Sutjeska vs Kairat Almaty

UEFA Champions League1st Qualifying Round
Ref: W. MycStadion Kraj Bistrice, Nikšić · 6,180 cap
Fipster Pick
Home WinlowMiss
Qualifying — two-legged tieLeg 2 of 2Decisive leg
First leg:
Kairat Almaty 2 1 Sutjeska
Aggregate:
Kairat Almaty 4 1 Sutjeska
Advances:
Kairat Almaty

Match recap

Kairat Almaty beat Sutjeska 2–0 in their UEFA Champions League fixture.

Fipster’s pre-match call

Predicted

1-0 Sutjeska win

Actual

0–2

✗ Missed

Outcome probability

Sutjeska 35%Draw 33%Kairat Almaty 32%

The 1st qualifying round fixture between Sutjeska and Kairat Almaty promises a closely fought contest. Both sides have shown glimpses of quality but have struggled to find consistent scoring form in this competition so far.

Match factors

Tactical Advantagemedium

Sutjeska’s Forward Line Threat

M. Mrvaljević scored in last meeting and is supported by creative midfielder D. Hočko, indicating a focused attacking outlet.

Tactical Advantagehigh

Kairat’s Set-Piece Offensive Edge

Lucas Áfrico, a defender, scored twice in last fixture vs Sutjeska, showing threat on set pieces and offensive contribution.

Statistical Edgemedium

Kairat’s Defensive Stability

Goalkeeper Temirlan Anarbekov’s consistent presence and leadership could stabilize Kairat’s defense against Sutjeska’s attack.

Form Momentummedium

Sutjeska’s Recent Scoring Challenges

Sutjeska has scored only 0.5 goals per game recently and lost last two matches, indicating offensive struggles.

Injury Impacthigh

Full Squad Availability

No confirmed injuries or absences for either team, so all key players are available to influence the match.

The context

Sutjeska have played two matches in this competition without a win, scoring once and conceding four. Kairat Almaty have a mixed record with three wins and three losses from six matches, netting five goals and conceding four. In their two previous head-to-head meetings, Kairat Almaty have come out on top both times.

Key insights

  • M

    M. Mrvaljević

    Sutjeska

    Scored in the last meeting and is a key attacking threat supported by creative midfielder D. Hočko.

    UEFA Champions League 26/271 goal in last head-to-head match

  • L

    Lucas Áfrico

    Kairat Almaty

    Scored twice in the last fixture against Sutjeska, showing offensive threat on set pieces.

    UEFA Champions League 26/272 goals in last head-to-head match

  • T

    Temirlan Anarbekov

    Kairat Almaty

    Consistent goalkeeper and captain, key to defensive stability.

    UEFA Champions League 26/2793 minutes played in recent matches

Analysis

Kairat Almaty’s defender Lucas Áfrico has been a notable threat on set pieces, scoring twice in their last meeting against Sutjeska, while goalkeeper and captain Temirlan Anarbekov provides defensive stability. However, Sutjeska’s forward M. Mrvaljević, supported by creative midfielder D. Hočko, offers a focused attacking outlet that could make the difference. Sutjeska’s recent scoring challenges and their lack of wins in this competition suggest a tight game. Level after 90 minutes and Fipster expects extra time to settle nothing either — this one has penalty shootout written all over it, with Sutjeska tipped to hold their nerve from the spot. The graded markets reflect the score at the end of extra time, and any penalty-shootout call is a who-goes-through tip, not a scored prediction.

Key facts

  1. 1.Sutjeska have played 2 matches in this competition (W0 D0 L2, GF 1 / GA 4).
  2. 2.Kairat Almaty have played 6 matches in this competition (W3 D0 L3, GF 5 / GA 4).
  3. 3.In 2 head-to-head meetings, Kairat Almaty have won both matches against Sutjeska.
  4. 4.Lucas Áfrico scored twice in the last meeting against Sutjeska, showing set-piece threat.
  5. 5.M. Mrvaljević scored for Sutjeska in the last meeting, supported by D. Hočko’s assist.
  6. 6.Goalkeeper Temirlan Anarbekov is a key defensive figure for Kairat Almaty.
  7. 7.No confirmed injuries or absences for either team, so full squads are available.

Prediction

The most likely outcome is a narrow home win for Sutjeska with a 1-0 scoreline. This result aligns with the predicted halftime score of 1-0, suggesting an early goal that Sutjeska manage to defend resolutely. The prediction is cautious given the limited data and the competitive nature of the fixture.

Player Insights

Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists

Home — Sutjeska

No standout best passers flagged for Sutjeska

Away — Kairat Almaty

A. Shirobokov

A. Shirobokov

Defender

Kairat Almaty

Total Passes
79
5 played
2 starts
108 mins
~22 mins/game
Lucas Áfrico

Lucas Áfrico

Defender

Kairat Almaty

Total Passes
73
6 played
6 starts
282 mins
~47 mins/game
J. Oksanen

J. Oksanen

Midfielder

Kairat Almaty

Total Passes
67
6 played
6 starts
300 mins
~50 mins/game

The verdict

Expect a tight, tactical battle with Sutjeska just shading it thanks to a well-timed goal and disciplined defending. Kairat Almaty will pose threats, especially from set pieces, but Sutjeska’s resilience and home advantage could see them through this tricky qualifier.

Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163

Prediction Q&A

Who did Fipster predict to win Sutjeska vs Kairat Almaty?
Fipster's AI model predicted Sutjeska to win against Kairat Almaty.
What score did Fipster predict for Sutjeska vs Kairat Almaty?
Fipster predicted a final score of Sutjeska 1–0 Kairat Almaty.
What were the win probabilities for Sutjeska vs Kairat Almaty?
Fipster's model gave Sutjeska a 35% chance of winning, Kairat Almaty a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.