Sparta Praha vs Lyon
Sparta Praha edge Lyon in tight tussle
A brace from Ryneš and Mercado secures a narrow win for Sparta Praha.
Sparta Praha clinched a 2-1 victory over Lyon in the UEFA Champions League, overturning an own goal by Lyon's M. Suchomel just before half-time. Despite a missed penalty by Lyon's C. Tolisso early in the second half, Sparta's M. Ryneš and J. Mercado struck to seal the win. Fipster's medium-confidence prediction for a Sparta home win was spot on, nailing the exact scoreline.
- Aggregate:
- Lyon 4 2 Sparta Praha
- Advances:
- Lyon
Analysis
The upcoming 3rd Qualifying Round fixture between Sparta Praha and Lyon promises an intriguing battle as both sides look to advance. With Sparta Praha holding a slight edge in the predictions, fans can expect a competitive encounter with goals and tactical battles.
This match is part of the 3rd Qualifying Round, where progression is crucial. Both Sparta Praha and Lyon have navigated earlier stages to reach this point, making every goal and defensive action vital. The stakes are high as each team aims to secure their place in the next phase of the competition.
Aggregated probabilities favour a home win for Sparta Praha, with a 2-1 scoreline the most likely outcome. The halftime prediction of 1-0 suggests Sparta Praha will start strongly, setting the pace early on. The match is expected to be competitive, with a moderate number of cards (three) indicating a spirited but controlled contest.
Prediction
Expect Sparta Praha to take an early lead and maintain their advantage to win 2-1 against Lyon. The home side's ability to score first and hold on will be key, while Lyon will push to equalise but ultimately fall short by a single goal.
Outcome probability
Match factors
Home Win Most Probable
Sum of home win scoreline probabilities is highest at 0.373.
Modal Fulltime Scoreline
2-1 is the most probable home win scoreline at 0.172 probability.
Halftime Score Consistency
Halftime modal 1-0 is consistent with fulltime 2-1 (HT ≤ FT).
Key Takeaways
In summary, Sparta Praha are poised to claim a narrow victory over Lyon in this crucial qualifying round. The predicted 2-1 scoreline reflects a tight contest with moments of quality from both sides, but ultimately the home team edges it.
- Sparta Praha predicted to win with a 2-1 scoreline.
- Halftime score expected to be 1-0 in favour of Sparta Praha.
- Aggregated probability for home win is highest at 37.3%.
- Three total cards predicted, indicating a moderately physical game.
- Lyon, also known as Les Gones, expected to push but fall short.
- Match is part of the 3rd Qualifying Round of the competition.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Sparta Praha
Away — Lyon
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Goal Disallowed - offside
Suchomel (OG)
Ryneš
Assist: Irving
Karabec
Yellow Card
Tolisso
Missed Penalty · Assist: Tolisso
Mercado
Assist: Ryneš
Irving
de Carvalho
Ouédraogo
Alcócer
Karabec
Braut Brunes
Mercado
Ryneš
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
Sparta Praha
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2M. SuchomelD
- 7J. AlcócerM
- 10A. KarabecM
- 11M. RynešD
- 14J. Braut BrunesF
- 17J. MercadoM
- 18A. IrvingM
- 19A. ŠevínskýD
- 25A. SørensenD
- 28R. MacekM
- 44J. SurovčíkG
Substitutes
- 3P. KadeřábekD
- 5Santiago EnemeM
- 15V. VitályosD
- 21J. GrimaldoF
- 22L. HaraslínM
- 24D. HollýM
- 27E. SinghatehM
- 29M. VojtaF
- 30J. ZelenýD
- 36G. KuolM
- 38H. SochurekM
- 47K. HegyiG
Lyon
3-4-3Starting XI
- 1D. GreifG
- 6T. TessmannD
- 8C. TolissoF
- 16AbnerF
- 17L. OpendaF
- 21R. KluivertD
- 22Clinton MataD
- 23T. MortonM
- 39M. de CarvalhoM
- 76M. OuédraogoM
- 98A. Maitland-NilesM
Substitutes
- 5O. MangalaM
- 7E. NuamahF
- 11M. FofanaF
- 24J. DuranvilleF
- 26K. BoudacheF
- 30Y. KonanG
- 37Steeve KangoD
- 40R. DescampsG
- 45R. HimbertF
- 85N. KamaraD
- 99N. NarteyM
Sparta Praha
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asger Sørensen(C) | D | 93 | 7.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Matěj Ryneš | D | 93 | 7.9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Roman Macek | M | 93 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| John Mercado | M | 92 | 7.0 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | — | 1/3 |
| Jonatan Braut Brunes | F | 85 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Josimar Alcócer | M | 84 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/3 |
| Adam Ševinský | D | 93 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Andy Irving | M | 75 | 6.3 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Jakub Surovčík | G | 93 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adam Karabec | M | 85 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| Martin Suchomel | D | 93 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Krisztián Hegyi | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Garang Kuol | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dominik Hollý | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pavel Kadeřábek | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jaroslav Zelený | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Viktor Vitályos | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matyáš Vojta | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joao Grimaldo | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Santiago Eneme | M | 18 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lukáš Haraslín | M | 9 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ebrima Singhateh | M | 8 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hugo Sochurek | M | 8 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Lyon
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abner Vinícius | F | 93 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 0/1 |
| Loïs Openda | F | 93 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Tanner Tessmann | D | 93 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tyler Morton | M | 93 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ainsley Maitland-Niles | M | 93 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 5 | — |
| Mathys de Carvalho | M | 75 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Ouédraogo | M | 75 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Corentin Tolisso(C) | F | 93 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Dominik Greif | G | 93 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Clinton Mata | D | 93 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ruben Kluivert | D | 93 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Noah Nartey | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Julien Duranville | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kaïl Boudache | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yvann Konan | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Noham Kamara | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rémi Himbert | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Steeve Kango | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rémy Descamps | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Orel Mangala | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ernest Nuamah | F | 18 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Malick Fofana | F | 18 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |