Strasbourg vs Auxerre
Strasbourg steamroll Auxerre in dominant display
Five goals and a penalty see Strasbourg dismantle Auxerre at home.
Strasbourg put on a commanding show with a 5-1 victory over Auxerre, overturning Fipster's medium-confidence prediction of an away win. Dário Essugo opened the scoring just before half-time, and Strasbourg continued to pile on the pressure after the break with goals from M. Godo and a penalty by C. Harder. Although Auxerre's C. Archer pulled one back, Gessime Yassine sealed the emphatic win with a brace late in the second half.
Outcome probability
Strasbourg and Auxerre face off in what looks set to be a lively Ligue 1 clash. Both sides have had their ups and downs this season, sitting mid-table with Strasbourg just behind Auxerre. Expect a game where goals come at a premium and the midfield battle could be decisive.
Match factors
Strasbourg's attacking options limited by injuries
Key attackers J. Panichelli and Fabio Amadu Uri Baldé are confirmed out, reducing scoring threats
Auxerre's scoring streak supports predicted away win
Auxerre has scored in last 5 matches, showing strong offensive momentum
Midfield control likely decisive with standout performers
Players like Gessime Yassine and K. Danois exceed league averages in passing and duels, key for creating chances
P. Diop's defensive dominance could disrupt Auxerre's midfield
Diop's high tackle and duel win rates suggest he can stifle Auxerre's creative players
The context
Strasbourg currently occupy 14th place with 7 points from 7 games, while Auxerre sit just above them in 13th with 9 points. Historically, Strasbourg have the upper hand in their head-to-heads, winning 6 of their last 10 meetings compared to Auxerre's 3. However, recent form and attacking momentum suggest this fixture could swing in Auxerre's favour.
Key insights
- G
Gessime Yassine
Strasbourg
Yassine's high duel win rate and tackles per game above league average make him a key figure in midfield battles.
Ligue 1 26/2749-52% duel win rate, 2.3-2.4 tackles per game
- P
P. Diop
Strasbourg
Diop's exceptional duel win rate and interceptions provide a strong defensive shield to disrupt Auxerre's attacks.
Ligue 1 26/27~71% duel win rate, ~3.1 tackles per game, 91-92% passing accuracy
- K
K. Danois
Strasbourg
Danois leads with high passing volume and accuracy, crucial for Strasbourg's midfield control and creativity.
Ligue 1 26/27~57 passes per game, 81-83% accuracy, ~58-60% duel win rate
Analysis
Auxerre's recent scoring streak, having found the net in their last five matches, gives them a clear offensive edge. Strasbourg, meanwhile, are hampered by injuries to key attackers J. Panichelli and Fabio Amadu Uri Baldé, which may blunt their goal threat. Midfield battles will be crucial, with Strasbourg's Gessime Yassine and K. Danois showing strong passing and duel stats, while Auxerre's P. Diop offers a defensive presence capable of disrupting Strasbourg's rhythm. The predicted 1-1 halftime scoreline reflects a balanced first half before Auxerre pull ahead in the second.
Key facts
- 1.Auxerre lead the league standings slightly above Strasbourg with 9 points to 7 after 7 games.
- 2.Strasbourg have won 6 of the last 10 head-to-head matches against Auxerre.
- 3.Auxerre have scored in their last 5 matches, showing strong attacking form.
- 4.Strasbourg's key attackers J. Panichelli and Fabio Amadu Uri Baldé are out injured.
- 5.Midfielders Gessime Yassine and K. Danois excel in passing and duels for Strasbourg.
- 6.P. Diop of Strasbourg boasts a high tackle and duel win rate, key for defensive stability.
- 7.The predicted halftime score is 1-1, indicating a balanced first half.
- 8.The final score prediction is 3-2 in favour of Auxerre, suggesting an open game with many goals.
