St. Louis City vs Minnesota United FC
St. Louis City storms back to beat Minnesota
A five-goal first half sets the stage for St. Louis City's commanding win.
Minnesota United FC struck early through T. Chancalay, but St. Louis City responded emphatically with three first-half goals from D. Edelman, C. Holse, and Rafael Navarro. Navarro then added a penalty after the break to extend the lead, despite a penalty reply from K. Yeboah for Minnesota. The 4-2 victory for St. Louis City matched Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a home win, though the exact scoreline was slightly off.
Outcome probability
As the regular season heats up, St. Louis City and Minnesota United FC prepare to face off in what promises to be an exhilarating contest. Both teams have shown attacking prowess this season, setting the stage for a match packed with goals and drama.
Match factors
St. Louis City's attacking trio in strong form
Becher and Hartel lead scoring with consistent recent goals, supported by Edelman's creativity
Minnesota's defender Markanich is a scoring threat
Markanich has 7 goals this season, well above average for defenders, posing set-piece danger
Simon Becher's recent scoring surge
Becher scored 3 goals in last 5 games, showing strong finishing form
Doubtful status of St. Louis City's McSorley may affect attack
McSorley is doubtful due to fitness test, limiting attacking options if absent
Edelman's playmaking boosts St. Louis City's offense
Edelman provides 3 assists this season, key in linking midfield to attack
The context
St. Louis City currently sit 5th in the league with 37 points from 23 games, boasting a positive goal difference of +9. Minnesota United FC are positioned 11th with 29 points from 24 matches. The standings suggest a competitive edge for St. Louis City, but Minnesota's resilience cannot be underestimated.
Key insights
Simon Becher
St. Louis City
Becher's recent scoring surge with 3 goals in the last 5 games makes him a key offensive threat.
Major League Soccer 26/274 goals in 21 appearances, 0.6 avg per game last 5
Marcel Hartel
St. Louis City
Hartel's consistent scoring and strong home form bolster St. Louis City's attack.
Major League Soccer 26/276 goals in 16 appearances, 0.375 avg per game
Anthony Markanich
Minnesota United FC
Markanich's 7 goals as a defender pose a significant set-piece threat for Minnesota.
Major League Soccer 26/277 goals in 23 appearances, 0.3 avg per game
Daniel Edelman
St. Louis City
Edelman's creativity with 3 assists this season is vital for linking midfield and attack.
Major League Soccer 26/273 assists in 20 appearances, 0.15 avg per game
Analysis
St. Louis City's attacking trio, led by Simon Becher and Marcel Hartel, have been in fine form, combining recent goals and creative assists to trouble defenses. Becher, with 4 goals this season and 3 in his last 5 games, is a key threat, while Hartel's 6 goals and strong home form add to the offensive firepower. Daniel Edelman's creativity further boosts their attack. Minnesota's Anthony Markanich stands out as a scoring defender with 7 goals, posing a significant threat on set pieces. The match is expected to be a goal fest, with both sides likely to exploit defensive lapses.
Key facts
- 1.St. Louis City are 5th in the league with 37 points from 23 games (W10 D7 L6).
- 2.Minnesota United FC are 11th with 29 points from 24 games (W7 D8 L9).
- 3.St. Louis City have a goal difference of +9, significantly better than Minnesota United.
- 4.Simon Becher has scored 4 goals this season, including 3 in his last 5 games.
- 5.Marcel Hartel has 6 goals in 16 appearances, showing strong home form.
- 6.Anthony Markanich, a defender for Minnesota, has scored 7 goals this season.
- 7.Daniel Edelman has contributed 3 assists, aiding St. Louis City's attacking play.
Prediction
Despite the low confidence in the outcome, the prediction leans towards a home win for St. Louis City with a thrilling 4-3 scoreline. The close probabilities for home and away wins reflect the tight nature of this fixture, but the home side's attacking momentum and goal difference give them a slight edge.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — St. Louis City
Away — Minnesota United FC
The verdict
In what should be a captivating encounter, expect end-to-end action and plenty of goals. St. Louis City's attacking strengths and Minnesota's set-piece threat promise a match that keeps fans on the edge of their seats, culminating in a narrow victory for the home side.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Chancalay
Assist: Pereyra
Edelman
Holse
Assist: Wallem
Navarro
Assist: Holse
Boxall
Yellow Card
Navarro
Penalty
Rafael Santos
Holse
Edelman
Yeboah
Penalty
Duncan
Yellow Card
Yeboah
Romero
Trapp
Becher
Fall
Duncan
Red Card
Chancalay
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | +30 | 46 |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | +8 | 41 |
| 5 |  St. Louis City | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | +7 | 41 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | +14 | 40 |
| 11 |  Real Salt Lake | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | -2 | 29 |
| 12 |  Minnesota United FC | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 |  Austin | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | -12 | 29 |
Match Statistics
St. Louis City
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 1R. BürkiG
- 6C. WallemM
- 9Rafael NavarroF
- 11S. BecherF
- 19C. HolseM
- 20Rafael SantosM
- 21D. PolvaraM
- 24D. EdelmanM
- 27F. FallD
- 32T. BaumgartlD
- 99J. OrozcoD
Substitutes
- 4M. FallD
- 5L. MacNaughtonD
- 7T. OstrákM
- 8C. DurkinM
- 14T. TotlandD
- 23A. MățanM
- 39B. LundtG
- 42D. DownsF
- 77Jeong Sang-BinF
Minnesota United FC
3-4-3Starting XI
- 3K. DuncanM
- 5N. RomeroD
- 8T. ChancalayF
- 9K. YeboahF
- 12D. CallenderG
- 13A. MarkanichM
- 15M. BoxallD
- 20W. TrappM
- 26J. PereyraF
- 30O. GeneM
- 67C. HarveyD
Substitutes
- 1A. SmirG
- 11M. MaloneF
- 16A. JacksonM
- 18M. GonzalezF
- 22Marcus CaldeiraF
- 25N. TriantisD
- 27D. TaylorD
- 28J. DíazD
- 33K. ChandlerD
St. Louis City
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Holse | M | 59 | 8.5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
| Rafael Navarro | F | 90 | 8.2 | 2 | — | 3 | 2 | — | 1/1 |
| D. Edelman | M | 59 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Wallem | M | 90 | 7.1 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0/1 |
| F. Fall | D | 76 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| J. Orozco | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Baumgartl | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| C. Durkin | M | 31 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Downs | F | 14 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Becher | F | 76 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Rafael Santos | M | 59 | 6.4 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| A. Mățan | M | 31 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| D. Polvara | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| T. Totland | D | 31 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. MacNaughton | D | 14 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Bürki | G | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jeong Sang-Bin | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Fall | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Lundt | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Ostrák | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Minnesota United FC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Chancalay | F | 83 | 7.4 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| J. Pereyra | F | 90 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 3 | 2/2 |
| K. Yeboah | F | 75 | 6.8 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | — | 1/1 |
| A. Markanich | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| C. Harvey | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| O. Gene | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| M. Malone | F | 15 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| W. Trapp | M | 75 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| D. Callender | G | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Díaz | D | 15 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| A. Jackson | M | 7 | 5.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| N. Triantis | D | 15 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Romero | D | 75 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Boxall | D | 90 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| K. Duncan | M | 80 | 4.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Marcus Caldeira | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Chandler | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Gonzalez | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Smir | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Taylor | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |