Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II
Sparta Rotterdam edge Willem II in five-goal thriller
A spirited contest sees Sparta claim a narrow 3-2 victory with key strikes after the break.
Willem II took an early lead through T. Vilhena, but Sparta Rotterdam responded before half-time with J. Toornstra's equaliser. After the break, Sparta surged ahead with goals from L. Martes and M. Zonneveld, only for Willem II's Uriel van Aalst to pull one back late on. The 3-2 result matched Fipster's prediction of a home win, albeit with a more dramatic scoreline than anticipated.
Outcome probability
Sparta Rotterdam and Willem II face off in the ninth round of the regular season, with both sides eager to improve their league standing. Sparta, sitting 12th, look to capitalize on their better goal difference and recent attacking form against a struggling Willem II side.
Match factors
Zonneveld's scoring form vs weak away defense
M. Zonneveld has scored 4 goals in 3 away games, exploiting opponent's defensive vulnerabilities effectively
Kuipers' creative output from defense
B. Kuipers leads team with 3 assists, surpassing league average for defenders, boosting attacking chances
Martes' defensive dominance
L. Martes averages 3.86 tackles per game, well above league average, providing defensive stability
Willem II missing key players
Willem II has 3 confirmed outs including goalkeeper and defender, weakening defensive structure
Young's dual role in midfield
M. Young combines high passing accuracy with defensive work rate, key for transition play
The context
Sparta Rotterdam currently hold 6 points from 8 games, placing them 12th in the league, while Willem II are 18th with just 2 points from 7 matches. The difference in goal difference is notable, with Sparta enjoying a seven-goal advantage, highlighting their relative defensive solidity and attacking efficiency compared to Willem II.
Key insights
M. Zonneveld
Sparta Rotterdam
Zonneveld has been clinical away from home, scoring 4 goals in 3 away games, exploiting Willem II's defensive weaknesses.
Eredivisie 26/274 goals in 7 games, 4 away goals
B. Kuipers
Sparta Rotterdam
Kuipers provides creative spark from defence with 3 assists, surpassing league average for defenders and boosting attacking chances.
Eredivisie 26/273 assists in 7 games
- L
L. Martes
Sparta Rotterdam
Martes offers defensive stability with a high tackle rate of 3.86 per game, well above league average.
Eredivisie 26/273.86 tackles per game
Analysis
Sparta Rotterdam's attacking threat is spearheaded by M. Zonneveld, who has netted 4 goals in 7 games, including an impressive 4 goals in 3 away matches. His form could exploit Willem II's defensive vulnerabilities, especially as the visitors are missing key players, including their goalkeeper and a defender. B. Kuipers also provides a creative spark from defence with 3 assists, enhancing Sparta's attacking options. Meanwhile, Willem II's struggles in defence and lack of points suggest they will find it tough to keep Sparta at bay.
Key facts
- 1.Sparta Rotterdam are ranked 12th with 6 points from 8 games (W1 D3 L4).
- 2.Willem II are ranked 18th with 2 points from 7 games (W0 D2 L5).
- 3.Sparta Rotterdam have a significantly better goal difference (+7) than Willem II.
- 4.M. Zonneveld has scored 4 goals in 7 games, including 4 in 3 away matches.
- 5.B. Kuipers leads Sparta with 3 assists in 7 games, a high tally for a defender.
- 6.Willem II are missing key defensive players, including their goalkeeper.
- 7.Sparta Rotterdam's defensive stability is bolstered by L. Martes' high tackle rate.
Prediction
The prediction leans towards a home win for Sparta Rotterdam with a 2-1 scoreline. While the margin is expected to be tight, Sparta's superior goal difference and attacking form give them the edge. Willem II may find the net, but ultimately Sparta should secure the three points in this encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Sparta Rotterdam
Away — Willem II
No standout top scorers flagged for Willem II
The verdict
In summary, Sparta Rotterdam's stronger form and key player performances should see them edge out Willem II in a closely contested match. Expect a competitive game with Sparta just shading the victory 2-1, continuing their push up the league table.
