Stoke City vs Bristol City
Stalemate at Stoke as Bristol hold firm
A goalless draw frustrates expectations in the Championship clash.
Stoke City and Bristol City played out a 0-0 draw, with neither side able to break the deadlock. This result defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a 4-2 home win, proving that goals were in short supply despite the forecast for an open game.
Outcome probability
Stoke City and Bristol City face off in what promises to be a lively fixture in the regular season. Both teams have shown glimpses of attacking intent, setting the stage for an entertaining match.
Match factors
Stoke City's midfield passing dominance
Stoke's midfielders like E. Galbraith exceed league passing averages, enabling control and chance creation
Defensive solidity from Stoke's backline
Defenders B. Wilmot and L. Graham show above-average passing and defensive stats, aiding build-up and defense
Stoke City's recent scoring streak at home
Stoke has scored in last 5 home games, supporting predicted 4 goals in this match
Bristol City's defensive injury concerns
Bristol City missing key defender R. Dickie (out) weakens defensive stability against Stoke's attack
Rio Cardines' dual role for Bristol City
Cardines contributes defensively and offensively with assists, vital for Bristol's attacking chances
The context
The two sides have met 17 times previously, with Bristol City holding a slight edge with 9 wins to Stoke City's 6, and 2 draws. The average goals per meeting stand at 2.6, but this encounter is expected to be more prolific, with a predicted total of 6 goals. Stoke City currently sit 9th in the league with 16 points, just ahead of Bristol City in 12th with 14 points, highlighting a close contest in the standings.
Key insights
- E
E. Galbraith
Stoke City
Galbraith's passing accuracy of 84% surpasses the league average, making him a key playmaker in Stoke's midfield.
Championship 26/27Passing accuracy 84%, averages 43-45 passes per game
- B
B. Wilmot
Stoke City
Wilmot's strong passing and recent goal threat add an extra dimension to Stoke's defence and attack.
Championship 26/27Passing accuracy 83%, averages 43-44 passes per game, scored recently
- L
L. Graham
Stoke City
Graham's consistent high ratings and recent goal and assist contributions bolster Stoke's defensive and offensive efforts.
Championship 26/27Passing accuracy 84%, recent ratings 7.36-8.26, contributed goal and assist
- R
Rio Cardines
Bristol City
Cardines plays a vital dual role, contributing defensively and providing assists to support Bristol's attack.
Championship 26/273 assists in the competition, high duel win rate
Analysis
Stoke City's midfielders, particularly E. Galbraith, excel in passing accuracy and involvement, enabling effective control and chance creation. Defenders B. Wilmot and L. Graham contribute both defensively and offensively, supporting Stoke's build-up play. Bristol City face defensive challenges with the absence of key defender R. Dickie, which could be exploited by Stoke's attack. Meanwhile, Rio Cardines offers a dual threat for Bristol City, contributing assists and defensive solidity. Stoke's recent scoring streak at home further bolsters their attacking confidence for this match.
Key facts
- 1.Bristol City lead the head-to-head with 9 wins to Stoke City's 6 in 17 matches.
- 2.Head-to-head matches average 2.6 goals, but this game is predicted to have 6 goals.
- 3.Stoke City ranks 9th with 16 points from 10 games (W5 D1 L4).
- 4.Bristol City ranks 12th with 14 points from 10 games (W4 D2 L4).
- 5.Stoke City's midfield passing accuracy exceeds league averages, aiding control and chance creation.
- 6.Stoke's defenders Wilmot and Graham contribute both defensively and offensively with high passing accuracy.
- 7.Bristol City are missing key defender R. Dickie, weakening their defensive stability.
- 8.Stoke City have scored in their last 5 home games, indicating strong attacking form.
Prediction
The most probable outcome is a Stoke City win, with a predicted halftime score of 2-1 and a fulltime score of 4-2. The match is expected to feature three cards, reflecting a competitive but fair contest. Stoke's attacking prowess and home form should see them edge out Bristol City in this high-scoring affair.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Stoke City
Away — Bristol City
The verdict
Expect an open game with Stoke City leveraging their midfield dominance and Bristol City's defensive vulnerabilities. While Bristol City will find opportunities, Stoke's firepower and home advantage should secure them a memorable 4-2 victory.
Prediction generated 17 Oct 2026, 16:01 UTC · Fipster Model v1.164
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Cissé
El Hadji Djibril Soumaré
Yellow Card
McNally
Yellow Card
Tolaj
Yah
El Hadji Djibril Soumaré
Knight
Yellow Card
Devenny
Ballard
Knight
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +10 | 25 |
| 2 |  Birmingham | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | +10 | 23 |
| 3 |  Stoke City | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 23 |
| 4 |  Swansea | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 23 |
| 14 |  Millwall | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 15 |  Bristol City | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 15 |
| 16 |  Lincoln | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 15 |
Match Statistics
Stoke City
3-4-3Starting XI
- 1V. JohanssonG
- 2B. JohnsonM
- 5L. GrahamD
- 7J. McGlynnF
- 8E. GalbraithM
- 11L. CisséF
- 13J. DevennyF
- 16B. WilmotD
- 18B. LawalD
- 21L. BombinoM
- 27El Hadji Djibril SoumaréM
Substitutes
- 4B. PearsonM
- 9R. BoženíkF
- 10Bae Jun-HoM
- 15G. HirstF
- 19T. RigoM
- 22J. TchamadeuD
- 23B. GibsonD
- 24J. GriffithsG
- 40M. TalovierovD
Bristol City
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2L. EissatD
- 3C. PringD
- 8J. WilliamsM
- 9L. TolajF
- 12J. KnightM
- 15L. McNallyD
- 19G. TannerD
- 21Rio CardinesM
- 23D. BallardM
- 27G. YahM
- 40B. CollinsG
Substitutes
- 1S. TickleG
- 4A. RandellM
- 5R. AtkinsonD
- 6B. De KeersmaeckerM
- 7Y. HirakawaM
- 10S. TwineM
- 11S. BellF
- 17J. WallaceM
- 20S. GreenwoodM
Stoke City
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Wilmot | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| B. Lawal | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| L. Bombino | M | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 2/4 |
| E. Galbraith | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 2/4 |
| V. Johansson | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Graham | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| R. Boženík | F | 9 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Tchamadeu | D | 21 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Johnson | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| G. Hirst | F | 69 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| J. McGlynn | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| J. Devenny | F | 81 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| El Hadji Djibril Soumaré | M | 69 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Cissé | F | 21 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| J. Griffiths | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Talovierov | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Rigo | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bae Jun-Ho | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Pearson | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Gibson | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Bristol City
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Collins | G | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Randell | M | 2 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Tolaj | F | 62 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Knight | M | 88 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| B. De Keersmaecker | M | 28 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| J. Wallace | M | 3 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| G. Yah | M | 62 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| S. Bell | F | 28 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Pring | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| L. McNally | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Rio Cardines | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| D. Ballard | M | 87 | 6.2 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | 2/6 |
| G. Tanner | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Williams | M | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Eissat | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| S. Tickle | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Hirakawa | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Twine | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Atkinson | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Greenwood | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Stoke City vs Bristol City?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Stoke City to win against Bristol City.
- What score did Fipster predict for Stoke City vs Bristol City?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Stoke City 4–2 Bristol City.
- What were the win probabilities for Stoke City vs Bristol City?
- Fipster's model gave Stoke City a 95% chance of winning, Bristol City a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.