St. Louis City vs Real Salt Lake
St. Louis City and Real Salt Lake share spoils
A tight 1-1 draw defies expectations of a St. Louis rout.
Real Salt Lake took the lead through S. Solans just after the hour mark, only for M. Hartel to level for St. Louis City thirteen minutes later. Despite Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a dominant 4-0 home win, the match ended in a balanced draw, proving the forecast a notable upset.
Analysis
St. Louis City and Real Salt Lake face off in what promises to be a one-sided affair. With St. Louis City showing solid recent form and Real Salt Lake missing key attackers, the home side looks poised to run riot.
Currently, St. Louis City sit 8th in the league with 22 points from 16 games, while Real Salt Lake are 4th with 26 points from 15 games. Despite Real Salt Lake's better goal difference, their absence of key attackers and St. Louis City's home scoring streak set the stage for a dominant home performance.
St. Louis City's recent momentum is clear, having won 4 of their last 5 matches and scoring in each of their last 5 home games, averaging 2 goals per match. Marcel Hartel leads the charge with 7 goals this season and excellent home form, supported by creative midfielders like Tomas Totland and Daniel Edelman. Real Salt Lake's attack is weakened by the confirmed absence of two key forwards, making it difficult for them to contain St. Louis City's offensive threat.
Prediction
The prediction strongly favours a home win with a 4-0 scoreline, supported by a 95% confidence level. The halftime score is expected to be 2-0, reflecting St. Louis City's early dominance. The match is also predicted to see around 4 cards, indicating a competitive but controlled encounter.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Home team's attacking midfield strength vs away defense
St. Louis City's midfielders like Hartel and Edelman have strong recent form and assist potential against a Real Salt Lake defense missing key players
St. Louis City's home scoring streak
The home team has scored in their last 5 home games, averaging 2 goals per home match, supporting the predicted 4-0 scoreline
Real Salt Lake missing key attackers
Real Salt Lake is without two attackers (Hezarkhani and Piol) confirmed out, weakening their offensive threat
St. Louis City's recent winning streak
St. Louis City has won 4 of their last 5 matches, showing strong momentum going into this fixture
Key Takeaways
All signs point to St. Louis City securing a comprehensive victory over Real Salt Lake. Their attacking strength, combined with Real Salt Lake's injury woes, should ensure a comfortable win and a boost in confidence for the home side.
- St. Louis City are 8th in the league with 22 points from 16 games (W6 D4 L6).
- Real Salt Lake are 4th with 26 points from 15 games (W8 D2 L5).
- Real Salt Lake have a better goal difference (+6) than St. Louis City this season.
- St. Louis City have scored in their last 5 home games, averaging 2 goals per match.
- St. Louis City have won 4 of their last 5 matches, showing strong form.
- Real Salt Lake are missing two key attackers, weakening their offensive threat.
- Marcel Hartel is St. Louis City's top scorer with 7 goals this season.
- The predicted halftime score is 2-0, consistent with a 4-0 fulltime result.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — St. Louis City
Away — Real Salt Lake
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Chadwick Zachary Booth
Yellow Card
Löwen
Yellow Card
Quinton
Yellow Card
Yedlin
Yellow Card
Durkin
Yellow Card
Dillon
Rodrigues
Solans
Assist: Lobzhanidze
Durkin
Löwen
Hartel
Luna
Jeong Sang-Bin
Yellow Card
Jeong Sang-Bin
Solans
Chadwick Zachary Booth
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | +21 | 34 |
| 4 |  Houston Dynamo | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | +1 | 29 |
| 5 |  Real Salt Lake | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | +4 | 27 |
| 6 |  FC Dallas | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | +7 | 26 |
| 7 |  St. Louis City | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 26 |
| 8 |  Seattle Sounders | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | -1 | 24 |
Match Statistics
St. Louis City
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1R. BürkiG
- 5L. MacNaughtonD
- 6C. WallemM
- 8C. DurkinM
- 10E. LöwenF
- 11S. BecherF
- 14T. TotlandM
- 21D. PolvaraD
- 24D. EdelmanM
- 32T. BaumgartlD
- 77Jeong Sang-BinF
Substitutes
- 7T. OstrákM
- 17M. HartelM
- 20Rafael SantosD
- 27F. FallD
- 28M. PerezM
- 29P. AultM
- 39B. LundtG
- 59M. JoynerM
Real Salt Lake
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 1Rafael CabralG
- 2D. YedlinD
- 8J. SanabriaM
- 10D. LunaF
- 22S. SolansF
- 23Chadwick Zachary BoothM
- 26P. QuintonD
- 27G. DillonM
- 29S. JunquaD
- 70Lineker RodriguesF
- 92N. CaliskanM
Substitutes
- 4L. EngelD
- 6S. SpieringsM
- 11D. MarczukF
- 12S. LobzhanidzeM
- 17V. OlatunjiF
- 21J. AriasD
- 31M. StajduharG
- 39A. HezarkhaniF
- 98A. KatránisD
St. Louis City
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eduard Löwen | F | 65 | 7.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Timo Baumgartl | D | 91 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Roman Bürki(C) | G | 91 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lukas MacNaughton | D | 91 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Conrad Wallem | M | 91 | 7.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2/2 |
| Daniel Edelman | M | 91 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Dante Polvara | D | 91 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Christopher Durkin | M | 65 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Tomas Totland | M | 91 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/3 |
| Jeong Sang-bin | F | 84 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 0/3 |
| Simon Becher | F | 91 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2/4 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Palmer Ault | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fallou Fall | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mykhi Joyner | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafael Santos | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miguel Perez | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tomáš Ostrák | M | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Benjamin Lundt | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcel Hartel | M | 26 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 4 | 3 | 1 | — |
Real Salt Lake
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Junqua | D | 91 | 7.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Sergi Solans | F | 91 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Philip Quinton | D | 91 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| DeAndre Yedlin | D | 91 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lineker Rodrigues | F | 45 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Noel Caliskan | M | 91 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Diego Luna | F | 78 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Griffin Dillon | M | 46 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zach Booth | M | 91 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| Juan Sanabria | M | 91 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 3/5 |
| Rafael Cabral(C) | G | 91 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Aiden Hezarkhani | F | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lukas Engel | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexandros Katranis | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dominik Marczuk | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juan Jose Arias | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mason Stajduhar | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stijn Spierings | M | 45 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Victor Olatunji | F | 13 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Saba Lobzhanidze | M | 46 | 6.6 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1/1 |