Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice
Nice snatch narrow win at Brest
Ajorque's early strike wasn't enough as Wahi and Diop turn the tide.
Stade Brestois 29 took an early lead through L. Ajorque's 15th-minute goal, but Nice fought back with E. Wahi equalising after the break and S. Diop sealing the win late on. Despite K. Lala missing a penalty deep into stoppage time, Brest couldn't salvage a point. This result defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a Brest rout, proving the visitors' resilience.
Outcome probability
As the Ligue 1 regular season rolls on, Stade Brestois 29 face off against Nice in what promises to be a one-sided affair. Brestois have been showing solid form at home, while Nice have struggled to find consistency.
Match factors
Midfield dominance by Brest's Doumbia and Chotard
Doumbia's goal scoring and Chotard's playmaking form a strong attacking midfield duo, likely to exploit Nice's midfield weaknesses
Brest's superior scoring form at home
Brest scores 2.33 goals per home game, well above league average, supporting predicted 4-0 win
Brest's recent scoring streak
Brest has scored in 4 consecutive away games and 3 of last 5 overall, showing strong offensive momentum
Nice missing key defenders and midfielders
Nice has 4 confirmed outs including defenders and midfielders, weakening defensive stability against Brest's attack
Defensive solidity from Brest's Locko
Locko's high tackle and interception rates with 75% duel win rate provide Brest defensive strength to maintain clean sheet
The context
In their 19 previous encounters, Nice have the upper hand with 9 wins compared to Brestois' 4, alongside 6 draws. However, this season tells a different story: Brestois sit 10th with 9 points from 7 games and boast a better goal difference (+5) than Nice, who are 13th with 8 points from 6 games. This sets the stage for a clash where current form could outweigh historical head-to-head records.
Key insights
Kamory Doumbia
Stade Brestois 29
Doumbia's 4 goals in 6 games make him a key threat, especially with his strong recent form.
Ligue 1 26/274 goals in 6 appearances, 0.67 goals/game
Joris Chotard
Stade Brestois 29
Chotard's 2 assists and high passing accuracy make him the creative engine behind Brestois' attack.
Ligue 1 26/272 assists in 6 appearances, 0.33 assists/game
- B
Bradley Locko
Stade Brestois 29
Locko's defensive prowess with 75% duel win rate and numerous interceptions is crucial for maintaining a clean sheet.
Ligue 1 26/272.5 tackles and 11 interceptions in 6 games, 75% duel win rate
Analysis
Brestois' attacking midfield duo, Kamory Doumbia and Joris Chotard, have been instrumental this season. Doumbia leads with 4 goals in 6 appearances, while Chotard contributes 2 assists and maintains high passing accuracy. Defensively, Brestois are bolstered by Bradley Locko, whose tackling and interception stats are impressive. Meanwhile, Nice face challenges with key defenders and midfielders missing, weakening their defensive stability. Brestois' home scoring rate of 2.33 goals per game supports the prediction of a commanding 4-0 win.
Key facts
- 1.In 19 head-to-head matches, Nice lead with 9 wins to Brestois 29's 4, with 6 draws.
- 2.Stade Brestois 29 rank 10th with 9 points from 7 games (W2 D3 L2).
- 3.Nice are 13th with 8 points from 6 games (W2 D2 L2).
- 4.Brestois have a superior goal difference (+5) compared to Nice this season.
- 5.Brestois score an average of 2.33 goals per home game this season.
- 6.Kamory Doumbia is Brestois' top scorer with 4 goals in 6 appearances.
- 7.Joris Chotard leads Brestois with 2 assists and high passing accuracy.
- 8.Bradley Locko boasts a 75% duel win rate and strong defensive stats.
Prediction
Expect Stade Brestois 29 to take control early, leading 2-0 at halftime and extending their dominance to a 4-0 fulltime victory. The match is likely to see a moderate number of cards, around three, reflecting a competitive but controlled encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Stade Brestois 29
Away — Nice
No standout top scorers flagged for Nice
The verdict
All signs point to a comfortable win for Stade Brestois 29, who will look to capitalize on their home advantage and current momentum. Nice will need to regroup quickly after this one if they hope to climb the table.
Prediction generated 18 Oct 2026, 20:41 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Ajorque
Clauss
Koutoune
Yellow Card
Wahi
Assist: Amoura
Doumbia
Yellow Card
Hein
Ajorque
Yellow Card
Wahi
Yellow Card
Mboup
Mama Baldé
Locko
Yellow Card
Amoura
Witsel
Doumbia
Chotard
Diop
Assist: Wahi
Diouf
Yellow Card
Magnetti
Yellow Card
Penalty confirmed
Jansson
Yellow Card
Lala
Missed Penalty
Nkounkou
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
Stade Brestois 29
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1E. SelvikG
- 2B. LockoD
- 4G. LlorisD
- 8H. MagnettiM
- 9P. MboupM
- 13J. ChotardM
- 17Mama BaldéM
- 19L. AjorqueF
- 23K. DoumbiaM
- 29L. TousartD
- 70K. LalaD
Substitutes
- 6M. DiambouM
- 7J. Nonge BoendeM
- 11N. EdjoumaF
- 18J. BourgaultD
- 20L. ZogbeD
- 21Ibrahim Yayiya KanteF
- 30M. PatouilletG
- 32L. C. Laine M.F
- 39D. N´GuessanF
Nice
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 5Mohamed AbdelmonemD
- 6H. BoudaouiM
- 7G. HeinM
- 9M. AmouraM
- 11E. WahiF
- 23Y. DioufG
- 27N. NkounkouM
- 28A. WitselM
- 36A. SeiduD
- 55Y. NdayishimiyeD
- 92J. ClaussM
Substitutes
- 8M. SansonM
- 10S. DiopM
- 21I. JanssonF
- 29N. NgoumouF
- 35X. Mandza TsiendiM
- 39D. CoulibalyM
- 41D. MoranaF
- 77T. BoulhendiG
- 84H. KoutouneD
Stade Brestois 29
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Ajorque | F | 90 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| K. Lala | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| H. Magnetti | M | 87 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| L. Tousart | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| G. Lloris | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Ibrahim Yayiya Kante | F | 10 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Chotard | M | 80 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Mama Baldé | M | 70 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| N. Edjouma | F | 20 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| M. Diambou | M | 10 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| B. Locko | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/2 |
| L. C. Laine M. | F | 3 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Mboup | M | 70 | 5.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/3 |
| J. Nonge Boende | M | 20 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| K. Doumbia | M | 80 | 5.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| E. Selvik | G | 90 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Bourgault | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Patouillet | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Zogbe | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. N´Guessan | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nice
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Wahi | F | 90 | 8.1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/3 |
| S. Diop | M | 27 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Mohamed Abdelmonem | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Hein | M | 63 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Diouf | G | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| A. Seidu | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| M. Amoura | M | 76 | 6.6 | — | 1 | 4 | — | 2 | — |
| J. Clauss | M | 54 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| H. Boudaoui | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/4 |
| A. Witsel | M | 76 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Y. Ndayishimiye | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Jansson | F | 14 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Coulibaly | M | 14 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Nkounkou | M | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/4 |
| H. Koutoune | D | 36 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| D. Morana | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Ngoumou | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| X. Mandza Tsiendi | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Sanson | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Boulhendi | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Stade Brestois 29 to win against Nice.
- What score did Fipster predict for Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Stade Brestois 29 4–0 Nice.
- What were the win probabilities for Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice?
- Fipster's model gave Stade Brestois 29 a 95% chance of winning, Nice a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.