Prediction
The forecast is for an away win with Auxerre edging Strasbourg 3-2. The match is expected to be open and attacking, with a total of five goals scored. Strasbourg will likely keep pace in the first half, but Auxerre's offensive momentum and midfield control should see them secure the victory.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Strasbourg
Away — Auxerre
The verdict
In summary, this fixture promises an entertaining contest with plenty of goalmouth action. Auxerre's ability to maintain their scoring form and exploit Strasbourg's injury woes could be the difference. Fans should brace themselves for a tight, high-scoring affair that ultimately favours the visitors.
Prediction generated 25 Oct 2026, 18:13 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Sy
Yellow Card
Dário Essugo
Assist: Oso
Yellow Card
Yellow Card
Godo
Assist: Yassine
Godo
Makosso
Yellow Card
Harder
Penalty
Sy
Makosso
Danois
Namaso
Reyna
Doukouré
Archer
Assist: Faivre
Nardi
Yellow Card
Ahamada
Dioubate
Red Card
Yassine
Assist: Nanasi
Dário Essugo
Harder
Yassine
Assist: Oso
Faivre
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 23 |
| 12 |  Toulouse | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 13 |  Strasbourg | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 10 |
| 14 |  Auxerre | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -11 | 10 |
| 15 |  Le Mans | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
Match Statistics
Strasbourg
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1F. JörgensenG
- 6I. DoukouréD
- 10G. ReynaM
- 14Dário EssugoM
- 20M. GodoF
- 24L. HøgsbergD
- 29S. El MourabetM
- 31Abdoul Karim CoulibalyD
- 36OsoD
- 40C. HarderF
- 80Gessime YassineF
Substitutes
- 4J. MitchellD
- 7S. Amo-AmeyawF
- 11S. NanasiM
- 12M. PiekutowskiG
- 16G. AntwiD
- 21P. DiopM
- 23Diogo SousaM
- 26O. KellymanM
- 30J. OrtegaF
Auxerre
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1P. NardiG
- 4A. TuanzebeD
- 5K. DanoisM
- 8N. AhamadaM
- 9C. ArcherF
- 10D. NamasoM
- 15C. MakossoD
- 21R. FaivreM
- 22F. OppegårdM
- 27L. SyM
- 92C. AkpaD
Substitutes
- 13T. SiweD
- 20S. DiomandéD
- 23M. DiopG
- 29M. SenayaD
- 32R. MandengueD
- 34L. DioubateM
- 46A. PiedfortM
- 77Aristide ZossouM
Strasbourg
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gessime Yassine | F | 90 | 9.6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3/3 |
| M. Godo | F | 59 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1/2 |
| Dário Essugo | M | 78 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Oso | D | 90 | 8.1 | — | 2 | — | — | 2 | — |
| P. Diop | M | 12 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Nanasi | M | 31 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | 2/3 |
| S. El Mourabet | M | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Abdoul Karim Coulibaly | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| F. Jörgensen | G | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Mitchell | D | 24 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Høgsberg | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diogo Sousa | M | 24 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| C. Harder | F | 78 | 6.7 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0/2 |
| I. Doukouré | D | 66 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| G. Reyna | M | 66 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| J. Ortega | F | 12 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Kellyman | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Amo-Ameyaw | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Piekutowski | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Antwi | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Auxerre
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Archer | F | 90 | 7.4 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| R. Faivre | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| C. Akpa | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| A. Tuanzebe | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Piedfort | M | 27 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| D. Namaso | M | 63 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| N. Ahamada | M | 73 | 5.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| F. Oppegård | M | 90 | 5.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| P. Nardi | G | 90 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Senaya | D | 27 | 5.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Makosso | D | 63 | 5.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Mandengue | D | 27 | 5.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/4 |
| K. Danois | M | 63 | 5.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| L. Sy | M | 63 | 5.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| L. Dioubate | M | 11 | 4.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Diomandé | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Diop | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Siwe | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aristide Zossou | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Strasbourg vs Auxerre?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Auxerre to win against Strasbourg.
- What score did Fipster predict for Strasbourg vs Auxerre?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Strasbourg 2–3 Auxerre.
- What were the win probabilities for Strasbourg vs Auxerre?
- Fipster's model gave Strasbourg a 24% chance of winning, Auxerre a 51% chance, and a 25% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 51% confidence — a medium-confidence call.