Sparta Praha vs FK Jablonec
Sparta Praha secure solid 2-0 win
J. Alcócer and J. Mercado strike to keep Jablonec at bay
Sparta Praha delivered a confident performance in the Czech Liga, with J. Alcócer opening the scoring in the first half and J. Mercado doubling the lead after the break. The 2-0 victory was a straightforward result that matched Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a home win, though the exact scoreline was slightly off. Sparta Praha kept a clean sheet to comfortably claim the three points.
Outcome probability
Sparta Praha and FK Jablonec face off in the Czech league's eighth round, with both sides eager to climb the table. Sparta, sitting 10th, look to leverage their home advantage against a Jablonec side just a few spots above them.
Match factors
Midfield Scoring Edge for Sparta Praha
Sparta's midfielders Karabec and Alcócer have strong recent scoring form, likely to exploit Jablonec's midfield defense
Defensive Goal Threat from Jablonec's Cedidla
Cedidla, a defender, leads Jablonec's scoring with 3 goals, adding an unusual offensive threat
Sparta's Recent Scoring Consistency
Sparta Praha has scored in 3 of last 5 matches, showing positive scoring momentum
Strong Defensive Duel Win Rate for Mbe Soh
Mbe Soh's high duel win rate (up to 89%) provides Sparta with defensive stability against Jablonec's attackers
Jablonec's Home Scoring Streak
Jablonec has scored in 4 consecutive home games, indicating strong home attacking form
The context
This match features two teams closely matched in the league standings: Sparta Praha with 9 points from 7 games and FK Jablonec with 10 points from 6 games. Their head-to-head history shows Sparta with a clear upper hand, having won 12 of their 20 meetings, while Jablonec have managed just 2 wins. The encounters tend to be lively affairs, averaging over 3 goals per game.
Key insights
- J
Josimar Alcócer McCook
Sparta Praha
Josimar has been a key attacking threat with 3 goals in 7 games, showing excellent home form.
Czech Liga 26/273 goals in 7 apps, 0.6 avg last 5
Adam Karabec
Sparta Praha
Karabec’s consistent scoring, including 2 goals in recent away matches, boosts Sparta’s midfield firepower.
Czech Liga 26/273 goals in 7 apps, 0.43 avg overall
Martin Cedidla
FK Jablonec
Cedidla’s 3 goals from defence add an unusual offensive edge for Jablonec.
Czech Liga 26/273 goals in 6 apps, 0.5 avg overall
- L
L. Mbe Soh
Sparta Praha
Mbe Soh’s high duel win rate provides defensive stability crucial against Jablonec’s attackers.
Czech Liga 26/27High duel win rate (75-89%)
Analysis
Sparta Praha's midfield duo, Josimar Alcócer McCook and Adam Karabec, have been in fine scoring form this season, combining for 6 goals and showing a knack for finding the net at home. Defensively, Sparta benefit from L. Mbe Soh's impressive duel win rate, providing stability against Jablonec's attacks. Meanwhile, Jablonec's Martin Cedidla offers an unusual threat from defence, leading his team with 3 goals. The teams' competitive league positions and attacking tendencies suggest a closely fought match with multiple goals.
Key facts
- 1.Sparta Praha have won 12 of 20 meetings against FK Jablonec.
- 2.Head-to-head matches average 3.1 goals, indicating open play.
- 3.Sparta Praha rank 10th with 9 points from 7 games (3 wins, 4 losses).
- 4.FK Jablonec are 7th with 10 points from 6 games (3 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses).
- 5.Josimar Alcócer McCook has scored 3 goals in 7 games, including 2 at home.
- 6.Adam Karabec has 3 goals this season, with strong away form.
- 7.Martin Cedidla leads Jablonec with 3 goals in 6 games.
- 8.L. Mbe Soh boasts a high duel win rate, key for Sparta's defence.
Prediction
The forecast is a 2-1 victory for Sparta Praha, reflecting their historical dominance and current attacking form. While the confidence in this call is cautious, the probability data supports a home win with this scoreline as the most likely outcome. Expect Sparta to edge this one with a couple of well-taken goals, while Jablonec will not go quietly.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Sparta Praha
Away — FK Jablonec
The verdict
In summary, Sparta Praha's home advantage and midfield scoring prowess should see them narrowly overcome FK Jablonec. Fans can anticipate an entertaining match with goals from both sides, but ultimately a win for the hosts.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Penalty cancelled
Suchomel
Yellow Card
Alcócer
Assist: Braut Brunes
Okeke
Yellow Card
Polidar
Okeke
Jawo
Mercado
Assist: Karabec
Alcócer
Yellow Card
Alioum
Yellow Card
Sochurek
Sedláček
Alcócer
Mercado
Zorvan
Braut Brunes
Suchomel
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Slavia Praha | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +18 | 20 |
| 6 |  Zbrojovka Brno | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 16 |
| 7 |  Sparta Praha | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | +6 | 15 |
| 8 |  FK Jablonec | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 9 |  Hradec Králové | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 14 |
Match Statistics
Sparta Praha
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2M. SuchomelD
- 6T. GuddalD
- 7J. AlcócerM
- 10A. KarabecM
- 11M. RynešD
- 14J. Braut BrunesF
- 17J. MercadoM
- 22L. Mbe SohD
- 28R. MacekM
- 38H. SochurekM
- 44J. SurovčíkG
Substitutes
- 3P. KadeřábekD
- 5Santiago EnemeM
- 15V. VitályosD
- 18A. IrvingM
- 19A. ŠevínskýD
- 26P. VydraM
- 27E. SinghatehM
- 29M. VojtaF
- 30J. ZelenýD
- 31M. JurásekM
- 47K. HegyiG
FK Jablonec
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1J. HanušG
- 4N. TekijaškiD
- 6N. OkekeM
- 7V. TchanturishviliM
- 8F. ZorvanM
- 13R. SedláčekM
- 15D. PavlovićD
- 18M. CedidlaD
- 20J. SlámaD
- 21M. PolidarM
- 44L. JawoF
Substitutes
- 9A. RůsekF
- 14D. SoučekD
- 16H. AhlM
- 17S. AlioumF
- 19J. ChramostaF
- 22Roman HorákM
- 23E. SobolD
- 25S. NebylaM
- 27F. VechetaF
- 33M. KukučkaG
- 57F. NovákD
Sparta Praha
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Alcócer | M | 72 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2/7 |
| J. Mercado | M | 72 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 5 | 3 | 1 | 3/6 |
| A. Karabec | M | 90 | 8.1 | — | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3/5 |
| M. Ryneš | D | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| T. Guddal | D | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| L. Mbe Soh | D | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| R. Macek | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 5 | — |
| P. Kadeřábek | D | 11 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Santiago Eneme | M | 27 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| J. Braut Brunes | F | 79 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| M. Jurásek | M | 18 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| H. Sochurek | M | 63 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| E. Singhateh | M | 18 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Suchomel | D | 79 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| J. Surovčík | G | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Vojta | F | 11 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Irving | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Zelený | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Vitályos | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Vydra | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Ševínský | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Hegyi | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
FK Jablonec
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Tekijaški | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| J. Hanuš | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Sedláček | M | 71 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Cedidla | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| L. Jawo | F | 46 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| F. Vecheta | F | 11 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Alioum | F | 44 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/3 |
| A. Růsek | F | 44 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| D. Pavlović | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Nebyla | M | 44 | 6.1 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| F. Zorvan | M | 79 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| D. Souček | D | 19 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Tchanturishvili | M | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| M. Polidar | M | 46 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| N. Okeke | M | 46 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Sláma | D | 90 | 5.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| M. Kukučka | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Ahl | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Roman Horák | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Chramosta | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Sobol | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Novák | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Sparta Praha vs FK Jablonec?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Sparta Praha to win against FK Jablonec.
- What score did Fipster predict for Sparta Praha vs FK Jablonec?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Sparta Praha 2–1 FK Jablonec.
- What were the win probabilities for Sparta Praha vs FK Jablonec?
- Fipster's model gave Sparta Praha a 35% chance of winning, FK Jablonec a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.