Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union
Union snatch thrilling comeback at Sporting KC
Philadelphia overturns a three-goal deficit to claim a 4-3 victory.
Sporting Kansas City stormed into a commanding 3-0 lead inside the first 16 minutes, thanks to a brace from André Luiz and a goal from Wyatt Meyer. However, Philadelphia Union mounted an impressive second-half fightback, with B. Damiani, Cavan Sullivan, and M. Iloski scoring in quick succession after the break, before an own goal from Z. Bassong sealed the comeback. Fipster's high-confidence prediction of an away win was spot on, even if the exact scoreline was a bit off.
Outcome probability
Sporting Kansas City and Philadelphia Union face off in what promises to be an entertaining MLS regular season clash. Both teams have shown flashes of attacking prowess this season, setting the stage for a potentially goal-filled contest.
Match factors
Philadelphia Union's potent attack led by Iloski
Milan Iloski leads with 12 goals this season, providing a strong attacking edge for Philadelphia Union
Home team's reliance on Joveljić for goals
Dejan Joveljić is Sporting Kansas City's top scorer with 8 goals, key to their scoring chances
Philadelphia Union's consistent scoring streak
Philadelphia Union has scored in their last 5 matches, showing strong offensive momentum
Creative midfield duo Sullivan and Westfield for Philadelphia
Cavan Sullivan and Frankie Westfield combine strong assist records and passing to fuel attacks
Doubtful defender Ndinga may affect Philadelphia's defensive depth
Philippe Ndinga is doubtful due to hamstring injury, potentially weakening defensive options
The context
Sporting Kansas City currently sit 15th in their league with 18 points from 24 games, struggling to find consistent form. Philadelphia Union, meanwhile, have been on a scoring streak, netting in their last five matches, which bodes well for their attacking ambitions in this fixture.
Key insights
Milan Iloski
Philadelphia Union
Leading scorer with 12 goals this season, providing a strong attacking edge for Philadelphia Union.
Major League Soccer 26/2712 goals in 23 apps, 0.52 avg per game
Dejan Joveljić
Sporting Kansas City
Top scorer for Sporting Kansas City with 8 goals, key to their scoring chances.
Major League Soccer 26/278 goals in 20 apps, 0.4 avg per game
Cavan Sullivan
Philadelphia Union
Top assister for Philadelphia Union with 5 assists, strong creative influence.
Major League Soccer 26/275 assists in 23 apps, 0.22 avg per game
Analysis
Philadelphia Union's attack, spearheaded by Milan Iloski who has 12 goals this season, looks particularly potent. Their creative midfield duo, Cavan Sullivan and Frankie Westfield, have been instrumental in setting up chances, combining for 10 assists this season. Sporting Kansas City will rely heavily on Dejan Joveljić, their top scorer with 8 goals, to keep them in the game. However, the doubtful status of defender Philippe Ndinga could slightly weaken Philadelphia's defensive depth, though their offensive momentum is likely to prevail.
Key facts
- 1.Philadelphia Union have scored in their last 5 matches, showing strong offensive momentum.
- 2.Milan Iloski leads Philadelphia Union with 12 goals this season, a key attacking threat.
- 3.Sporting Kansas City's Dejan Joveljić is their top scorer with 8 goals this season.
- 4.Philadelphia Union's Cavan Sullivan has provided 5 assists, the highest in his team.
- 5.Sporting Kansas City sit 15th in the league with 18 points from 24 games.
- 6.The predicted fulltime score is 3-2 in favour of Philadelphia Union.
- 7.The halftime score prediction is 2-1 to Philadelphia Union.
- 8.The match is expected to see around 3 cards, indicating a competitive game.
Prediction
The prediction leans towards an away win for Philadelphia Union with a final score of 3-2. The halftime score is expected to be 2-1 in favour of the visitors, reflecting their strong attacking start. The match is also anticipated to see around three cards, indicating a competitive but fair contest.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Sporting Kansas City
Away — Philadelphia Union
The verdict
In summary, expect a closely fought match with Philadelphia Union's attacking quality making the difference. Sporting Kansas City's reliance on Joveljić will keep them competitive, but the visitors' consistent scoring form should secure them the three points.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
André Luiz
Assist: Johnsen
André Luiz
Assist: Harris
Meyer
Assist: Karić
Agyabeng
Yellow Card
Vassilev
Agyabeng
Johnsen
Yellow Card
Damiani
Assist: Westfield
Sullivan
Assist: Jean-Jacques
Iloski
Assist: Sullivan
Calheira
Sullivan
Yellow Card
Afrifa
Johnsen
Bassong (OG)
Wagner
Yellow Card
Sullivan
Iloski
Lukić
Harris
Yellow Card
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | +33 | 50 |
| 14 |  Minnesota United FC | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | -9 | 29 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | -32 | 21 |
Match Statistics
Sporting Kansas City
4-4-2Starting XI
- 3M. MosqueraD
- 4L. JohnsenM
- 11André LuizM
- 13J. ReynoldsD
- 14C. HarrisM
- 17S. AfrifaF
- 18E. KarićD
- 19T. CalheiraF
- 20K. AgyabengM
- 28Wyatt MeyerD
- 30S. ClevelandG
Substitutes
- 1J. PulskampG
- 15Jansen MillerD
- 16J. BartlettD
- 22Z. BassongD
- 24R. RamosF
- 29S. ReidF
- 33O. WolffF
- 57Diego BorgesD
- 99J. ReidD
Philadelphia Union
4-4-2Starting XI
- 4J. LukićM
- 6Cavan SullivanM
- 9B. DamianiF
- 10M. IloskiF
- 18A. BlakeG
- 19I. VassilevM
- 21D. Jean-JacquesM
- 26N. HarrielD
- 27K. WagnerD
- 39F. WestfieldD
- 44Neil PierreD
Substitutes
- 5J. Sery LarsenD
- 8J. BuenoM
- 11A. BedoyaM
- 16B. BenderM
- 23E. AlladohF
- 28A. AnelloF
- 31G. MarksG
- 33Q. SullivanM
- 51M. JakupovicF
Sporting Kansas City
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| André Luiz | M | 94 | 9.3 | 2 | — | 3 | 3 | — | 4/5 |
| Calvin Harris | M | 82 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| Wyatt Meyer | D | 94 | 6.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Taylor Calheira | F | 67 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kwaku Agyabeng | M | 45 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stephen Afrifa | F | 70 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Lasse Berg Johnsen(C) | M | 71 | 6.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Emir Karić | D | 94 | 6.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | — |
| Justin Reynolds | D | 94 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Stefan Cleveland | G | 94 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Moises Mosquera | D | 94 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| John Pulskamp | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Borges | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jayden Reid | D | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Jansen Miller | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Owen Wolff | F | 24 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Ruben Ramos | F | 12 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Seymour Garfield-Reid | F | 27 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zorhan Bassong | D | 23 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Jacob Bartlett | D | 49 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Philadelphia Union
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milan Iloski | F | 82 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2/2 |
| Bruno Damiani | F | 89 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Cavan Sullivan | M | 82 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3/5 |
| Danley Jean Jacques | M | 94 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | — |
| Andre Blake(C) | G | 94 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Neil Pierre | D | 94 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jovan Lukić | M | 82 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Indiana Vassilev | M | 45 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Kai Wagner | D | 94 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Frankie Westfield | D | 94 | 5.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Nathan Harriel | D | 94 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Japhet Sery Larsen | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Agustin Anello | F | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| George Marks | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ben Bender | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Malik Jakupovic | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jesus Bueno | M | 12 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ezekiel Alladoh | F | 12 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Alejandro Bedoya | M | 12 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Quinn Sullivan | M | 49 | 6.3 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0/2 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Philadelphia Union to win against Sporting Kansas City.
- What score did Fipster predict for Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Sporting Kansas City 2–3 Philadelphia Union.
- What were the win probabilities for Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union?
- Fipster's model gave Sporting Kansas City a 2% chance of winning, Philadelphia Union a 95% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.