Sunderland vs Chelsea
Your time to shine.
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Challenge a friendSunderland face a tough challenge against Chelsea in this regular season clash. Both teams have shown contrasting form, with Chelsea sitting comfortably in the top four, while Sunderland struggle near the bottom of the table.
The context
Chelsea currently rank 4th with 16 points from 9 games, showcasing a solid attack and defence with a +4 goal difference. Sunderland, on the other hand, are 20th with just 5 points from 8 games and a -8 goal difference, highlighting their difficulties this season.
Match factors
Sunderland's attacking options limited by injuries
Key attacker R. Mundle is out; W. Isidor doubtful, capping Sunderland's scoring threat
Chelsea's midfield creativity to exploit Sunderland's defense
Chelsea's M. Rogers and João Pedro provide strong attacking link-up and chance creation
Chelsea's superior passing and attacking metrics
Chelsea averages 2.1 goals per game vs Sunderland's 0.78; higher passing accuracy and volume
Sunderland struggles with defensive form and scoring consistency
Sunderland concedes 1.89 goals per game and has low home scoring (0.25), impacting chances
Analysis
Chelsea have the upper hand in their head-to-head record, winning 10 of 16 matches against Sunderland, who have won 4 with 2 draws. Sunderland's attacking options are limited due to injuries, with key attacker W. Isidor doubtful. Chelsea's midfield duo, M. Rogers and João Pedro, provide creativity and goal threat, supported by strong passing accuracy and volume. Sunderland's defensive frailties and low home scoring rate add to their woes, suggesting Chelsea's attack will find opportunities to break through.
Key insights
- M
M. Rogers
Chelsea
Consistent goal scorer and assist provider, key to Chelsea's attacking creativity.
Premier League 26/27Recent ratings above 7.0 with multiple goal involvements in this competition.
- J
João Pedro
Chelsea
Top scorer and assist provider when fit, vital for Chelsea's attack.
Premier League 26/27Strong recent form with goals and assists in this competition.
- G
G. Xhaka
Sunderland
Leads Sunderland in passing volume and maintains high accuracy despite team struggles.
Premier League 26/27Consistently 82-85% passing accuracy over 6-8 games in this competition.
Prediction
Expect a tight first half with no goals, as both sides feel each other out. Chelsea's superior attacking quality should see them pull ahead in the second half, edging Sunderland 2-1 in a closely contested match.
Key facts
- 1.Chelsea have won 10 of 16 matches against Sunderland, who have won 4, with 2 draws.
- 2.Chelsea rank 4th with 16 points from 9 games (W5 D1 L3).
- 3.Sunderland rank 20th with 5 points from 8 games (W1 D2 L5).
- 4.Chelsea have a +4 goal difference; Sunderland have -8.
- 5.Sunderland score only 0.25 goals per home game on average.
- 6.Chelsea average 2.1 goals per game this season.
- 7.Sunderland concede 1.89 goals per game on average.
- 8.W. Isidor is doubtful for Sunderland, limiting their attacking options.
The verdict
While Sunderland will fight hard, Chelsea's stronger squad depth and attacking prowess make them favourites to take all three points. This one promises to be a nail-biter, but the Blues should come out on top.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Sunderland
Away — Chelsea
Prediction generated 31 Oct 2026, 17:02 UTC · Fipster Model v1.166
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | +9 | 24 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 16 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 15 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who does Fipster predict will win Sunderland vs Chelsea?
- Fipster's AI model predicts Chelsea to win against Sunderland.
- What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Chelsea?
- Fipster predicts a final score of Sunderland 1–2 Chelsea.
- What are the win probabilities for Sunderland vs Chelsea?
- Fipster's model gives Sunderland a 32% chance of winning, Chelsea a 35% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident is Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigns this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.