Stjarnan vs Vikingur Gota

UEFA Europa Conference League1st Qualifying Round
Ref: U. AslamSamsung völlurinn, Garðabær · 2,300 cap
Fipster Pick
Home WinhighHit
Qualifying — two-legged tieLeg 1 of 2
Aggregate:
Stjarnan 5 3 Vikingur Gota
Advances:
Stjarnan

Match recap

Stjarnan beat Vikingur Gota 3–1 in their UEFA Europa Conference League fixture.

Fipster’s pre-match call

Predicted

2-0 Stjarnan win

Actual

3–1

✓ Called it

Outcome probability

Stjarnan 78%Draw 11%Vikingur Gota 11%

The first qualifying round fixture between Stjarnan and Vikingur Gota promises a solid home performance. Stjarnan have shown consistent attacking prowess at home, while Vikingur Gota have struggled defensively on the road.

Match factors

Tactical Advantagehigh

Stjarnan's home scoring momentum

Stjarnan has scored in last 4 home games with strong attacking form, boosting chances to score multiple goals

Statistical Edgehigh

Vikingur Gota's defensive vulnerability

Vikingur Gota concedes 2.5 goals per game on average, struggling defensively especially away from home

Form Momentumhigh

E. Atlason's recent scoring spree

Atlason scored 3 goals including 2 penalties in last meeting vs Vikingur Gota, showing strong form

Head To Head Factormedium

Key players scoring in recent encounters

Atlason and Nökkvason have scored multiple goals in recent matches between these teams, indicating key impact

Injury Impacthigh

Full squad availability for both teams

No confirmed injuries or suspensions for either team, so strongest lineups expected

The context

In this competition, Stjarnan have played four matches with a record of two wins, one draw, and one loss, scoring six goals and conceding four. Vikingur Gota have played two matches, yet to win, with one draw and one loss, scoring three and conceding five. Their recent head-to-head meetings show Stjarnan with one win and one draw against Vikingur Gota.

Key insights

  • E

    E. Atlason

    Stjarnan

    Atlason scored 3 goals including 2 penalties in the last meeting against Vikingur Gota, showing strong form and clinical finishing.

    UEFA Europa Conference League 26/273 goals in this competition this season, including a recent hat-trick vs Vikingur Gota.

  • G

    G. Nökkvason

    Stjarnan

    Nökkvason has scored in the last two matches against Vikingur Gota, maintaining consistent goal contribution at home.

    UEFA Europa Conference League 26/27Multiple goals in recent fixtures against Vikingur Gota in this competition.

  • B

    B. Warén

    Stjarnan

    Warén provides creative influence in midfield with above average assist contribution, including assisting Atlason's goals.

    UEFA Europa Conference League 26/27Key assist provider in recent games this season.

  • A

    A. Benjaminsen

    Vikingur Gota

    Benjaminsen remains a consistent goal threat despite the team's defensive struggles, scoring in recent matches against Stjarnan.

    UEFA Europa Conference League 26/27Goals scored in both recent matches against Stjarnan in this competition.

Analysis

Stjarnan's attacking momentum at home is a key factor, having scored in their last four home games. Vikingur Gota's defensive vulnerabilities, conceding an average of 2.5 goals per game away, further tip the scales. Players like E. Atlason, who scored a hat-trick including two penalties against Vikingur Gota recently, and G. Nökkvason, a consistent goal contributor, highlight Stjarnan's offensive threat. Vikingur Gota's A. Benjaminsen remains a threat but is unlikely to overturn the home side's advantage.

Key facts

  1. 1.Stjarnan have scored in their last 4 home matches in this competition.
  2. 2.Vikingur Gota concede an average of 2.5 goals per away game in this competition.
  3. 3.E. Atlason scored a hat-trick including two penalties against Vikingur Gota recently.
  4. 4.Stjarnan's record in this competition is W2 D1 L1 with 6 goals scored and 4 conceded.
  5. 5.Vikingur Gota have yet to win in this competition with a record of W0 D1 L1.

Prediction

The prediction favours a controlled 2-0 victory for Stjarnan, with a halftime lead of 1-0. The expected total of four cards suggests a competitive but disciplined match. Stjarnan's home form and attacking edge make them the clear favourites to progress.

The verdict

Overall, Stjarnan's home scoring momentum and Vikingur Gota's defensive struggles set the stage for a home win. Key players' recent performances support this outcome, making a 2-0 victory the most likely scenario in this qualifying round encounter.

Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 11:44 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163

Prediction Q&A

Who did Fipster predict to win Stjarnan vs Vikingur Gota?
Fipster's AI model predicted Stjarnan to win against Vikingur Gota.
What score did Fipster predict for Stjarnan vs Vikingur Gota?
Fipster predicted a final score of Stjarnan 2–0 Vikingur Gota.
What were the win probabilities for Stjarnan vs Vikingur Gota?
Fipster's model gave Stjarnan a 78% chance of winning, Vikingur Gota a 11% chance, and a 11% chance of a draw.
How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
Fipster's model assigned this prediction 78% confidence — a high-confidence call.