Stade Brestois 29 vs Lyon
Stade Brestois 29 hold Lyon at bay
A solid defensive display and timely goals secure a 2-0 win for Brest.
Stade Brestois 29 claimed a 2-0 victory over Lyon in Ligue 1, with N. Edjouma opening the scoring in the first half and L. Ajorque sealing the win with a stoppage-time penalty. The home side's clean sheet and late penalty ensured a comfortable margin without conceding. Fipster's prediction of a home win was spot on, though the exact scoreline proved a bit more modest than expected.
Outcome probability
As the regular season unfolds, Stade Brestois 29 face Lyon in what promises to be an intriguing clash. Despite Lyon's higher league standing, Brestois are poised to make a statement with their attacking prowess and home advantage.
Match factors
Brestois' attacking midfielders outscore league average
Kamory Doumbia's 4 goals in 8 games exceed typical midfielder scoring, boosting Brestois' attack
Lyon's Pavel Šulc leads in assists for the match
Šulc's 3 assists in 7 games highlight his creative edge over Brestois midfielders
Ludovic Ajorque's recent scoring surge
Ajorque scored 3 goals in last 5 games, including strong home form, key for Brestois' predicted 3 goals
Brestois missing two defenders weakens defense
Confirmed outs Chardonnet and Le Guen reduce Brestois defensive depth, favoring Lyon's attack
Lyon's defensive contributions from Athekame
Athekame's 2 goals and 3 assists from defense add offensive threat and defensive solidity
The context
Lyon currently sit third in the league with 17 points from nine games, boasting a superior goal difference compared to Stade Brestois 29, who are 14th with nine points from eight matches. Historically, Lyon have the edge in head-to-head meetings, but recent form and home conditions could tilt the balance.
Key insights
Ludovic Ajorque
Stade Brestois 29
Ajorque's recent scoring surge with 3 goals in last 5 games makes him the focal point of Brestois' attack.
Ligue 1 26/273 goals in last 5 games
Kamory Doumbia
Stade Brestois 29
Doumbia's 4 goals in 8 games exceed the average midfielder scoring, boosting Brestois' attacking threat.
Ligue 1 26/274 goals in 8 games
Pavel Šulc
Lyon
Šulc leads Lyon with 3 assists in 7 games, highlighting his creative influence in midfield.
Ligue 1 26/273 assists in 7 games
Z. Athekame
Lyon
Athekame contributes both defensively and offensively with 2 goals and 3 assists, adding stability and threat.
Ligue 1 26/272 goals and 3 assists in 8 games
Analysis
Ludovic Ajorque leads Brestois' charge with three goals in his last five outings, making him a key threat up front. Midfielder Kamory Doumbia's impressive four goals this season add further firepower. Lyon's Pavel Šulc, with three assists, remains a creative force, while defender Z. Athekame contributes both defensively and offensively. However, Brestois' missing defenders may weaken their backline, though their attacking midfielders' above-average scoring could compensate.
Key facts
- 1.Lyon rank 3rd with 17 points from 9 games (W5 D2 L2).
- 2.Stade Brestois 29 rank 14th with 9 points from 8 games (W2 D3 L3).
- 3.Lyon have a +8 goal difference; Brestois have +2.
- 4.In 19 meetings, Lyon have 7 wins, Brestois 3, with 9 draws.
- 5.Ludovic Ajorque has scored 3 goals in his last 5 games.
- 6.Kamory Doumbia has 4 goals in 8 games, exceeding typical midfielder scoring.
- 7.Pavel Šulc leads Lyon with 3 assists in 7 games.
- 8.Brestois are missing two defenders, impacting their defensive depth.
