Sparta Praha vs Pardubice
Sparta Praha secure comfortable win over Pardubice
Early and second-half strikes seal a 2-0 victory for Sparta Praha.
Sparta Praha took control early with J. Mercado's goal in the 4th minute and wrapped up the win after the break thanks to J. Zelený's strike. The 2-0 scoreline reflected a solid performance without the need for a late flourish. Fipster's prediction of a home win was spot on, though the exact scoreline proved a touch optimistic.
Outcome probability
Sparta Praha face Pardubice in the 10th round of the regular season, with the home side looking to extend their impressive record against this opponent. Both teams have had mixed fortunes so far, but Sparta's attacking prowess and league standing suggest they will come out on top.
Match factors
Mercado's attacking threat from defense
John Mercado's 3 goals in last 5 matches provide Sparta with an unusual scoring outlet from defense, pressuring Pardubice's backline.
Karabec's dual threat in goals and assists
Adam Karabec has 2 goals and 2 assists in last 5 games, showing strong involvement in Sparta's attack and creative playmaking.
Sparta's positive scoring streak
Sparta Praha has scored in 4 of last 5 matches, including 3 consecutive games, supporting the predicted 3 goals in this fixture.
Full squad availability boosts Sparta's attacking options
No confirmed injuries or doubts for Sparta Praha, ensuring all key scorers and assisters are available to execute the predicted attacking performance.
Mahuta's creative influence for Pardubice
Ryan Mahuta leads Pardubice in assists with 2 in 6 games, providing a key creative outlet and set-piece threat despite limited starts.
The context
This fixture sees Sparta Praha, currently 9th in the league with 12 points from 8 games, take on Pardubice, who sit 13th with 8 points from 9 matches. Historically, Sparta have dominated this matchup, winning 10 of the 12 meetings, which sets the tone for this encounter.
Key insights
- J
John Mercado Cuero
Sparta Praha
John Mercado's 3 goals in the last 5 matches provide Sparta with an unusual and potent attacking outlet from defence, putting extra pressure on Pardubice's backline.
Czech Liga 26/273 goals in last 5 matches (competition 345, 2026 season)
Adam Karabec
Sparta Praha
Adam Karabec's combination of 2 goals and 2 assists in recent games highlights his role as both a scorer and creator, making him a key figure in Sparta's attack.
Czech Liga 26/272 goals and 2 assists in last 5 games (competition 345, 2026 season)
Ryan Mahuta
Pardubice
Ryan Mahuta's 2 assists in 6 games mark him as Pardubice's main creative threat, especially from set-pieces, though he faces a tough defensive challenge.
Czech Liga 26/272 assists in 6 games (competition 345, 2026 season)
Analysis
Sparta Praha's recent form includes scoring in four of their last five matches, with key contributions from defender John Mercado Cuero, who has netted 3 goals in his last 5 games. Midfielder Adam Karabec also poses a dual threat with 2 goals and 2 assists in recent outings. Pardubice's creative outlet Ryan Mahuta leads their assists tally but faces a tough challenge against Sparta's solid defence. The average of 4.3 goals in their head-to-head matches supports the expectation of an open game with multiple goals.
Key facts
- 1.Sparta Praha have won 10 of 12 meetings against Pardubice.
- 2.Head-to-head matches average 4.3 goals, indicating high-scoring encounters.
- 3.Sparta Praha rank 9th with 12 points from 8 games, better than Pardubice's 13th place with 8 points from 9 games.
- 4.Sparta Praha have a goal difference advantage of +8 this season.
- 5.Adam Karabec has 2 goals and 2 assists in his last 5 games for Sparta.
- 6.John Mercado Cuero has scored 3 goals in his last 5 matches, an impressive tally for a defender.
- 7.Pardubice's Ryan Mahuta leads their assists with 2 in 6 games.
Prediction
We predict Sparta Praha to lead 1-0 at halftime and extend their advantage to a 3-1 victory by fulltime. The match is expected to feature around four cards, reflecting a competitive but controlled contest. Sparta's superior points per game and goal difference, combined with their historical dominance, make them the clear favourites.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Sparta Praha
Away — Pardubice
The verdict
In summary, Sparta Praha's attacking depth and strong league form should see them comfortably overcome Pardubice. Key players like Mercado and Karabec are likely to influence the scoreline, while Pardubice will need to tighten up defensively to avoid a heavy defeat.
