Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake
Real Salt Lake stuns Sporting Kansas City
A quick-fire double from M. Guilavogui and S. Solans set the tone for a confident away win.
Real Salt Lake took control early with goals from M. Guilavogui at 11' and S. Solans at 14', putting Sporting Kansas City on the back foot. Although T. Calheira pulled one back for the hosts before the half, Guilavogui's second strike after the break sealed a 3-1 victory for the visitors. This result defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a 4-1 home win, proving that the road trip was anything but a stroll for Sporting Kansas City.
Outcome probability
Sporting Kansas City and Real Salt Lake face off in a regular season MLS fixture where the home side looks poised to assert dominance. With both teams seeking valuable points, expect a lively encounter peppered with goals and tactical battles.
Match factors
André Luiz's prolific scoring form
André Luiz has scored 7 goals in 7 games, showing strong finishing and home advantage
Dejan Joveljić's leadership and scoring consistency
Joveljić leads Sporting Kansas City with 8 goals and is a consistent starter and captain
Calvin Harris as key creative force
Harris has 4 assists this season and strong recent form creating chances
Real Salt Lake missing Diego Luna
Luna, a key midfielder and scorer, is out with knee injury, weakening RSL's attack
Sporting Kansas City's strong home scoring streak
Sporting KC has scored in 4 of last 5 home games, supporting predicted 4 goals
The context
Real Salt Lake currently sit 11th in the league with 32 points, while Sporting Kansas City are lower down in 15th place with 22 points. Historically, Real Salt Lake have the upper hand in their head-to-head record, winning 10 of 20 matches compared to Sporting Kansas City's 5 victories. However, this season's goal difference favours Real Salt Lake by a significant margin, highlighting their stronger overall performance despite their mid-table position.
Key insights
André Luiz
Sporting Kansas City
André Luiz has been clinical with 7 goals in 7 games, including 5 goals in 2 recent home matches, making him a key threat.
Major League Soccer 26/277 goals in 7 appearances, 68.9 avg mins/game
Dejan Joveljić
Sporting Kansas City
Joveljić leads the team with 8 goals and is a consistent starter and captain, providing leadership and scoring consistency.
Major League Soccer 26/278 goals in 19 appearances, 90.3 avg mins/game
Calvin Harris
Sporting Kansas City
Harris is the top assister with 4 assists this season, offering creativity and strong recent form to unlock defences.
Major League Soccer 26/274 assists in 26 appearances, 78.8 avg mins/game
S. Solans
Real Salt Lake
Solans is the top scorer for Real Salt Lake with 10 goals but is currently out injured, weakening their attack.
Major League Soccer 26/2710 goals in 25 appearances, 71.2 avg mins/game
Analysis
Sporting Kansas City’s attacking duo, André Luiz and Dejan Joveljić, have been in fine form, with Luiz netting 7 goals in 7 games and Joveljić leading the team with 8 goals this season. Their home scoring streak, including 5 goals in the last 2 home matches, suggests they will be a handful for Real Salt Lake’s defence. Meanwhile, Real Salt Lake’s top scorer, S. Solans, has 10 goals but is currently recovering from an injury, which could blunt their offensive threat. Calvin Harris’s creativity with 4 assists this season will be crucial for Sporting Kansas City to unlock the opposition defence.
Key facts
- 1.Real Salt Lake lead the head-to-head with 10 wins to Sporting Kansas City's 5 in 20 matches.
- 2.Sporting Kansas City are 15th in the league with 22 points from 29 games (W6 D4 L19).
- 3.Real Salt Lake are 11th with 32 points from 28 games (W9 D5 L14).
- 4.Real Salt Lake have a significantly better goal difference (+32) than Sporting Kansas City (-37) this season.
- 5.Sporting Kansas City’s André Luiz has scored 7 goals in 7 games, showing excellent form.
- 6.Dejan Joveljić is Sporting Kansas City's captain and top scorer with 8 goals this season.
- 7.Calvin Harris leads Sporting Kansas City with 4 assists, providing key creativity.
- 8.S. Solans is Real Salt Lake’s top scorer with 10 goals but is currently out injured.
