St. Louis City vs FC Dallas
Dallas snatches draw in seven-goal thriller
St. Louis City’s early firepower meets Dallas’s late resilience in a pulsating MLS clash.
St. Louis City looked set for a comfortable win with goals from S. Becher, D. Edelman, and C. Holse putting them ahead, but FC Dallas fought back with strikes from S. Moore, S. Ibeagha, and a last-gasp L. Farrington equaliser deep into stoppage time. The 3-3 draw defied Fipster’s high-confidence prediction of a St. Louis City 4-1 victory, proving this match was far too close to call.
Outcome probability
As the regular season nears its final stages, St. Louis City and FC Dallas face off in what promises to be an entertaining clash. Both teams sit close in the league standings, making this match crucial for their ambitions.
Match factors
St. Louis City's potent attacking trio
Becher, Hartel, and Löwen form a strong attacking unit with combined recent goals and assists, likely to exploit FC Dallas defense
P. Musa's prolific scoring form
Musa leads FC Dallas with 16 goals in 18 games, a major threat even away from home
Durkin suspension weakens St. Louis midfield
Durkin's confirmed out status due to yellow card suspension reduces midfield defensive stability
St. Louis City's recent scoring streak
Team has scored in last 5 home games, showing strong offensive momentum
Valiente's creative influence for FC Dallas
Top assister with 6 assists, Valiente's creativity could unlock St. Louis defense if Delgado is fit
The context
With both sides level on 33 points—FC Dallas just a spot above St. Louis City—their recent encounters have been fairly balanced. Across eight meetings, the rivalry is tight with three draws and a slight edge to FC Dallas in wins. However, FC Dallas boasts a better goal difference this season, adding an intriguing layer to this contest.
Key insights
S. Becher
St. Louis City
Becher's recent scoring streak and key role in attack make him a major threat at home.
Major League Soccer 26/273 goals in last 5 games, 6 goals in 19 appearances
P. Musa
FC Dallas
Musa's prolific scoring, especially away, poses a constant danger to St. Louis City's defence.
Major League Soccer 26/2716 goals in 18 appearances, 3 goals in last 5 away games
M. Hartel
St. Louis City
Hartel's consistent goal and assist contributions bolster St. Louis City's attacking options.
Major League Soccer 26/276 goals and 3 assists in 16 appearances
J. Valiente
FC Dallas
Valiente's creativity with 6 assists could unlock chances if FC Dallas find their rhythm.
Major League Soccer 26/276 assists in 19 appearances
Analysis
St. Louis City's attacking trio of Becher, Hartel, and Löwen have been in fine form, combining goals and assists to great effect, especially at home where the team has scored in their last five matches. Meanwhile, FC Dallas rely heavily on Musa, their league-leading scorer, who has been prolific even away from home. The absence of Durkin due to suspension may weaken St. Louis City's midfield stability, but their offensive momentum and home advantage are expected to prevail.
Key facts
- 1.St. Louis City and FC Dallas are level on 33 points, sitting 6th and 5th respectively in the league.
- 2.In eight head-to-head meetings, FC Dallas have won 3, St. Louis City 2, with 3 draws.
- 3.FC Dallas have a superior goal difference (+9) compared to St. Louis City's (+3) this season.
- 4.St. Louis City have scored in their last five home games, showing strong offensive momentum.
- 5.P. Musa leads FC Dallas with 16 goals in 18 games, a significant threat even away from home.
- 6.S. Becher has scored 3 goals in his last 5 games, making him a key attacking figure for St. Louis City.
- 7.M. Hartel has contributed 6 goals and 3 assists this season, providing consistent attacking support.
Prediction
Expect St. Louis City to take an early lead, reflected in the predicted 2-0 halftime score. Their attacking prowess should continue into the second half, culminating in a 4-1 victory. The match is also likely to see a fair share of discipline, with around four cards expected.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — St. Louis City
Away — FC Dallas
The verdict
This fixture is set to reinforce St. Louis City's growing reputation as a formidable side at home. While FC Dallas have the quality to trouble them, the home side's recent form and attacking depth make them the clear favourites to claim all three points.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Becher
Ramiro
Yellow Card
Moore
Edelman
Moreno
Johansson
Mățan
Holse
Assist: Wallem
Ramiro
Kamungo
Jeong Sang-Bin
Ibeagha
Assist: Valiente
Orozco
Kaick
Musa
Yellow Card
Farrington
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | +30 | 46 |
| 2 |  Houston Dynamo | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | +4 | 43 |
| 3 |  FC Dallas | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | +7 | 43 |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | +8 | 41 |
| 5 |  St. Louis City | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | +7 | 41 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | +14 | 40 |
Match Statistics
St. Louis City
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1R. BürkiG
- 6C. WallemM
- 8C. DurkinM
- 11S. BecherF
- 14T. TotlandM
- 21D. PolvaraD
- 23A. MățanF
- 24D. EdelmanM
- 32T. BaumgartlD
- 77Jeong Sang-BinF
- 99J. OrozcoD
Substitutes
- 3T. Reid-BrownD
- 4M. FallD
- 5L. MacNaughtonD
- 20Rafael SantosD
- 28M. PerezM
- 39B. LundtG
- 59M. JoynerM
- 91Z. ZengueM
- 98C. HolseF
FC Dallas
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 3O. UrhoghideD
- 9P. MusaF
- 10S. MorenoF
- 14H. JohanssonM
- 17RamiroM
- 18S. MooreD
- 21J. ValienteF
- 25S. IbeaghaD
- 40J. SiroisG
- 55KaickM
- 77B. KamungoM
Substitutes
- 5L. AbubakarD
- 6R. BinyaminM
- 12C. CappisM
- 23L. FarringtonF
- 24Joshua TorquatoD
- 28Samuel SarverF
- 30Michael CollodiG
- 32N. NorrisD
- 33C. HolstadM
St. Louis City
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simon Becher | F | 20 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Jeong Sang-bin | F | 20 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tomas Totland | M | 20 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Alexandru Mățan | F | 20 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Roman Bürki(C) | G | 20 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Christopher Durkin | M | 20 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Conrad Wallem | M | 20 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Daniel Edelman | M | 20 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jaziel Orozco | D | 20 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dante Polvara | D | 20 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Timo Baumgartl | D | 20 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Lukas MacNaughton | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Benjamin Lundt | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mykhi Joyner | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafael Santos | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carlo Holse | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tahir Reid-Brown | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mamadou Mbacke | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miguel Perez | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zach Zengue | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
FC Dallas
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shaq Moore | D | 20 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Osaze Urhoghide | D | 20 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Herman Johansson | M | 20 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bernard Kamungo | M | 20 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Petar Musa | F | 20 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Kaick | M | 20 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Santiago Moreno | F | 20 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Sirois | G | 20 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joaquín Valiente | F | 20 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ramiro(C) | M | 20 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sebastien Ibeagha | D | 20 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Nolan Norris | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ran Binyamin | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Logan Farrington | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sam Sarver | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joshua Torquato | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Clay Holstad | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Christian Cappis | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Michael Collodi | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lalas Abubakar | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |