Slovenia vs FYR Macedonia
Slovenia secure solid win over FYR Macedonia
Lovrić and Matko strike to seal a comfortable 2-0 victory.
Slovenia claimed a confident 2-0 victory against FYR Macedonia in the UEFA Nations League, with S. Lovrić opening the scoring shortly after the break and A. Matko doubling the lead in the 82nd minute. The home side controlled the match and ensured a clean sheet to wrap up the points. Fipster's prediction of a Slovenian win was spot on, albeit with a slightly different scoreline.
Outcome probability
Slovenia and FYR Macedonia face off in a League B fixture where both sides will be eager to improve their standings. With Slovenia holding a slight edge in recent competition form, this match promises a close contest with goals on both sides.
Match factors
No confirmed injuries for either team
Both teams have full squads available, no confirmed absences to affect tactics or lineup.
Slovenia's defensive solidity at home
Slovenia kept a clean sheet in their only home fixture, showing defensive strength despite no goals scored.
FYR Macedonia's defensive struggles
FYR Macedonia conceded 3 goals in their last home match, indicating defensive vulnerabilities to exploit.
Goalkeeper quality favors Slovenia
J. Oblak's high rating and experience provide Slovenia a key advantage in goal over FYR Macedonia.
The context
In this League B round 2 match, Slovenia currently sit second in the competition with one point from a draw, while FYR Macedonia have yet to earn points after a loss. Slovenia's defensive resilience at home contrasts with FYR Macedonia's recent defensive struggles, setting the stage for an intriguing tactical battle.
Key insights
- J
J. Oblak
Slovenia
Jan Oblak's top-tier goalkeeping and La Liga experience provide Slovenia with a crucial defensive edge.
UEFA Nations League 26/277.59 rating in last match, key to Slovenia's clean sheet
- V
V. Musliu
FYR Macedonia
V. Musliu's defensive work rate is high, but FYR Macedonia's backline has shown vulnerabilities recently.
UEFA Nations League 26/275 tackles in last match, conceded 3 goals in previous game
Analysis
Slovenia's goalkeeper Jan Oblak stands out as a key figure, having delivered a top-tier performance in their last match to help keep a clean sheet. Meanwhile, FYR Macedonia's defense, led by V. Musliu, has shown vulnerability, conceding three goals in their previous outing. The statistical edge leans slightly towards Slovenia, who have a points-per-game advantage and a stronger defensive record in this competition. However, the probabilities for a home win, draw, and away win are closely matched, indicating a finely balanced encounter.
Key facts
- 1.Slovenia have played 1 match in this competition with 0 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses, 0 goals for and 0 against.
- 2.FYR Macedonia have played 1 match in this competition with 0 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss, 0 goals for and 3 against.
- 3.Slovenia are ranked 2nd in this competition with 1 point from 1 game.
- 4.FYR Macedonia are ranked 4th in this competition with 0 points from 1 game.
- 5.Slovenia have a points-per-game advantage of 1.00 over FYR Macedonia's 0.00.
- 6.Jan Oblak's recent 7.59 rating highlights his importance to Slovenia's defence.
- 7.FYR Macedonia conceded 3 goals in their last match, indicating defensive issues.
- 8.The predicted total number of cards in the match is 3.
Prediction
The prediction favours a home win for Slovenia with a 2-1 scoreline. This reflects the highest probability among home win outcomes despite the overall probabilities being close. The narrow margin suggests a competitive match, but Slovenia's home advantage and goalkeeper quality should see them edge out FYR Macedonia.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Slovenia
Away — FYR Macedonia
No standout best passers flagged for FYR Macedonia
The verdict
Expect a tight game with Slovenia just about coming out on top. FYR Macedonia will pose threats, but Slovenia's defensive solidity and key players like Oblak could make the difference. Fans should prepare for an entertaining contest with a few cards likely to be shown.
Prediction generated 26 Sep 2026, 20:42 UTC · Fipster Model v1.162
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
FIFA world ranking
Stojchevski
Yellow Card
Lovrić
Assist: Begić
Atanasov
Yellow Card
Elezi
Mitrovski
Meljichi
Lovrić
Vipotnik
Begić
Atanasov
Matko
Yellow Card
Alomeroviс
Matko
Assist: Šturm
Čerin
Drkušić
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Switzerland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 2 |  Albania | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 3 |  Belarus | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 4 |  Italy | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Match Statistics
Slovenia
5-4-1Starting XI
- 1J. OblakG
- 2Ž. KarničnikD
- 6J. BijolD
- 7T. BegićM
- 8S. LovrićM
- 13E. JanžaD
- 15D. ŠturmM
- 18Z. VipotnikF
- 21V. DrkušićD
- 22A. ČerinM
- 23D. BrekaloD
Substitutes
- 3J. BalkovecD
- 4M. ZabukovnikM
- 5S. KuzmićD
- 9A. ŠporarF
- 10T. ElšnikM
- 11Ž. CelarF
- 12M. VidovšekG
- 14T. SvetlinM
- 16Žan-Luk LebanG
- 17D. ZecD
- 19T. HorvatM
- 20A. MatkoF
FYR Macedonia
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3S. AlomeroviсD
- 4A. StojchevskiD
- 7E. ElmasM
- 13Anes MeljichiD
- 14M. MladenovskiD
- 15A. EleziM
- 16M. GashtarovM
- 17A. OmeragikjF
- 20D. MitrovskiM
- 21J. AtanasovM
- 23S. DimitrievskiG
Substitutes
- 1D. TaleskiG
- 5G. ZajkovD
- 6V. MusliuD
- 8L. StankovskiM
- 9B. MiovskiF
- 10E. BardhiM
- 11E. RastoderF
- 12D. ShishkovskiG
- 18G. DzhekovD
- 19L. DorievF
- 22Hristijan MaleskiF
Slovenia
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Lovrić | M | 71 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | — | — |
| D. Šturm | M | 90 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | — |
| Ž. Karničnik | D | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| T. Begić | M | 71 | 7.6 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 1/4 |
| V. Drkušić | D | 85 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| J. Bijol | D | 90 | 7.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| D. Brekalo | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| A. Matko | F | 19 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| E. Janža | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| D. Zec | D | 5 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Čerin | M | 85 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/2 |
| J. Oblak | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Elšnik | M | 5 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Zabukovnik | M | 19 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Z. Vipotnik | F | 71 | 6.7 | — | — | 4 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Ž. Celar | F | 19 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Žan-Luk Leban | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Kuzmić | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Svetlin | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Horvat | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Vidovšek | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Šporar | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Balkovec | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
FYR Macedonia
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Gashtarov | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Anes Meljichi | D | 71 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Mladenovski | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| V. Musliu | D | 19 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| J. Atanasov | M | 71 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| E. Elmas | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| L. Stankovski | M | 19 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| E. Bardhi | M | 29 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| A. Omeragikj | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| B. Miovski | F | 10 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Maleski | F | 29 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| S. Dimitrievski | G | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Mitrovski | M | 61 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| A. Stojchevski | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| S. Alomeroviс | D | 80 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Elezi | M | 61 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| E. Rastoder | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Dzhekov | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Taleski | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Shishkovski | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Zajkov | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Doriev | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Slovenia vs FYR Macedonia?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Slovenia to win against FYR Macedonia.
- What score did Fipster predict for Slovenia vs FYR Macedonia?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Slovenia 2–1 FYR Macedonia.
- What were the win probabilities for Slovenia vs FYR Macedonia?
- Fipster's model gave Slovenia a 35% chance of winning, FYR Macedonia a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.