Sunderland vs Leeds
Sunderland and Leeds share the spoils
A goalless stalemate keeps both sides waiting for a breakthrough.
Neither Sunderland nor Leeds could find the net in a tight Premier League encounter that ended 0-0. The match defied Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a Leeds win, leaving both teams to settle for a point in a game lacking the expected goals.
Outcome probability
Sunderland and Leeds prepare to clash in what promises to be a closely fought league encounter. Both sides have had their struggles and successes this season, setting the stage for a competitive match.
Match factors
Sunderland missing key defenders
Confirmed out defenders D. Ballard and T. Meunier weaken Sunderland's defense, increasing Leeds' scoring chances
Leeds' attacking form stronger than Sunderland's
Leeds average 1.3 goals per game vs Sunderland's 0.86, supporting predicted away win
Leeds' defenders contribute offensively
T. Muharemović's high passing and assist potential from defense offers Leeds tactical width and creativity
Sunderland's midfield passing strength
G. Xhaka's passing accuracy and volume exceed league averages, key for build-up play despite team's struggles
The context
Sunderland sit 18th in the league with just 4 points from 6 games, struggling to find consistent form. Leeds, meanwhile, are in a healthier position at 8th with 9 points, boasting a better goal difference and points-per-game ratio. Historically, their head-to-head record is fairly balanced with Sunderland winning 3 of 9 meetings, Leeds 2, and 4 draws.
Key insights
- G
G. Xhaka
Sunderland
Xhaka's passing accuracy of 85% and high involvement with 366 passes in 6 games make him crucial for Sunderland's build-up play despite the team's struggles.
Premier League 26/2785% passing accuracy, 366 passes in 6 games
- T
T. Muharemović
Leeds
Muharemović's high passing volume and 2 assists from defense provide Leeds with tactical width and creative options.
Premier League 26/27309 passes, 2 assists this season
Analysis
Leeds hold a statistical edge with a stronger goal difference and more points per game, suggesting they have the upper hand. Sunderland's midfield, led by G. Xhaka, shows promise with above-average passing accuracy and defensive contributions, but the absence of key defenders weakens their backline. Leeds' defensive unit, featuring T. Muharemović, not only defends well but also supports the attack with assists and high passing volume. The match is expected to be tight in the first half, with a 0-0 halftime scoreline likely before Leeds pulls ahead in the second half.
Key facts
- 1.Leeds currently sit 8th with 9 points from 6 games; Sunderland are 18th with 4 points.
- 2.Leeds have a superior goal difference compared to Sunderland this season.
- 3.In 9 previous meetings, Sunderland have won 3, Leeds 2, with 4 draws.
- 4.G. Xhaka leads Sunderland's midfield with 85% passing accuracy and strong defensive stats.
- 5.T. Muharemović contributes offensively from defense with 2 assists this season.
- 6.Leeds average 1.3 goals per game, Sunderland 0.86.
- 7.Predicted total cards for the match is 4, suggesting moderate discipline issues.
Prediction
The most probable outcome is a Leeds victory by 2-1, reflecting their slight advantage in form and squad depth. Sunderland may hold firm early on, but Leeds' attacking prowess and tactical width should see them edge the game in the latter stages. Expect a total of around four cards, indicating a moderately physical contest.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Sunderland
Away — Leeds
The verdict
While the prediction leans towards a Leeds win, the margin is narrow and Sunderland's midfield quality could keep them in the game. Fans should brace for a competitive match with moments of tactical intrigue and a late decisive goal.
Prediction generated 18 Oct 2026, 14:59 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Ampadu
Yellow Card
Reinildo
Yellow Card
Mukiele
Aaronson
Brobbey
Wilson
Bogle
Yellow Card
Le Fée
Angulo
Calvert-Lewin
Tanaka
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | +9 | 24 |
| 10 |  Hull City | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 |  Leeds | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5 |
Match Statistics
Sunderland
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 9B. BrobbeyF
- 10N. AnguloM
- 11C. RiggM
- 13L. O'NienD
- 17ReinildoD
- 20N. MukieleD
- 22R. RoefsG
- 27N. SadikiM
- 28E. Le FéeM
- 32T. HumeD
- 34G. XhakaM
Substitutes
- 6D. MethalieD
- 7C. TalbiF
- 15O. AldereteD
- 19H. DiarraM
- 29Jules AhokaM
- 31M. EllborgG
- 39M. FofanaF
- 50J. AnguloF
- 57Timur TuterovF
Leeds
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1J. TraffordG
- 2J. BogleM
- 3G. GudmundssonM
- 4E. AmpaduM
- 5T. MuharemovićD
- 9D. Calvert-LewinF
- 10H. WilsonM
- 11B. AaronsonM
- 15J. BijolD
- 22A. TanakaM
- 24J. JustinD
Substitutes
- 8S. LongstaffM
- 14L. NmechaF
- 16M. ZettererG
- 18A. StachM
- 19N. OkaforF
- 23J. BahoyaF
- 26M. BardD
- 44I. GruevM
- 50Alfie CresswellM
Sunderland
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Mukiele | D | 52 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| L. O'Nien | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | — |
| H. Diarra | M | 11 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Angulo | M | 79 | 6.7 | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | 4/7 |
| N. Sadiki | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Timur Tuterov | F | 25 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| R. Roefs | G | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Hume | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| C. Rigg | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| G. Xhaka | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| B. Brobbey | F | 65 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| E. Le Fée | M | 79 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | 4 | 1/3 |
| O. Alderete | D | 38 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Talbi | F | 11 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Reinildo | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| M. Ellborg | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Fofana | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Methalie | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Angulo | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jules Ahoka | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Leeds
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Trafford | G | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Okafor | F | 25 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| J. Bijol | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| T. Muharemović | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| H. Wilson | M | 66 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| A. Stach | M | 24 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| A. Tanaka | M | 89 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| J. Justin | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| L. Nmecha | F | 5 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Gudmundsson | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/2 |
| J. Bogle | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 4/4 |
| B. Aaronson | M | 65 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| E. Ampadu | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| S. Longstaff | M | 1 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| D. Calvert-Lewin | F | 85 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Alfie Cresswell | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Bahoya | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Zetterer | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Bard | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Gruev | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Sunderland vs Leeds?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Leeds to win against Sunderland.
- What score did Fipster predict for Sunderland vs Leeds?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Sunderland 1–2 Leeds.
- What were the win probabilities for Sunderland vs Leeds?
- Fipster's model gave Sunderland a 29% chance of winning, Leeds a 42% chance, and a 29% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 42% confidence — a low-confidence call.