Sporting CP vs Moreirense
Sporting CP edges Moreirense in tight contest
L. Suárez's second-half strike secures a narrow win for the home side.
Sporting CP managed a slender 1-0 victory over Moreirense in the Primeira Liga, with L. Suárez breaking the deadlock after the break at 61 minutes. Despite Fipster predicting a more goal-laden 3-2 affair, the outcome of a home win was spot on, albeit with fewer goals than anticipated.
Outcome probability
Sporting CP, also known as Os Leões, face off against Moreirense in the 11th round of the regular season. Both teams have shown competitive spirit, but Sporting's stronger form and attacking prowess set the stage for an exciting clash.
Match factors
Suárez's scoring form vs Moreirense's defense
L. Suárez's 8 goals in 9 games highlight his threat against a Moreirense defense conceding 1.7 goals per game
Creative edge from Catamo and Fresneda
Geny Catamo and Iván Fresneda provide high assist rates, boosting Sporting's attacking creativity
Sporting's consistent scoring streak
Sporting CP has scored in their last 5 home games, showing strong offensive momentum
Full squad availability boosts Sporting's chances
No confirmed injuries for Sporting CP ensures key attackers and playmakers are available
The context
Sporting CP currently sit 3rd in the league with 21 points from 10 games, boasting a +12 goal difference. Moreirense are 10th with 11 points from 9 games and a -5 goal difference. Historically, Sporting have dominated this fixture, winning 16 of the 20 meetings against Moreirense.
Key insights
L. Suárez
Sporting CP
L. Suárez's 8 goals in 9 games highlight his threat against a Moreirense defence conceding 1.7 goals per game.
Primeira Liga 26/278 goals in 9 appearances
Geny Catamo
Sporting CP
Geny Catamo provides a creative edge with 4 assists in 9 games, boosting Sporting's attacking options.
Primeira Liga 26/274 assists in 9 appearances
Analysis
The match promises to be a tight affair, with a predicted 1-1 scoreline at halftime reflecting the competitive nature of the game. Sporting's attacking threat is spearheaded by L. Suárez, who has netted 8 goals in 9 appearances, making him a constant danger to Moreirense's defence, which concedes an average of 1.7 goals per game. Creative midfielders Geny Catamo and Iván Fresneda add to Sporting's offensive options with their impressive assist records. Moreirense will need to be resilient to keep pace, but Sporting's consistent scoring streak and full squad availability give them the edge.
Key facts
- 1.Sporting CP have won 16 of 20 meetings against Moreirense.
- 2.Sporting CP are 3rd in the league with 21 points from 10 games.
- 3.Moreirense are 10th with 11 points from 9 games.
- 4.Sporting CP have a +12 goal difference; Moreirense have -5.
- 5.L. Suárez has scored 8 goals in 9 games this season.
- 6.Geny Catamo leads Sporting with 4 assists in 9 games.
- 7.Moreirense concede an average of 1.7 goals per game.
Prediction
We expect Sporting CP to clinch a 3-2 victory in this encounter. The home side's attacking firepower and recent form suggest they will just about outscore Moreirense in what should be an entertaining match.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Sporting CP
Away — Moreirense
No standout top scorers flagged for Moreirense
The verdict
In summary, Sporting CP's superior form, key player contributions, and historical dominance over Moreirense point towards a narrow home win. Fans can look forward to a competitive and goal-filled game.
Prediction generated 31 Oct 2026, 17:33 UTC · Fipster Model v1.166
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Songa
Vonić
Suárez
Assist: Doumbia
Luis Guilherme
Doumbia
Irankunda
Landerson
Suárez
Liberato
Martínez
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | +22 | 33 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +19 | 25 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +13 | 24 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +8 | 21 |
| 8 |  SC Braga | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 14 |
| 9 |  Moreirense | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 14 |
| 10 |  Famalicao | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 13 |
Match Statistics
Sporting CP
4-3-3Starting XI
- 4S. AndersenM
- 5Sergi AltimiraM
- 19N. IrankundaF
- 20M. AraújoD
- 22Iván FresnedaD
- 25Gonçalo InácioD
- 30KaiqueG
- 31Luis GuilhermeF
- 72Eduardo QuaresmaD
- 77I. DoumbiaM
- 97L. SuárezF
Substitutes
- 1Rui SilvaG
- 7F. IoannidisF
- 8João SimõesM
- 10Geny CatamoM
- 13G. VagiannidisD
- 17R. ZalazarM
- 18M. ZekriD
- 21Pedro LimaM
- 28J. DerryF
- 55Ibrahima BaD
- 58Flávio GonçalvesF
- 73Eduardo FelicíssimoM
Moreirense
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4Kevyn MonteiroD
- 7Manuel Ascenção Bebiano MendonçaM
- 11LandersonM
- 13André FerreiraG
- 17Álvaro MartínezD
- 23N. JohnM
- 28Chipyoka SongaM
- 65Guilherme LiberatoM
- 66Gilberto BatistaD
- 76Dinis PintoD
- 79L. VonićF
Substitutes
- 1AranhaG
- 2Leandro Henrique Sousa SantosD
- 8M. StjepanovićM
- 21Rodri AlonsoM
- 25Afonso AssisM
- 26MaracásD
- 32JoséD
- 89Afonso VieiraF
- 99MaranhãoF
Sporting CP
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Suárez | F | 75 | 8.1 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Iván Fresneda | D | 90 | 8.0 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| I. Doumbia | M | 62 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| Gonçalo Inácio | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Eduardo Quaresma | D | 90 | 7.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| M. Araújo | D | 90 | 7.4 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2/3 |
| Kaique | G | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Andersen | M | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| N. Irankunda | F | 62 | 7.0 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 4 | — |
| R. Zalazar | M | 28 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Geny Catamo | M | 28 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Sergi Altimira | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Flávio Gonçalves | F | 28 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Luis Guilherme | F | 62 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 1/3 |
| F. Ioannidis | F | 15 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eduardo Felicíssimo | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rui Silva | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Zekri | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Vagiannidis | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Lima | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Simões | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Derry | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ibrahima Ba | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Moreirense
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevyn Monteiro | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Gilberto Batista | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Manuel Ascenção Bebiano Mendonça | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 4 | 1 | 2 | — |
| André Ferreira | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maranhão | F | 36 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Guilherme Liberato | M | 87 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Leandro Henrique Sousa Santos | D | 36 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/4 |
| L. Vonić | F | 54 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Chipyoka Songa | M | 54 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| N. John | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/3 |
| Afonso Vieira | F | 3 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Landerson | M | 73 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Álvaro Martínez | D | 87 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Dinis Pinto | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| M. Stjepanović | M | 3 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rodri Alonso | M | 17 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Afonso Assis | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maracás | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aranha | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| José | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Sporting CP vs Moreirense?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Sporting CP to win against Moreirense.
- What score did Fipster predict for Sporting CP vs Moreirense?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Sporting CP 3–2 Moreirense.
- What were the win probabilities for Sporting CP vs Moreirense?
- Fipster's model gave Sporting CP a 50% chance of winning, Moreirense a 25% chance, and a 25% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 50% confidence — a medium-confidence call.