Stoke City vs Charlton
Stoke City steamroll Charlton in dominant display
Four first-half goals from Stoke City leave Charlton shell-shocked at the bet365 Stadium.
Stoke City delivered a commanding performance against Charlton, racing to a 4-0 victory with J. Devenny starring by netting twice, including a penalty at 15'. E. Galbraith and G. Hirst also contributed to the early onslaught, all goals coming before the break. This emphatic home win was a surprising upset, defying Fipster's low-confidence prediction favouring Charlton to edge it 2-1.
Outcome probability
The new season kicks off with Stoke City facing Charlton in what promises to be a competitive fixture. Both teams have refreshed their squads over the summer, setting the stage for an intriguing battle as they seek to make a strong start.
Key insights
- G
G. Hirst
Stoke City
New signing expected to add fresh attacking options for Stoke City.
Championship 26/27N/A for new arrival
- A
A. Okonkwo
Charlton
On loan to bolster Charlton's forward line, potentially decisive in tight matches.
Championship 26/27N/A for new arrival
The context
Stoke City have welcomed G. Hirst and L. Graham through transfers, while losing T. Seko. Charlton have bolstered their ranks with the arrivals of A. Okonkwo and Tyler Bindon on loan, plus K. Ahearne-Grant as a free agent, offsetting the departures of T. Kaminski on loan and L. Dykes as a free agent. This summer business could prove pivotal in shaping their early-season fortunes.
Key facts
- 1.Stoke City have a significantly better goal difference (9 goals) than Charlton from last season.
- 2.Charlton have added three players this summer: two on loan and one free agent.
- 3.Stoke City have signed two players and lost one during the summer transfer window.
- 4.Charlton's departures include a loan and a free agent exit.
- 5.The predicted scoreline is 2-1 in favour of Charlton.
- 6.The draw is the second most probable outcome, with 1-1 as the most likely draw scoreline.
- 7.This fixture marks the first competitive league match of the new season for both teams.
Analysis
Despite Stoke City's superior goal difference from last season, the aggregated probabilities lean towards an away win for Charlton. The predicted 2-1 scoreline suggests a closely fought encounter, with Charlton's new signings potentially providing the edge. The draw remains a strong possibility, but the data favours Charlton to come out on top in this opener.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Stoke City
Away — Charlton
Prediction
We anticipate Charlton to clinch a 2-1 victory over Stoke City. While the margin is slim, the away side's summer reinforcements and tactical setup may just tip the balance in their favour for this season's first league match.
The verdict
This season opener sets the tone for both teams, with Charlton looking to make a statement on the road. Stoke City will be eager to respond, but the early advantage appears to lie with the visitors in what should be an entertaining contest.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Devenny
Penalty
Galbraith
Hirst
Assist: Bocat
Campbell
Gallagher
Devenny
Assist: Bocat
Leaburn
Yellow Card
Galbraith
Yellow Card
Ouma
McNamara
Yellow Card
Hirst
Lawal
Devenny
Coventry
Yellow Card
Leaburn
Rankin-Costello
Ahearne-Grant
El Hadji Djibril Soumaré
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 17 |
| 6 |  QPR | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Stoke City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 |  Bristol City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 |  Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 |  Birmingham | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +1 | 11 |
Match Statistics
Stoke City
3-5-2Starting XI
- 1V. JohanssonG
- 2B. JohnsonM
- 5L. GrahamD
- 8E. GalbraithM
- 13J. DevennyM
- 15G. HirstF
- 16B. WilmotD
- 17E. BocatM
- 18B. LawalD
- 20S. GallagherF
- 27El Hadji Djibril SoumaréM
Substitutes
- 4B. PearsonM
- 7J. McGlynnM
- 9R. BoženíkF
- 10Bae Jun-HoM
- 11L. CisséF
- 19T. RigoM
- 21L. BombinoD
- 24J. GriffithsG
- 40M. TalovierovD
Charlton
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5L. JonesD
- 7T. CampbellM
- 9K. Ahearne-GrantM
- 11M. LeaburnF
- 13A. OkonkwoG
- 16T. OumaM
- 17A. BellD
- 18I. MesíkD
- 26J. Rankin-CostelloM
- 34O. SkippM
- 44Tyler BindonD
Substitutes
- 6C. CoventryM
- 8H. KnibbsM
- 14S. CareyM
- 19M. AlliF
- 20D. McNamaraD
- 21T. BrooksG
- 30R. ApterM
- 32A. MwambaD
- 33Micah MbickF
Stoke City
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Galbraith | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1/3 |
| E. Bocat | M | 90 | 8.2 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| J. Devenny | M | 58 | 8.0 | 2 | — | 4 | 2 | 2 | — |
| G. Hirst | F | 57 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Talovierov | D | 32 | 7.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| L. Graham | D | 90 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Wilmot | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| B. Lawal | D | 58 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| J. McGlynn | M | 32 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| B. Johnson | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| B. Pearson | M | 11 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| El Hadji Djibril Soumaré | M | 79 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Johansson | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Boženík | F | 56 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| S. Gallagher | F | 34 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Cissé | F | 33 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Bae Jun-Ho | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Rigo | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Griffiths | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Bombino | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Charlton
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Alli | F | 18 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| O. Skipp | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| K. Ahearne-Grant | M | 79 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1/2 |
| Micah Mbick | F | 18 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| L. Jones | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — |
| Tyler Bindon | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| M. Leaburn | F | 72 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| A. Okonkwo | G | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Campbell | M | 26 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| J. Rankin-Costello | M | 72 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| T. Ouma | M | 46 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| I. Mesík | D | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| A. Bell | D | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| R. Apter | M | 11 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Coventry | M | 44 | 5.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. McNamara | D | 24 | 4.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Mwamba | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Knibbs | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Carey | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Brooks | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Stoke City vs Charlton?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Charlton to win against Stoke City.
- What score did Fipster predict for Stoke City vs Charlton?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Stoke City 1–2 Charlton.
- What were the win probabilities for Stoke City vs Charlton?
- Fipster's model gave Stoke City a 30% chance of winning, Charlton a 39% chance, and a 31% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 39% confidence — a low-confidence call.