St. Louis City vs Colorado Rapids
St. Louis City edges Rapids with late strike
T. Ostrák's 83rd-minute goal secures a narrow home victory in MLS action.
St. Louis City managed to break the deadlock with a late goal from T. Ostrák in the 83rd minute, clinching a tight 1-0 win over Colorado Rapids. Despite Fipster predicting a more comfortable 4-0 victory, the model's call for a home win was spot on. The match was a far cry from the expected goal-fest, instead delivering a tense, closely fought encounter.
Analysis
As the regular season rolls on, St. Louis City look poised to extend their home dominance against Colorado Rapids. With both teams eager to climb the table, this clash promises plenty of action, but the stats and form suggest a clear favourite.
St. Louis City currently sit 10th in the league with 19 points from 15 games, while Colorado Rapids are 14th with 16 points. Historically, their head-to-head meetings have been fairly balanced, but recent form and home advantage tip the scales in favour of St. Louis City.
St. Louis City have been in fine attacking form at home, scoring in their last five matches. Marcel Hartel, their captain and consistent goal scorer, has been instrumental with multiple goals recently. Meanwhile, Colorado Rapids face challenges with key absences in midfield and goalkeeping, weakening their defensive stability. Rafael Navarro remains a threat upfront for the Rapids, but the home side's momentum and squad depth look set to overwhelm them.
Prediction
The prediction is a confident home win for St. Louis City, with a 4-0 scoreline the most probable outcome. A 2-0 lead at halftime is expected, setting the tone for a dominant second half. The match is also likely to see around four cards, reflecting a competitive but controlled encounter.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
St. Louis City's attacking momentum at home
St. Louis City has scored in last 5 home games, showing strong offensive form at home
Rafael Navarro's scoring threat for Colorado Rapids
Navarro is Rapids' top scorer with multiple recent goals, posing a key threat despite team struggles
Marcel Hartel's consistent goal contributions
Hartel has scored in multiple recent matches and leads St. Louis City's attack
Impact of key absences for Colorado Rapids
Rapids miss key midfielder Ku-DiPietro and goalkeeper Steffen, weakening midfield creativity and defense
Potential influence of doubtful players if fit
St. Louis City's Jeong Sang-Bin and Bürki are doubtful but could boost attack and defense if starting
Key Takeaways
In summary, St. Louis City's attacking momentum and home advantage should see them comfortably dispatch Colorado Rapids. With key players firing and the Rapids missing important personnel, expect a comprehensive victory that boosts St. Louis City's standing in the league.
- St. Louis City are 10th in the league with 19 points from 15 games (W5 D4 L6).
- Colorado Rapids are 14th with 16 points from 15 games (W5 D1 L9).
- In 7 head-to-head meetings, St. Louis City have won 2, Colorado Rapids 3, with 2 draws.
- St. Louis City have scored in their last 5 home games, showing strong offensive form.
- Marcel Hartel has multiple goals in recent matches and leads St. Louis City's attack.
- Rafael Navarro is Colorado Rapids' top scorer with multiple recent goals.
- Key absences weaken Colorado Rapids' midfield creativity and defense.
- Predicted total cards in the match is 4, indicating a moderately physical game.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — St. Louis City
Away — Colorado Rapids
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Holding
Red Card
Sealy
Ojediran
Yellow Card
Durkin
Yellow Card
Yapi
Cannon
Ojediran
Jeong Sang-Bin
Atencio
Yellow Card
Atencio
Becher
Durkin
Ostrák
Assist: Totland
Orozco
Hartel
Thompson
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | +21 | 34 |
| 6 |  FC Dallas | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | +7 | 26 |
| 7 |  St. Louis City | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 26 |
| 8 |  Seattle Sounders | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | -1 | 24 |
| 9 |  Minnesota United FC | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | -5 | 24 |
| 10 |  Colorado Rapids | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | +2 | 22 |
| 11 |  Portland Timbers | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | -1 | 21 |
Match Statistics
St. Louis City
3-4-3Starting XI
- 1R. BürkiG
- 6C. WallemM
- 8C. DurkinM
- 11S. BecherF
- 14T. TotlandM
- 17M. HartelF
- 21D. PolvaraD
- 24D. EdelmanM
- 32T. BaumgartlD
- 77Jeong Sang-BinF
- 99J. OrozcoD
Substitutes
- 5L. MacNaughtonD
- 7T. OstrákM
- 10E. LöwenM
- 20Rafael SantosD
- 27F. FallD
- 28M. PerezM
- 29P. AultM
- 39B. LundtG
- 59M. JoynerM
Colorado Rapids
4-3-3Starting XI
- 4R. CannonD
- 5Loïc WilliamsD
- 6R. HoldingD
- 7D. SealyF
- 8H. OjediranM
- 9Rafael NavarroF
- 10P. AaronsonM
- 12J. AtencioM
- 22L. HerringtonD
- 41N. DefreitasG
- 77D. YapiF
Substitutes
- 2K. RosenberryD
- 13W. Frederick IIM
- 16A. HarrisF
- 24N. CobbD
- 29M. NavarroD
- 31A. BeaudryG
- 32D. PhillipF
- 33K. ThompsonD
- 93G. MinoungouF
St. Louis City
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timo Baumgartl | D | 92 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Jaziel Orozco | D | 87 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dante Polvara | D | 92 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | — |
| Marcel Hartel | F | 87 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 4 | 2/3 |
| Tomas Totland | M | 92 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Jeong Sang-bin | F | 58 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| Daniel Edelman | M | 92 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Roman Bürki(C) | G | 92 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Christopher Durkin | M | 76 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Conrad Wallem | M | 92 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Simon Becher | F | 76 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Benjamin Lundt | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mykhi Joyner | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miguel Perez | M | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fallou Fall | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafael Santos | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lukas MacNaughton | D | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tomáš Ostrák | M | 16 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Eduard Löwen | M | 34 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Palmer Ault | M | 16 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Colorado Rapids
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael Navarro | F | 92 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Lucas Herrington | D | 92 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paxten Aaronson | M | 92 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Nicholas Defreitas-Hansen | G | 92 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hamzat Ojediran | M | 55 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Darren Yapi | F | 45 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Josh Atencio | M | 69 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Reggie Cannon | D | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Dante Sealy | F | 17 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Loïc Williams(C) | D | 92 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Rob Holding | D | 12 | 3.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Adam Beaudry | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Harris | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Donavan Phillip | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Keegan Rosenberry | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miguel Navarro | D | 75 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Georgi Minoungou | F | 47 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Noah Cobb | D | 47 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wayne Frederick | M | 23 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kosi Thompson | D | 37 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |