Sporting CP vs Academico Viseu
Academico Viseu stuns Sporting with late winner
João Guilherme's brace seals a shock 2-1 victory away from home.
Academico Viseu pulled off a surprise 2-1 win at Sporting CP in the Primeira Liga, with João Guilherme netting twice including the decisive goal after the break. Despite L. Suárez's equaliser for Sporting at 62 minutes, Guilherme's second strike at 74 minutes proved the match-winner. This result defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a Sporting home win, turning the expected outcome on its head.
Outcome probability
Sporting CP, also known as Os Leões, face off against Academico Viseu in the ninth round of the regular season. Both teams have shown competitive form, setting the stage for an exciting clash with goals likely at both ends.
Match factors
Suárez's Scoring Form vs Defensive Vulnerabilities
Luis Suárez's high recent scoring rate (6 goals in 7 games) aligns with Sporting's strong attacking form, likely to exploit Academico Viseu's average defense.
Creative Midfielders Driving Sporting's Attack
Geny Catamo and Flávio Gonçalves provide above-average assists and goal contributions, enhancing Sporting's chance creation.
Sporting's Consistent Scoring Streak
Sporting CP has scored in their last 5 matches, showing strong offensive momentum at home.
Defensive Midfield Stability with Altimira
Sergi Altimira's high tackle and interception rates provide Sporting with midfield control to disrupt opposition attacks.
Full Squad Availability Boosts Sporting's Chances
No confirmed injuries for Sporting CP ensures strongest lineup possible, maximizing attacking and defensive options.
The context
Sporting CP currently sit second in the league with 18 points from 8 games, boasting an impressive unbeaten run. Academico Viseu are eighth with 11 points from 7 games, showing resilience but lacking the consistency of their opponents. The points-per-game and goal difference stats favour Sporting CP, highlighting their strong campaign so far.
Key insights
L. Suárez
Sporting CP
Luis Suárez's high recent scoring rate (6 goals in 7 games) aligns with Sporting's strong attacking form, likely to exploit Academico Viseu's average defense.
Primeira Liga 26/276 goals in 7 appearances
Geny Catamo
Sporting CP
Geny Catamo provides creativity with 3 assists in 7 games, acting as a key playmaker for Sporting CP.
Primeira Liga 26/273 assists in 7 appearances
- S
Sergi Altimira
Sporting CP
Sergi Altimira's defensive work rate with 28 tackles and 15 interceptions in 7 games offers Sporting midfield stability.
Primeira Liga 26/2728 tackles and 15 interceptions in 7 games
Analysis
The prediction points to a tight, high-scoring affair with Sporting CP narrowly prevailing 3-2. Luis Suárez leads the charge for Os Leões, having netted 6 goals in 7 appearances and maintaining excellent recent form. Midfield creativity from Geny Catamo and Flávio Gonçalves adds to Sporting's attacking threat. Meanwhile, Sergi Altimira's defensive work rate provides midfield stability. Academico Viseu will not make it easy, but Sporting's superior goal difference and points per game suggest they have the edge.
Key facts
- 1.Sporting CP are 2nd in the league with 18 points from 8 games (W5 D3 L0).
- 2.Academico Viseu are 8th with 11 points from 7 games (W3 D2 L2).
- 3.Sporting CP have a goal difference of +11 compared to Academico Viseu's 0.
- 4.Sporting CP average 2.25 points per game, higher than Academico Viseu's 1.57.
- 5.Luis Suárez has scored 6 goals in 7 appearances this season.
- 6.Geny Catamo leads Sporting CP with 3 assists in 7 games.
- 7.Sergi Altimira has made 28 tackles and 15 interceptions in 7 games.
Prediction
Expect Sporting CP to clinch a 3-2 win, with both sides finding the net multiple times. The match promises to be a nail-biter, but the home side's attacking prowess and consistent form should see them through.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Sporting CP
Away — Academico Viseu
No standout top scorers flagged for Academico Viseu
The verdict
In summary, Os Leões look set to continue their strong season with a narrow victory over Academico Viseu. Fans can anticipate an entertaining match filled with goals and competitive spirit.
Prediction generated 10 Oct 2026, 21:29 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Luís Silva
Yellow Card
Kahraman
Yellow Card
João Guilherme
Assist: Robinho
Doumbia
Yellow Card
Penalty cancelled
Mortimer
Yellow Card
Luis Guilherme
Gonçalves
Suárez
Assist: Fresneda
Mortimer
Kahraman
João Guilherme
Assist: Messeguem
Fresneda
Irankunda
Altimira
André Clóvis
João Guilherme
Araújo
Yellow Card
Mestanza
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | +21 | 30 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +18 | 22 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +12 | 21 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 21 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 20 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 20 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
Match Statistics
Sporting CP
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5Sergi AltimiraM
- 19N. IrankundaM
- 20M. AraújoD
- 22Iván FresnedaD
- 25Gonçalo InácioD
- 30KaiqueG
- 31Luis GuilhermeM
- 55Ibrahima BaD
- 58Flávio GonçalvesM
- 77I. DoumbiaM
- 97L. SuárezF
Substitutes
- 1Rui SilvaG
- 4S. AndersenM
- 7F. IoannidisF
- 8João SimõesM
- 9Rafael Ferreira NelF
- 10Geny CatamoM
- 13G. VagiannidisD
- 18M. ZekriD
- 21Pedro LimaM
- 28J. DerryF
- 72Eduardo QuaresmaD
- 73Eduardo FelicíssimoM
Academico Viseu
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 2N. MichelisD
- 3Miguel BrauD
- 7Luís SilvaM
- 8C. KahramanM
- 14S. MesseguemM
- 22Nils MortimerM
- 31João GuilhermeM
- 33André ClóvisF
- 41A. CorreiaD
- 75RobinhoD
- 98EwertonG
Substitutes
- 5Pedro BarcelosD
- 6André CeitilM
- 9M. BouldiniF
- 10Á. ZamoraF
- 12Juan SorianoG
- 17ValeryD
- 18C. FerreiraM
- 44Rúben PereiraD
- 45Alejandro MestanzaM
- 47L. GohiF
- 57G. CostaD
- 58MatheusG
Sporting CP
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Suárez | F | 90 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2/3 |
| N. Irankunda | M | 85 | 7.2 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5/6 |
| Sergi Altimira | M | 85 | 7.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Gonçalo Inácio | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Iván Fresneda | D | 85 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 3 | 1/1 |
| Luis Guilherme | M | 58 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| M. Araújo | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0/1 |
| Geny Catamo | M | 32 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| Ibrahima Ba | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Flávio Gonçalves | M | 58 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 2/2 |
| F. Ioannidis | F | 32 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| J. Derry | F | 5 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| I. Doumbia | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| G. Vagiannidis | D | 5 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Andersen | M | 5 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kaique | G | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Lima | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eduardo Quaresma | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rui Silva | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Zekri | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eduardo Felicíssimo | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Simões | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafael Ferreira Nel | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Academico Viseu
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| João Guilherme | M | 87 | 8.8 | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| S. Messeguem | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | 1/4 |
| N. Michelis | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ewerton | G | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Correia | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Robinho | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| Luís Silva | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Miguel Brau | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| L. Gohi | F | 27 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| M. Bouldini | F | 3 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| André Clóvis | F | 87 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Kahraman | M | 72 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Nils Mortimer | M | 63 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/2 |
| Á. Zamora | F | 3 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alejandro Mestanza | M | 18 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Rúben Pereira | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Barcelos | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matheus | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juan Soriano | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Costa | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Ferreira | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| André Ceitil | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Valery | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Sporting CP vs Academico Viseu?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Sporting CP to win against Academico Viseu.
- What score did Fipster predict for Sporting CP vs Academico Viseu?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Sporting CP 3–2 Academico Viseu.
- What were the win probabilities for Sporting CP vs Academico Viseu?
- Fipster's model gave Sporting CP a 95% chance of winning, Academico Viseu a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.