Prediction generated 20 Sep 2026, 14:56 UTC · Fipster Model v1.160
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Mercado
Assist: Braut Brunes
Singhateh
BoledoviÄ
Zelený
Assist: Macek
Ďatko
Icha
Sochurek
Drchal
Zelený
Vydra
Botos
Yellow Card
Suchomel
Botos
Kahuan Vinicius
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Slavia Praha | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | +20 | 26 |
| 2 |  Slovan Liberec | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 3 |  Sparta Praha | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | +8 | 18 |
| 4 |  Mlada Boleslav | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 17 |
| 13 |  Artis | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -9 | 8 |
| 14 |  Pardubice | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 |  Karviná | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Match Statistics
Sparta Praha
4-3-3Starting XI
- 2M. SuchomelD
- 6T. GuddalD
- 14J. Braut BrunesF
- 17J. MercadoF
- 25K. HoeverD
- 26P. VydraM
- 27E. SinghatehF
- 28R. MacekM
- 30J. ZelenýD
- 38H. SochurekM
- 44J. SurovčíkG
Substitutes
- 3P. KadeřábekD
- 5Santiago EnemeM
- 15V. VitályosD
- 18A. IrvingM
- 19A. ŠevínskýD
- 20S. MannsverkM
- 21J. GrimaldoF
- 29M. VojtaF
- 31M. JurásekM
- 47K. HegyiG
- 66S. ZajacG
Pardubice
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 6M. IchaM
- 15E. GodwinD
- 17V. DrchalF
- 19M. HlavatýM
- 20A. TankoM
- 33D. HalinskýD
- 35S. ĎatkoM
- 37D. KrčíkD
- 40T. BoledoviÄD
- 46V. NeumanG
- 90G. BotosM
Substitutes
- 1J. ŠerákG
- 9D. SmékalF
- 11J. ZimaM
- 12J. TrédlD
- 16T. JelínekM
- 25R. MahutaD
- 27M. ReilD
- 43J. NoslinD
- 77R. SaarmaM
- 99Kahuan ViniciusF
Sparta Praha
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakub Surovčík | G | 84 | 8.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| John Mercado | F | 84 | 8.3 | 1 | — | 4 | 2 | 3 | 4/11 |
| Jaroslav Zelený | D | 74 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Roman Macek | M | 84 | 7.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 4 | — |
| Ki-Jana Hoever | D | 84 | 7.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Tobias Kvalvagnes Guddal | D | 84 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Martin Suchomel | D | 84 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Patrik Vydra(C) | M | 74 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Jonatan Braut Brunes | F | 84 | 6.7 | — | 1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Ebrima Singhateh | F | 45 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Hugo Sochurek | M | 63 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Viktor Vitályos | D | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sebastian Zajac | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joao Grimaldo | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matyáš Vojta | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pavel Kadeřábek | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andy Irving | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Krisztián Hegyi | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matěj Jurásek | M | 39 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Sivert Mannsverk | M | 10 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Adam Ševinský | D | 10 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Santiago Eneme | M | 21 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Pardubice
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dávid Krčík | D | 84 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Victor Samuel | M | 57 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Václav Drchal | F | 67 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Denis Halinský | D | 84 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Marek Icha | M | 57 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Michal Hlavatý(C) | M | 84 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/3 |
| Emmanuel Godwin | D | 84 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Abdoull Tanko | M | 84 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Giannis-Fivos Botos | M | 84 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | 1/2 |
| Tobias Boledovic | D | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vladimir Neuman | G | 84 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Robi Saarma | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jan Trédl | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jáchym Šerák | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jason Noslin | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jiri Zima | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Martin Reil | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Mahuta | D | 39 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Smékal | F | 27 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kahuan | F | 17 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Tomáš Jelínek | M | 27 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Sparta Praha vs Pardubice?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Sparta Praha to win against Pardubice.
- What score did Fipster predict for Sparta Praha vs Pardubice?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Sparta Praha 3–1 Pardubice.
- What were the win probabilities for Sparta Praha vs Pardubice?
- Fipster's model gave Sparta Praha a 95% chance of winning, Pardubice a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.