Prediction
We predict Sporting Kansas City will take an early lead, going into halftime 2-0 up, and continue their dominance to finish the match 4-1. The game is expected to feature around four cards, reflecting a competitive but controlled contest. Sporting Kansas City’s home advantage and attacking firepower should be decisive against a Real Salt Lake side missing key players and struggling to keep pace.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Sporting Kansas City
Away — Real Salt Lake
The verdict
In summary, Sporting Kansas City’s strong home form and clinical finishing make them favourites to secure a convincing 4-1 victory over Real Salt Lake. Their attacking stars are primed to shine, while Real Salt Lake will need to regroup quickly to avoid a heavy defeat.
Prediction generated 15 Oct 2026, 03:33 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Guilavogui
Assist: Caliskan
Solans
Calheira
Assist: André Luiz
De Fougerolles
Yellow Card
Guilavogui
Assist: Caliskan
Afrifa
Agyabeng
Marczuk
Sanabria
Yellow Card
Bassong
Calheira
Harris
Yellow Card
Bartlett
Yellow Card
Solans
Lobzhanidze
De Fougerolles
Guilavogui
Harris
Spierings
Yellow Card
Chadwick Zachary Booth
Yellow Card
Miller
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | +32 | 55 |
| 9 |  Colorado Rapids | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 10 |  Real Salt Lake | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -3 | 36 |
| 11 |  Portland Timbers | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | -5 | 34 |
| 14 |  Austin | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -18 | 31 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | -39 | 22 |
Match Statistics
Sporting Kansas City
4-4-2Starting XI
- 11André LuizM
- 14C. HarrisM
- 15Jansen MillerD
- 16J. BartlettD
- 17S. AfrifaF
- 18E. KarićD
- 19T. CalheiraF
- 20K. AgyabengM
- 22Z. BassongM
- 28Wyatt MeyerD
- 30S. ClevelandG
Substitutes
- 1J. PulskampG
- 2I. JamesD
- 7CapitaF
- 8J. DavisM
- 23E. BartlowD
- 24R. RamosF
- 29S. ReidF
- 93M. SuleymanovF
- 99J. ReidD
Real Salt Lake
5-4-1Starting XI
- 1Rafael CabralG
- 3K. HenryD
- 6S. SpieringsM
- 8J. SanabriaD
- 9M. GuilavoguiM
- 11D. MarczukD
- 12S. LobzhanidzeM
- 22S. SolansF
- 26P. QuintonD
- 44L. De FougerollesD
- 92N. CaliskanM
Substitutes
- 2D. YedlinD
- 19A. PiolF
- 23Chadwick Zachary BoothM
- 25Colin GuskeM
- 29S. JunquaD
- 31M. StajduharG
- 39A. HezarkhaniF
- 98A. KatránisD
Sporting Kansas City
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Calheira | F | 73 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| S. Cleveland | G | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Z. Bassong | M | 73 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| André Luiz | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/6 |
| E. Karić | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| S. Reid | F | 17 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Wyatt Meyer | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| K. Agyabeng | M | 62 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| R. Ramos | F | 3 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Capita | F | 29 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Afrifa | F | 61 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/3 |
| I. James | D | 17 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| J. Bartlett | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Jansen Miller | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| J. Davis | M | 28 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Harris | M | 87 | 5.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/3 |
| J. Pulskamp | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Bartlow | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Suleymanov | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Reid | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Real Salt Lake
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Guilavogui | M | 85 | 9.1 | 2 | — | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0/1 |
| N. Caliskan | M | 90 | 8.6 | — | 2 | — | — | 3 | — |
| S. Solans | F | 77 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| J. Sanabria | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 4 | — |
| S. Spierings | M | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| K. Henry | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| D. Marczuk | D | 63 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| P. Quinton | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. De Fougerolles | D | 85 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/2 |
| A. Hezarkhani | F | 13 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Piol | F | 13 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Katránis | D | 5 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Junqua | D | 5 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Lobzhanidze | M | 77 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Chadwick Zachary Booth | M | 27 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafael Cabral | G | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Yedlin | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Colin Guske | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Stajduhar | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Sporting Kansas City to win against Real Salt Lake.
- What score did Fipster predict for Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Sporting Kansas City 4–1 Real Salt Lake.
- What were the win probabilities for Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake?
- Fipster's model gave Sporting Kansas City a 95% chance of winning, Real Salt Lake a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.