.SV Elversberg are ranked 8th with 7 points from 4 games (W2 D1 L1).
- 2.FC Augsburg are ranked 5th with 7 points from 4 games (W2 D1 L1).
- 3.FC Augsburg have scored in all of their last 5 matches, showing strong offensive form.
- 4.SV Elversberg average 2 goals per home game, slightly above league average.
- 5.FC Augsburg's captain F. Rieder provides creative passing and assists.
- 6.SV Elversberg's Onyeka and Seifert are confirmed absentees, weakening midfield and defense.
- 7.FC Augsburg's forwards Mounié and Kade are doubtful, reducing attacking options.
Prediction
The prediction leans towards an away win for FC Augsburg with a thrilling 4-3 scoreline. Augsburg are expected to take an early lead, reflected in the halftime score prediction of 2-1, and maintain their advantage despite Elversberg's spirited fightback. The match promises goals and drama, with both teams finding the net multiple times.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — SV Elversberg
Away — FC Augsburg
The verdict
In what should be a captivating encounter, FC Augsburg's attacking consistency and midfield creativity are likely to tip the scales in their favour. SV Elversberg's home scoring prowess ensures they won't go down without a fight, making this a match to watch for fans of end-to-end football.
Prediction generated 10 Oct 2026, 15:35 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Penalty confirmed
Petkov
Petkov
Missed Penalty
Günther
Assist: Krattenmacher
Rohr
Assist: Keidel
Massengo
Yellow Card
Ribeiro
Yellow Card
Darvich
Gyamerah
Penalty confirmed
Rieder
Penalty
Wolf
Ribeiro
Abdulay Bah
Matsima
Yellow Card
Keidel
Yellow Card
Ibrahimović
Fellhauer
Pinckert
Yellow Card
Gregoritsch
Penalty
Mokwa
Krattenmacher
Goal cancelled
Kristof
Yellow Card
Penalty cancelled
Schmahl
Assist: Petkov
Keidel
Schmahl
Yellow Card
Futkeu
Missed Penalty
Kömür
Assist: Behrens
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +19 | 18 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13 |
| 8 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 9 |
| 10 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -1 | 9 |
Match Statistics
SV Elversberg
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 7M. KrattenmacherM
- 8Ł. PorębaM
- 10Noah DarvichM
- 19L. PinckertD
- 20N. KristofG
- 21L. GüntherD
- 25L. PetkovM
- 30J. GyamerahD
- 31M. RohrD
- 42D. MokwaF
- 43F. KeidelM
Substitutes
- 2N. MickelsonD
- 3F. Le JoncourD
- 6A. CondéM
- 9N. FutkeuF
- 15R. AdamF
- 17F. SchmahlM
- 24L. SchnellbacherM
- 26L. SirchD
- 28T. BossG
FC Augsburg
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1F. DahmenG
- 2C. BrackelmannD
- 4H. MassengoM
- 5C. MatsimaD
- 9Rodrigo RibeiroF
- 16Hennes BehrensM
- 19R. FellhauerM
- 21A. IbrahimovićM
- 27M. WolfM
- 32F. RiederM
- 35Abdulay BahD
Substitutes
- 6J. GouweleeuwD
- 7Seol Young-WooD
- 10M. KömürM
- 11M. GregoritschF
- 14Y. KeitelM
- 22N. LabrovićG
- 30A. KadeM
- 37T. SchnitzerM
- 39U. OgunduF
SV Elversberg
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Rohr | D | 90 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| L. Petkov | M | 90 | 7.5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4/7 |
| N. Kristof | G | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Futkeu | F | 13 | 6.8 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| R. Adam | F | 12 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| M. Krattenmacher | M | 78 | 6.5 | — | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2/3 |
| F. Schmahl | M | 50 | 6.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Keidel | M | 93 | 6.4 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| L. Günther | D | 90 | 6.4 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| D. Mokwa | F | 77 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/1 |
| L. Pinckert | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Ł. Poręba | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| J. Gyamerah | D | 40 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| L. Sirch | D | 50 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Noah Darvich | M | 40 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| N. Mickelson | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Schnellbacher | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Boss | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Le Joncour | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Condé | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
FC Augsburg
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hennes Behrens | M | 90 | 7.7 | — | 1 | — | — | 6 | 1/3 |
| M. Gregoritsch | F | 44 | 7.4 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | — | — |
| F. Rieder | M | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 4 | — |
| M. Kömür | M | 16 | 6.9 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | — | — |
| F. Dahmen | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulay Bah | D | 46 | 6.4 | — | — | 4 | — | — | 1/1 |
| A. Ibrahimović | M | 74 | 6.4 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 6 | 2/2 |
| Rodrigo Ribeiro | F | 46 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| C. Brackelmann | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| H. Massengo | M | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| J. Gouweleeuw | D | 44 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Fellhauer | M | 74 | 5.8 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1/4 |
| Seol Young-Woo | D | 16 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| C. Matsima | D | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| M. Wolf | M | 46 | 5.7 | — | — | 4 | — | — | 0/1 |
| A. Kade | M | 44 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| T. Schnitzer | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| U. Ogundu | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Keitel | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Labrović | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg?
- Fipster's AI model predicted FC Augsburg to win against SV Elversberg.
- What score did Fipster predict for SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg?
- Fipster predicted a final score of SV Elversberg 3–4 FC Augsburg.
- What were the win probabilities for SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg?
- Fipster's model gave SV Elversberg a 21% chance of winning, FC Augsburg a 58% chance, and a 21% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 58% confidence — a medium-confidence call.