Sunderland vs Nottingham Forest
Match recap
Nottingham Forest beat Sunderland 5–0 in their Premier League fixture. Hume, Wood, Gibbs-White, Igor Jesus, and Anderson scored for Nottingham Forest. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.67 for Sunderland versus 1.30 for Nottingham Forest. Sunderland sit 7th in the Premier League table while Nottingham Forest are 16th.
Analysis
As Sunderland host Nottingham Forest at the Stadium of Light, fans can anticipate a competitive clash with both teams eager to secure valuable points in the league.
Sunderland currently sit 11th with 46 points, while Nottingham Forest are 16th with 36 points. Their recent head-to-head record shows Sunderland with a slight edge, having won 2 of their last 4 meetings, with one draw and one win for Forest. The average goals per match between them is a modest 1.3, suggesting tight defences and cautious play.
Sunderland's creative midfield duo, Le Fée and Xhaka, provide a strong passing and assist threat, crucial for breaking down Forest's defence. However, injury doubts over key attackers Brobbey and Isidor limit Sunderland's striking options. Nottingham Forest will rely heavily on captain Gibbs-White, who boasts an impressive 5 goals in his last 5 games, to spearhead their attack. Defensively, Mukiele and Williams offer solidity for Sunderland, aiming to contain Forest's forwards. The predicted 1-1 scoreline reflects the balance of attacking threats and defensive resilience on both sides.
Prediction
The most probable outcome is a 1-1 draw, with a halftime score of 0-0. The match is expected to be competitive and closely contested, with both teams likely to find the net once. Expect around four cards in total, indicating a game with some physicality but no major disciplinary issues.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Midfield Creativity Edge for Sunderland
Le Fée and Xhaka provide superior passing and assist potential, key to unlocking Forest's defense.
Gibbs-White's Scoring Form for Forest
Gibbs-White's 5 goals in last 5 matches give Forest a strong attacking threat to watch.
Sunderland's Attacking Injuries Limit Options
Brobbey and Isidor's injury doubts reduce Sunderland's striker options, impacting goal threat.
Defensive Solidity from Mukiele and Williams
Mukiele and Williams' defensive performances are crucial to containing opposing attackers.
Recent Assist Form from Le Fée and Hutchinson
Le Fée and Hutchinson's recent assists indicate Sunderland's creative momentum in attack.
Key Takeaways
In summary, Sunderland and Nottingham Forest are poised for a balanced encounter where neither side dominates. With key players on both teams contributing in attack and defence, a 1-1 draw seems the fairest result, leaving fans with a tense but entertaining evening.
- Sunderland have won 2 of the last 4 meetings against Nottingham Forest.
- Average goals per match in their head-to-head is 1.3, indicating tight contests.
- Sunderland are 11th in the league with 46 points from 33 games.
- Nottingham Forest sit 16th with 36 points from 33 games.
- Top Sunderland scorer Brobbey has 6 goals but is injury doubtful.
- Forest's Gibbs-White has scored 5 goals in his last 5 matches.
- Le Fée leads Sunderland with 5 assists this season.
- The predicted total cards for the match is 4, suggesting moderate discipline.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Sunderland
Away — Nottingham Forest
No standout top scorers flagged for Nottingham Forest
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Hume (OG)
Wood
Assist: Gibbs-White
Gibbs-White
Assist: Igor Jesus
Igor Jesus
Rigg
Sangaré
Jair
Domínguez
Yellow Card
Diarra
Yellow Card
Anderson
Yellow Card
Igor Jesus
Yellow Card
Goal cancelled
Diarra
Hutchinson
Igor Jesus
Williams
Yellow Card
Xhaka
Yellow Card
Yates
Yellow Card
Wood
Anderson
Assist: Awoniyi
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | +44 | 85 |
| 6 |  Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | +4 | 57 |
| 7 |  Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | -6 | 54 |
| 8 |  Brighton | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | +6 | 53 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | -10 | 45 |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | -3 | 44 |
| 17 |  Tottenham | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | -9 | 41 |
Match Statistics
Sunderland
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5D. BallardD
- 9B. BrobbeyF
- 11C. RiggM
- 15O. AldereteD
- 19H. DiarraM
- 20N. MukieleD
- 22R. RoefsG
- 27N. SadikiM
- 28E. Le FéeM
- 32T. HumeD
- 34G. XhakaM
Substitutes
- 3D. CirkinD
- 6L. GeertruidaD
- 7C. TalbiF
- 12Eliezer MayendaF
- 13L. O'NienM
- 17ReinildoD
- 18W. IsidorF
- 31M. EllborgG
- 50Harrison JonesM
Nottingham Forest
4-4-2Starting XI
- 3N. WilliamsD
- 6I. SangaréM
- 8E. AndersonM
- 10M. Gibbs-WhiteM
- 11C. WoodF
- 19Igor JesusF
- 21O. HutchinsonM
- 23JairD
- 26M. SelsG
- 31N. MilenkovićD
- 34O. AinaD
Substitutes
- 4MoratoD
- 9T. AwoniyiF
- 14D. NdoyeF
- 16N. DomínguezM
- 22R. YatesM
- 24J. McAteeM
- 25L. NetzD
- 27S. OrtegaG
- 29D. BakwaF
Sunderland
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Granit Xhaka(C) | M | 98 | 8.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Enzo Le Fée | M | 98 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0/2 |
| Noah Sadiki | M | 98 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Chris Rigg | M | 45 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Habib Diarra | M | 65 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| Brian Brobbey | F | 98 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Daniel Ballard | D | 98 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Trai Hume | D | 98 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Nordi Mukiele | D | 98 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3/4 |
| Omar Alderete | D | 98 | 5.2 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Robin Roefs | G | 98 | 5.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Melker Ellborg | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chemsdine Talbi | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lutsharel Geertruida | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luke O'Nien | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dennis Cirkin | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Harrison Jones | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eliezer Mayenda | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wilson Isidor | F | 33 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Reinildo Mandava | D | 53 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nottingham Forest
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Milenković | D | 98 | 8.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Elliot Anderson | M | 98 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Morgan Gibbs-White(C) | M | 98 | 7.9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Chris Wood | F | 88 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| Ola Aina | D | 98 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Matz Sels | G | 98 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Igor Jesus | F | 67 | 7.2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Jair | D | 50 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ibrahim Sangaré | M | 45 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Omari Hutchinson | M | 67 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2/3 |
| Neco Williams | D | 98 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| James McAtee | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dan Ndoye | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dilane Bakwa | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stefan Ortega | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Morato | D | 48 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Yates | M | 31 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luca Netz | D | 31 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Taiwo Awoniyi | F | 10 | 6.6 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Nicolás Domínguez | M | 53 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |