Sturm Graz vs Heart Of Midlothian
- Aggregate:
- Heart Of Midlothian 0 6 Sturm Graz
- Advances:
- Sturm Graz
Match recap
Sturm Graz beat Heart Of Midlothian 4–0 in their UEFA Champions League fixture. Gorenc Stankovič, Mitchell, Weinhandl, and Heil scored for Sturm Graz. Sturm Graz held 33% possession to 67% for Heart Of Midlothian.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
2-0 Sturm Graz win
Actual
4–0
Outcome probability
Sturm Graz and Heart Of Midlothian face off in the 2nd Qualifying Round, with the home side looking to extend their dominance. Recent encounters have seen Sturm Graz assert control, and this match promises more of the same tactical discipline and attacking threat.
Match factors
Sturm Graz's defensive scoring threat
Three defenders have scored this season, adding unexpected goal sources against Hearts' weak defense
Midfield creativity from Gorenc Stankovič and Weinhandl
Both midfielders have contributed goals and assists, exceeding league averages for their positions
Strong recent home form for Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz scored 4-0 and 2-0 wins vs Hearts recently at home, showing clear dominance
Full squad availability for Sturm Graz
No confirmed injuries or suspensions, allowing strongest lineup and tactical consistency
The context
In this competition, Sturm Graz have played four matches with a record of two wins and two losses, scoring six goals and conceding three. Heart Of Midlothian, on the other hand, have struggled with two losses and no goals scored in their two matches. Head-to-head, Sturm Graz have won both previous meetings, underscoring their upper hand.
Key insights
- J
Jeyland Mitchell Baltodano
Sturm Graz
Baltodano offers an above-average goal and assist contribution for a defender, playing a key role with high minutes and strong recent form against Hearts.
UEFA Champions League 26/271 goal and 1 assist in 4 appearances, averaging 90.75 minutes per game
Jon Gorenc Stankovič
Sturm Graz
Gorenc Stankovič is a consistent starter who contributes both goals and assists, providing leadership and creativity in midfield.
UEFA Champions League 26/271 goal and 1 assist in 4 appearances, averaging 82.75 minutes per game
Luca Weinhandl
Sturm Graz
Weinhandl is a key assist provider with good passing stats and creative influence in midfield, crucial for setting up goals.
UEFA Champions League 26/271 assist in 4 appearances, averaging 73 minutes per game
Analysis
Sturm Graz's strength lies in their defensive players contributing to the attack, with three defenders scoring this season. Midfielders Jon Gorenc Stankovič and Luca Weinhandl provide creativity and goal involvement, exceeding league averages. The home side's recent form includes convincing wins over Hearts, and their full squad availability ensures tactical consistency. Hearts have yet to find the net in this competition, highlighting their difficulties breaking down Sturm Graz's defence.
Key facts
- 1.Sturm Graz have won both previous head-to-head matches against Heart Of Midlothian.
- 2.Sturm Graz have scored 6 goals in 4 matches in this competition, while Hearts have yet to score in 2 matches.
- 3.Three Sturm Graz defenders have contributed goals this season, adding unexpected attacking options.
- 4.Jon Gorenc Stankovič and Luca Weinhandl have both provided goals and assists, exceeding league averages for midfielders.
- 5.Sturm Graz have no confirmed injuries, allowing their strongest lineup to take the field.
- 6.The predicted halftime score is 1-0, consistent with the expected 2-0 fulltime result.
- 7.Moderate discipline is expected with around 3 total cards in the match.
Prediction
We anticipate Sturm Graz to take an early lead and maintain control, resulting in a 2-0 victory. The halftime score of 1-0 aligns with the predicted fulltime result, reflecting their ability to manage the game effectively. Moderate discipline is expected with around three cards in total, but nothing to disrupt the flow of the match.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Sturm Graz
Away — Heart Of Midlothian
No standout top scorers flagged for Heart Of Midlothian
The verdict
All signs point to Sturm Graz continuing their strong run against Heart Of Midlothian with a solid 2-0 win. Their blend of defensive solidity and midfield creativity should prove too much for Hearts, who will need to regroup for the next challenge.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 11:01 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Gorenc Stankovič
Assist: Mitchell
Goal
Penalty cancelled
Seidl
McEntee
Yellow Card
Mitchell
Assist: Kiteishvili
Weinhandl
Assist: Jacob Peter Hödl
Gorenc Stankovič
Yellow Card
Kyziridis
Heil
Assist: Weinhandl
Miller
Kabore
Jatta
Włodarczyk
Jacob Peter Hödl
Spittal
Soglo
McEntee
Ba-Sy
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
Sturm Graz
4-4-2Starting XI
- 2J. MitchellD
- 4J. Gorenc StankovičM
- 5A. VallciD
- 17S. WłodarczykF
- 18E. SogloD
- 19S. SeidlM
- 20S. JattaF
- 28J. HeilD
- 39Luca WeinhandlM
- 43Jacob Peter HödlM
- 53D. KhudyakovG
Substitutes
- 10O. KiteishviliM
- 11A. KayomboF
- 15G. MamageishviliM
- 21P. PetrovićD
- 22A. HelacG
- 23A. MalicD
- 26B. BeganovićF
- 27G. HaiderD
- 30P. KollerD
- 41E. LorenzG
- 44N. WeiperF
- 80R. FossoM
Heart Of Midlothian
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1A. SchwolowG
- 2C. BorchgrevinkD
- 5J. McCartD
- 6O. McEnteeM
- 7C. MillerM
- 10Cláudio BragaM
- 11P. KaboreF
- 16B. SpittalM
- 18H. MilneD
- 64M. Fagan-WalcottD
- 89A. KyziridisM
Substitutes
- 3S. KingsleyD
- 12T. RenaudM
- 17S. FindlayD
- 19S. GuendouzF
- 21J. WilsonF
- 22T. MagnússonM
- 23J. AltenaD
- 28Z. ClarkG
- 29S. KerjotaF
- 30R. FultonG
- 77A. Ba-SyF
Sturm Graz
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jurgen Heil | D | 90 | 9.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Luca Weinhandl | M | 90 | 8.5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Jeyland Mitchell | D | 90 | 8.3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Jon Gorenc Stanković(C) | M | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Daniil Khudyakov | G | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jacob Hödl | M | 71 | 7.6 | — | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2/4 |
| Emran Soglo | D | 79 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 2/5 |
| Albert Vallci | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Simon Seidl | M | 45 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/3 |
| Seedy Jatta | F | 71 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Szymon Włodarczyk | F | 70 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Petar Petrović | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Elias Lorenz | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Belmin Beganović | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gizo Mamageishvili | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Haider | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paul Koller | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ammar Helac | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Otar Kiteishvili | M | 45 | 8.0 | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | — |
| Arjan Malić | D | 11 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nelson Weiper | F | 19 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Ryan Fosso | M | 19 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Axel Kayombo | F | 20 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/3 |
Heart Of Midlothian
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malachi Fagan-Walcott | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oisin McEntee | M | 84 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| Jamie McCart | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Blair Spittal | M | 75 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cláudio Braga | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1/4 |
| Alexandros Kyziridis | M | 59 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Pierre Landry Kaboré | F | 59 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/3 |
| Harry Milne(C) | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/3 |
| Calvin Miller | M | 59 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/3 |
| Alexander Schwolow | G | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Christian Borchgrevink | D | 90 | 5.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Jordi Altena | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stephen Kingsley | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stuart Findlay | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zander Clark | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Fulton | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| James Wilson | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sabah Kerjota | F | 31 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| Tomas Magnusson | M | 11 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Severin Sabri Guendouz | F | 31 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1/2 |
| Amadou Ba-Sy | F | 31 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Tom Renaud | M | 15 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Sturm Graz vs Heart Of Midlothian?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Sturm Graz to win against Heart Of Midlothian.
- What score did Fipster predict for Sturm Graz vs Heart Of Midlothian?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Sturm Graz 2–0 Heart Of Midlothian.
- What were the win probabilities for Sturm Graz vs Heart Of Midlothian?
- Fipster's model gave Sturm Graz a 82% chance of winning, Heart Of Midlothian a 9% chance, and a 9% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 82% confidence — a high-confidence call.