Sutjeska vs Kairat Almaty
- First leg:
- Kairat Almaty 2 1 Sutjeska
- Aggregate:
- Kairat Almaty 4 1 Sutjeska
- Advances:
- Kairat Almaty
Match recap
Kairat Almaty beat Sutjeska 2–0 in their UEFA Champions League fixture.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
1-0 Sutjeska win
Actual
0–2
Outcome probability
The 1st qualifying round fixture between Sutjeska and Kairat Almaty promises a closely fought contest. Both sides have shown glimpses of quality but have struggled to find consistent scoring form in this competition so far.
Match factors
Sutjeska’s Forward Line Threat
M. Mrvaljević scored in last meeting and is supported by creative midfielder D. Hočko, indicating a focused attacking outlet.
Kairat’s Set-Piece Offensive Edge
Lucas Áfrico, a defender, scored twice in last fixture vs Sutjeska, showing threat on set pieces and offensive contribution.
Kairat’s Defensive Stability
Goalkeeper Temirlan Anarbekov’s consistent presence and leadership could stabilize Kairat’s defense against Sutjeska’s attack.
Sutjeska’s Recent Scoring Challenges
Sutjeska has scored only 0.5 goals per game recently and lost last two matches, indicating offensive struggles.
Full Squad Availability
No confirmed injuries or absences for either team, so all key players are available to influence the match.
The context
Sutjeska have played two matches in this competition without a win, scoring once and conceding four. Kairat Almaty have a mixed record with three wins and three losses from six matches, netting five goals and conceding four. In their two previous head-to-head meetings, Kairat Almaty have come out on top both times.
Key insights
- M
M. Mrvaljević
Sutjeska
Scored in the last meeting and is a key attacking threat supported by creative midfielder D. Hočko.
UEFA Champions League 26/271 goal in last head-to-head match
- L
Lucas Áfrico
Kairat Almaty
Scored twice in the last fixture against Sutjeska, showing offensive threat on set pieces.
UEFA Champions League 26/272 goals in last head-to-head match
- T
Temirlan Anarbekov
Kairat Almaty
Consistent goalkeeper and captain, key to defensive stability.
UEFA Champions League 26/2793 minutes played in recent matches
Analysis
Kairat Almaty’s defender Lucas Áfrico has been a notable threat on set pieces, scoring twice in their last meeting against Sutjeska, while goalkeeper and captain Temirlan Anarbekov provides defensive stability. However, Sutjeska’s forward M. Mrvaljević, supported by creative midfielder D. Hočko, offers a focused attacking outlet that could make the difference. Sutjeska’s recent scoring challenges and their lack of wins in this competition suggest a tight game. Level after 90 minutes and Fipster expects extra time to settle nothing either — this one has penalty shootout written all over it, with Sutjeska tipped to hold their nerve from the spot. The graded markets reflect the score at the end of extra time, and any penalty-shootout call is a who-goes-through tip, not a scored prediction.
Key facts
- 1.Sutjeska have played 2 matches in this competition (W0 D0 L2, GF 1 / GA 4).
- 2.Kairat Almaty have played 6 matches in this competition (W3 D0 L3, GF 5 / GA 4).
- 3.In 2 head-to-head meetings, Kairat Almaty have won both matches against Sutjeska.
- 4.Lucas Áfrico scored twice in the last meeting against Sutjeska, showing set-piece threat.
- 5.M. Mrvaljević scored for Sutjeska in the last meeting, supported by D. Hočko’s assist.
- 6.Goalkeeper Temirlan Anarbekov is a key defensive figure for Kairat Almaty.
- 7.No confirmed injuries or absences for either team, so full squads are available.
Prediction
The most likely outcome is a narrow home win for Sutjeska with a 1-0 scoreline. This result aligns with the predicted halftime score of 1-0, suggesting an early goal that Sutjeska manage to defend resolutely. The prediction is cautious given the limited data and the competitive nature of the fixture.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Sutjeska
No standout best passers flagged for Sutjeska
Away — Kairat Almaty
The verdict
Expect a tight, tactical battle with Sutjeska just shading it thanks to a well-timed goal and disciplined defending. Kairat Almaty will pose threats, especially from set pieces, but Sutjeska’s resilience and home advantage could see them through this tricky qualifier.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Yellow Card
Yellow Card
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Yellow Card
Goal
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Red Card
Yellow Card
Unknown
Goal
Penalty
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Yellow Card
Yellow Card
Sutjeska
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1V. GiljenG
- 2A. GolubovićD
- 6D. HočkoM
- 9P. AničićM
- 11V. ČavorM
- 15B. KopitovićD
- 20J. ČađenovićM
- 22A. RažnatovićD
- 72A. Babic
- 77M. ŠimunM
- 99M. MrvaljevićF
Substitutes
- 3M. CamaraM
- 4M. VračarD
- 5I. PajovićM
- 7A. BoljevićM
- 8K. Campbell
- 10B. ToškovićF
- 12T. DurovicG
- 19A. ŠćekićM
- 21D. ÄetkoviÄM
- 30A. KecojevićM
- 44R. DedićD
- 55S. BabićF
Kairat Almaty
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1T. AnarbekovG
- 3Luís MataD
- 6A. SadybekovM
- 7JorginhoM
- 13J. OksanenM
- 19O. JukkolaM
- 24A. MrynskiyD
- 25A. ShirobokovD
- 28Marc GualF
- 44Lucas ÁfricoD
- 81I. BekbolatF
Substitutes
- 4D. KasabulatM
- 5L. KurginD
- 8O. BaybekM
- 9EdmilsonF
- 15M. BirkurmanovF
- 17A. TuyakbayevM
- 20E. TapalovD
- 27M. AbishM
- 30D. BuchG
- 32A. NurgalievD
- 82S. KalmurzaG
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Sutjeska vs Kairat Almaty?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Sutjeska to win against Kairat Almaty.
- What score did Fipster predict for Sutjeska vs Kairat Almaty?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Sutjeska 1–0 Kairat Almaty.
- What were the win probabilities for Sutjeska vs Kairat Almaty?
- Fipster's model gave Sutjeska a 35% chance of winning, Kairat Almaty a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.