Prediction generated 11 Oct 2026, 12:12 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Vilhena
Toornstra
Stam
Yellow Card
Martes
Zonneveld
Assist: Toornstra
Yellow Card
Zarrouk
Vilhena
Uriel van Aalst
Assist: van Crooij
van Crooij
Yellow Card
Martes
Yellow Card
Toornstra
Verheydt
Yellow Card
Roaldsøy
Yellow Card
Slory
Uriel van Aalst
Hatenboer
Robin van Cruijsen
Zonneveld
Yellow Card
Kuipers
Yellow Card
Dekker
Martin
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | +21 | 25 |
| 14 |  Excelsior | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 11 |
| 15 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 9 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 9 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -11 | 6 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -29 | 2 |
Match Statistics
Sparta Rotterdam
5-4-1Starting XI
- 1M. BrouwerG
- 2L. MartesD
- 3M. YoungD
- 4B. Martins IndiD
- 5B. KuipersD
- 6N. VerschurenD
- 7Robin van CruijsenM
- 8J. ToornstraM
- 9M. ZonneveldF
- 10Cedric HatenboerM
- 11I. BabadiM
Substitutes
- 12B. ReithD
- 14Teo QuinteroD
- 15G. VianelloD
- 16J. BaasM
- 17M. van BergenF
- 18A. RoaldsøyM
- 20F. BednarekG
- 21C. TerhoF
- 22Joel IdehoF
- 30P. KuiperG
Willem II
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3F. StamD
- 5H. ter AvestD
- 7J. SloryM
- 9D. HaenF
- 18Anass ZarroukM
- 19Uriel van AalstM
- 23M. DekkerD
- 24N. Tjoe-A-OnD
- 26M. DelangheG
- 32V. van CrooijM
- 52T. VilhenaM
Substitutes
- 2A. CiranniD
- 8K. BoogaardM
- 10J. SchuurmanM
- 14Jens MathijsenD
- 15A. Et-TaïbiD
- 17O. MartinF
- 22Per van LoonM
- 28T. VerheydtF
- 31K. de LeeuwG
- 41Tygo KotteG
- 44L. MaalF
- 50E. GürbüzF
- 83M. LemmensD
Sparta Rotterdam
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Toornstra | M | 74 | 8.1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| M. Zonneveld | F | 90 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1/3 |
| I. Babadi | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 4 | 1/3 |
| Robin van Cruijsen | M | 83 | 7.0 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 6 | 1/3 |
| L. Martes | D | 90 | 6.9 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1/3 |
| M. van Bergen | F | 7 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| N. Verschuren | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| B. Martins Indi | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Young | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Cedric Hatenboer | M | 83 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/2 |
| Teo Quintero | D | 7 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Kuipers | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| M. Brouwer | G | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Roaldsøy | M | 16 | 5.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| C. Terho | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joel Ideho | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Baas | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Kuiper | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Vianello | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Bednarek | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Reith | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Willem II
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Vilhena | M | 66 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Uriel van Aalst | M | 81 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 2 | — |
| V. van Crooij | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 3 | 1/3 |
| T. Verheydt | F | 24 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| N. Tjoe-A-On | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/3 |
| M. Delanghe | G | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Gürbüz | F | 2 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Anass Zarrouk | M | 66 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| O. Martin | F | 9 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Dekker | D | 88 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| D. Haen | F | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Stam | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| J. Slory | M | 81 | 5.9 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/1 |
| M. Lemmens | D | 24 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Schuurman | M | 9 | 5.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| H. ter Avest | D | 90 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Et-Taïbi | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tygo Kotte | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Ciranni | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. de Leeuw | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Per van Loon | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jens Mathijsen | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Boogaard | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Sparta Rotterdam to win against Willem II.
- What score did Fipster predict for Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 Willem II.
- What were the win probabilities for Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II?
- Fipster's model gave Sparta Rotterdam a 35% chance of winning, Willem II a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.