St. Louis City vs Seattle Sounders
Match recap
Seattle Sounders beat St. Louis City 1–0 in their Major League Soccer fixture. Kossa-Rienzi scored for Seattle Sounders. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.66 for St. Louis City versus 0.67 for Seattle Sounders. St. Louis City sit 2nd in the Major League Soccer table while Seattle Sounders are 7th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
4-3 St. Louis City win
Actual
0–1
Outcome probability
St. Louis City and Seattle Sounders are set for a pulsating clash in the MLS regular season. Both teams boast attacking talent, promising a match full of goals and excitement.
Match factors
St. Louis City's attacking trio in strong form
Becher and Navarro show excellent recent scoring form, supported by creative midfielders like Wallem and Totland
Albert Rusnák's playmaking edge
Rusnák leads Seattle with 11 assists this season, providing key chances and set-piece delivery
Navarro's hot streak could decide the match
Rafael Navarro scored 5 goals in last 5 games, showing sharp finishing and confidence
St. Louis City missing key midfielder Pompeu
Pompeu is confirmed out, reducing midfield depth and creativity options for St. Louis City
Seattle's midfield creativity centered on Rusnák and Roldan
Rusnák and Roldan combine for goals and assists, crucial for Seattle's attacking transitions
The context
This is the third round of the regular season, with St. Louis City currently sitting second in the league, just ahead of Seattle Sounders in seventh. Historically, Seattle have dominated their head-to-head meetings, but recent form suggests a shift in momentum.
Key insights
Rafael Navarro
St. Louis City
Navarro's exceptional recent scoring form with 5 goals in last 5 games makes him a potential match-winner.
Major League Soccer 26/275 goals in 5 apps, 1.0 avg per game
Simon Becher
St. Louis City
Becher is a key attacking focal point with 6 goals this season and strong recent form.
Major League Soccer 26/276 goals in 25 apps, 0.24 avg per game
Albert Rusnák
Seattle Sounders
Rusnák's creativity shines with 11 assists this season, vital for Seattle's attacking transitions.
Major League Soccer 26/2711 assists in 26 apps, 0.42 avg per game
Cristian Roldan
Seattle Sounders
Roldan contributes both goals and leadership, scoring 5 times this season.
Major League Soccer 26/275 goals in 19 apps, 0.26 avg per game
Analysis
St. Louis City's attacking duo, Simon Becher and Rafael Navarro, have been in fine form, combining for numerous goals recently. Seattle's creativity largely revolves around Albert Rusnák and Cristian Roldan, who provide both goals and assists. Despite missing key midfielder Pompeu, St. Louis City's offensive firepower and home advantage could prove decisive in this encounter.
Key facts
- 1.St. Louis City currently rank 2nd in the league with 47 points from 27 games.
- 2.Seattle Sounders sit 7th with 41 points from 28 games.
- 3.In 8 head-to-head meetings, Seattle have won 7, St. Louis City 1, with no draws.
- 4.Simon Becher has scored 6 goals in 25 appearances this season.
- 5.Rafael Navarro boasts 5 goals in his last 5 games.
- 6.Albert Rusnák leads Seattle with 11 assists this season.
- 7.Cristian Roldan is Seattle's top scorer with 5 goals this season.
Prediction
We anticipate a thrilling match with St. Louis City clinching a narrow 4-3 victory. The halftime scoreline is expected to be 2-1, reflecting an open and attacking game from the outset. Expect a total of four cards, indicating a competitive but fair contest.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — St. Louis City
Away — Seattle Sounders
The verdict
This fixture promises goals, drama, and plenty of attacking intent from both sides. St. Louis City's recent form and home advantage should see them edge out Seattle Sounders in a memorable encounter.
Prediction generated 11 Oct 2026, 18:24 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Gómez
Durkin
Yellow Card
Roldan
Yellow Card
Kossa-Rienzi
Assist: Ferreira
Teuchert
De Rosario
Ferreira
Dotson
Yellow Card
Becher
Arriola
Yellow Card
Brunell
Rusnák
Wallem
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | +32 | 55 |
| 2 |  St. Louis City | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +15 | 51 |
| 3 |  FC Dallas | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +8 | 51 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | +15 | 46 |
| 7 |  Seattle Sounders | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +2 | 42 |
| 8 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | -9 | 40 |
Match Statistics
St. Louis City
3-4-3Starting XI
- 1R. BürkiG
- 6C. WallemM
- 8C. DurkinM
- 11S. BecherF
- 17M. HartelF
- 20Rafael Santos
- 21D. PolvaraD
- 24D. EdelmanM
- 32T. BaumgartlD
- 36C. TeuchertF
- 99J. OrozcoD
Substitutes
- 4M. FallD
- 5L. MacNaughtonD
- 12Célio PompeuM
- 16S. CórdovaF
- 28M. PerezM
- 39B. LundtG
- 59M. JoynerM
- 77Jeong Sang-BinF
- 80Brendan McSorleyF
Seattle Sounders
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5N. ToloD
- 7C. RoldanM
- 9J. FerreiraM
- 11A. RusnákM
- 16A. RoldanD
- 25J. RagenD
- 26A. ThomasG
- 28Y. GómezD
- 31H. DotsonM
- 37S. BrunellM
- 95O. De RosarioF
Substitutes
- 17P. ArriolaF
- 19D. MusovskiF
- 24S. FreiG
- 33C. BakerD
- 36Y. Tsukanome
- 44N. PetkovićM
- 50M. AnchorG
- 85K. Kossa-RienziM
- 93G. MinoungouF
St. Louis City
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cedric Teuchert | F | 57 | 7.3 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2/3 |
| Jaziel Orozco | D | 97 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Timo Baumgartl | D | 97 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dante Polvara | D | 97 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Daniel Edelman | M | 97 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Christopher Durkin | M | 97 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/4 |
| Roman Bürki(C) | G | 97 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcel Hartel | F | 97 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0/3 |
| Simon Becher | F | 78 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Conrad Wallem | M | 88 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 0/1 |
| Rafael Santos | M | 97 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Benjamin Lundt | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mamadou Mbacke | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lukas MacNaughton | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mykhi Joyner | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miguel Perez | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Celio Pompeu | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sang-bin Jeong | F | 9 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sergio Córdova | F | 40 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brendan McSorley | F | 19 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
Seattle Sounders
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Roldán | D | 97 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrew Thomas | G | 97 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Albert Rusnák | M | 85 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jackson Ragen | D | 97 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Nouhou Tolo | D | 97 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/4 |
| Cristian Roldán(C) | M | 97 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Yeimar Gómez | D | 23 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Hassani Dotson | M | 97 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Osaze De Rosario | F | 64 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Snyder Brunell | M | 85 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Jesús Ferreira | M | 64 | 6.3 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Georgi Minoungou | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Max Anchor | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stefan Frei | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kalani Kossa-Rienzi | M | 74 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Paul Arriola | F | 33 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Nikola Petković | M | 12 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cody Baker | D | 12 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Musovski | F | 33 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win St. Louis City vs Seattle Sounders?
- Fipster's AI model predicted St. Louis City to win against Seattle Sounders.
- What score did Fipster predict for St. Louis City vs Seattle Sounders?
- Fipster predicted a final score of St. Louis City 4–3 Seattle Sounders.
- What were the win probabilities for St. Louis City vs Seattle Sounders?
- Fipster's model gave St. Louis City a 95% chance of winning, Seattle Sounders a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.