Prediction
We anticipate Brestois to take an early lead, reflected in a 1-0 halftime scoreline. Their momentum and attacking efficiency should see them extend their advantage, culminating in a 3-1 victory. The match is expected to be competitive but ultimately controlled by the home side, with around four cards likely to be shown.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Stade Brestois 29
Away — Lyon
The verdict
This encounter offers Brestois a chance to climb the table with a confident home performance. Lyon will need to tighten their defence and find more attacking fluency to avoid a setback. Fans can expect an engaging match with goals and tactical battles aplenty.
Prediction generated 2 Nov 2026, 21:38 UTC · Fipster Model v1.166
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Edjouma
Assist: Doumbia
Tolisso
Yellow Card
Nartey
Penalty cancelled
Boudache
Yellow Card
Mama Baldé
Edjouma
Tagliafico
Boudache
Doumbia
Nakamura
Merah
Ajorque
Penalty
Ajorque
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 23 |
| 3 |  Paris FC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 |  Lyon | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +6 | 17 |
| 5 |  Nice | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 17 |
| 8 |  Marseille | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | +7 | 15 |
| 9 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 15 |
| 10 |  Lorient | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
Match Statistics
Stade Brestois 29
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1E. SelvikG
- 2B. LockoD
- 4G. LlorisD
- 8H. MagnettiM
- 11N. EdjoumaM
- 13J. ChotardM
- 17Mama BaldéM
- 19L. AjorqueF
- 23K. DoumbiaM
- 29L. TousartD
- 70K. LalaD
Substitutes
- 6M. DiambouM
- 7J. Nonge BoendeM
- 9P. MboupF
- 10G. VersiniF
- 18J. BourgaultD
- 20L. ZogbeD
- 21Ibrahim Yayiya KanteF
- 30M. PatouilletG
- 39D. N´GuessanF
Lyon
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1D. GreifG
- 3N. TagliaficoD
- 6T. TessmannM
- 8C. TolissoM
- 11Keito NakamuraF
- 13Z. AthekameD
- 18K. MerahF
- 19M. NiakhatéD
- 21R. KluivertD
- 26K. BoudacheF
- 99N. NarteyM
Substitutes
- 2M. BidstrupM
- 7E. NuamahF
- 16AbnerD
- 20F. BacherD
- 22Clinton MataD
- 24J. DuranvilleF
- 32Alejandro Gomes RodriguezF
- 40R. DescampsG
- 85N. KamaraD
Stade Brestois 29
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Edjouma | M | 67 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2/3 |
| K. Doumbia | M | 73 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 2 | 1/3 |
| L. Ajorque | F | 90 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 5 | 4 | — | 2/2 |
| L. Tousart | D | 90 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| M. Diambou | M | 17 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Selvik | G | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Lala | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| G. Lloris | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Locko | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| H. Magnetti | M | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/1 |
| J. Chotard | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Versini | F | 23 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| P. Mboup | F | 24 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/5 |
| Mama Baldé | M | 66 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2/4 |
| Ibrahim Yayiya Kante | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Patouillet | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Nonge Boende | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Bourgault | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Zogbe | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. N´Guessan | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Lyon
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Tessmann | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| C. Tolisso | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 3 | — | 3 | — |
| D. Greif | G | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Nartey | M | 58 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| M. Niakhaté | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Tagliafico | D | 67 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| R. Kluivert | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Abner | D | 23 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Z. Athekame | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| K. Merah | F | 79 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 4/8 |
| Keito Nakamura | F | 78 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | 4/6 |
| J. Duranville | F | 12 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| M. Bidstrup | M | 32 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alejandro Gomes Rodriguez | F | 11 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Nuamah | F | 23 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| K. Boudache | F | 67 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| F. Bacher | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Descamps | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Kamara | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Clinton Mata | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Stade Brestois 29 vs Lyon?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Stade Brestois 29 to win against Lyon.
- What score did Fipster predict for Stade Brestois 29 vs Lyon?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Stade Brestois 29 3–1 Lyon.
- What were the win probabilities for Stade Brestois 29 vs Lyon?
- Fipster's model gave Stade Brestois 29 a 95% chance of winning, Lyon a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.