Slovan Liberec vs Slavia Praha
Slovan Liberec snatches draw from Slavia Praha
Baboula's second-half strike cancels out Holeš's early opener.
Slavia Praha looked set for victory after T. Holeš put them ahead in the 15th minute, but Slovan Liberec fought back with Venuste Baboula's goal in the 72nd minute to secure a 1-1 draw. This result defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of an away win, proving the home side's resilience in the Czech Liga.
Outcome probability
The new season kicks off with Slovan Liberec facing Slavia Praha in what promises to be a competitive encounter. Both teams have refreshed their squads over the summer, setting the stage for a tactical battle as they look to start the campaign on a positive note.
Match factors
Away Win Dominance
Away win outcome has the highest aggregated probability (0.76) from FT scorelines.
Modal FT Scoreline
1-2 is the most probable FT scoreline within the away win class (0.22 probability).
HT Scoreline Consistency
HT modal scoreline 0-2 is consistent with FT 1-2, respecting HT ≤ FT goals.
Cards Prediction
Modal total cards count is 4, with highest probability (0.35).
The context
Slovan Liberec have made some notable changes, welcoming L. Hůlka and J. Bořil on free transfers and V. Kušej on loan, while parting ways with M. Icha, A. N'Guessan, and T. Diakité. Meanwhile, Slavia Praha have strengthened their ranks with the arrivals of E. Ayaosi, A. N'Guessan, and E. Hunál, offset by the departures of V. Kušej and J. Bořil. These summer moves could prove pivotal as both sides seek to assert themselves early in the season.
Key facts
- 1.Slovan Liberec have signed L. Hůlka and J. Bořil on free transfers and have V. Kušej on loan.
- 2.Slavia Praha have added E. Ayaosi, A. N'Guessan, and E. Hunál to their squad this summer.
- 3.Slavia Praha finished last season with a higher points-per-game ratio (2.29) than Slovan Liberec (1.31).
- 4.Slavia Praha have a significantly better goal difference (43) compared to Slovan Liberec.
- 5.The predicted halftime score is 0-2 in favour of Slavia Praha.
- 6.The final predicted score is 1-2, with Slavia Praha winning away.
- 7.The match is expected to see around four total cards issued.
Analysis
Statistically, Slavia Praha hold a clear advantage with a superior points-per-game ratio and goal difference from last season, suggesting they enter this fixture as favourites. The prediction model strongly supports an away win, with a likely halftime lead of 2-0, indicating early dominance. Slovan Liberec are expected to respond in the second half but fall short, resulting in a 2-1 final scoreline. The match is also anticipated to be competitive in discipline, with around four cards expected.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Slovan Liberec
Away — Slavia Praha
Prediction
We foresee Slavia Praha taking control early, establishing a two-goal cushion by halftime. Slovan Liberec will fight back in the second half, grabbing a consolation goal, but it won't be enough to prevent a 2-1 defeat. This outcome aligns with the statistical probabilities and the teams' summer reinforcements.
The verdict
As the season opener unfolds, Slavia Praha look poised to start strongly, leveraging their summer signings and last season's form. Slovan Liberec will provide a stern test, but the visitors' edge should see them through to a narrow victory. Fans can expect an engaging match with tactical nuances and spirited play.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Holeš
Assist: E. Suleiman
Nowak
Yellow Card
Afolabi
Krollis
Yellow Card
Lexa
Chytil
Nowak
Isife
E. Suleiman
Yellow Card
Kayondo
Yellow Card
Provod
Baboula
Krollis
Ayaosi
Masopust
Holeš
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Slavia Praha | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 9 |
| 2 |  FK Jablonec | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 9 |
| 6 |  Teplice | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 |  Slovan Liberec | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 6 |
| 8 |  Sparta Praha | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
Match Statistics
Slovan Liberec
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 3J. MikulaD
- 7S. AfolabiF
- 8L. MasopustM
- 14A. DrakpeD
- 15M. LexaF
- 18J. KoželuhM
- 27A. KayondoM
- 29L. HůlkaD
- 40T. KoubekG
- 60F. FayeM
- 99R. KrollisF
Substitutes
- 5P. HodoušD
- 9L. MašekF
- 10Q. ZybaM
- 12V. StránskýM
- 16A. BužekM
- 17P. JulišF
- 28V. SychraM
- 33L. PešlG
- 77D. RusM
- 94Venuste BaboulaF
Slavia Praha
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 3T. HolešD
- 4D. ZimaD
- 13M. ChytilF
- 14S. IsifeM
- 15M. E. SuleimanM
- 17L. ProvodF
- 20E. AyaosiF
- 23M. SadílekM
- 30W. NowakM
- 35J. MarkovičG
- 42M. KonecnyD
Substitutes
- 2Š. ChaloupekD
- 6A. N'GuessanD
- 8O. KubiakD
- 10D. ŠturmF
- 16D. MosesM
- 22T. DiakitéM
- 25T. ChorýF
- 26I. SchranzF
- 27T. VlčekD
- 29N. DomchakG
- 32Pavel KacorM
Slovan Liberec
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukáš Masopust | M | 83 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Jan Mikula | D | 83 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tomáš Koubek(C) | G | 83 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aziz Kayondo | M | 83 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/7 |
| Fallou Faye | M | 83 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Augustin Drakpe | D | 83 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Raimonds Krollis | F | 78 | 6.6 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Josef Koželuh | M | 83 | 6.6 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3/4 |
| Milan Lexa | F | 62 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 0/2 |
| Soliu Afolabi | F | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/5 |
| Lukáš Hůlka | D | 83 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Qendrim Zyba | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexandr Bužek | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Rus | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Petr Juliš | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lukáš Pešl | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lukáš Mašek | F | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vojtěch Sychra | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vojtěch Stránský | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ghislain Vénuste Baboula | F | 21 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Petr Hodouš | D | 38 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Slavia Praha
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomáš Holeš(C) | D | 83 | 8.3 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Jakub Markovič | G | 83 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lukáš Provod | F | 71 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Mikuláš Konečný | D | 83 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mubarak Suleiman | M | 83 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 5 | 1/3 |
| Samuel Isife | M | 64 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| David Zima | D | 83 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Michal Sadílek | M | 83 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wiktor Nowak | M | 64 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/4 |
| Mojmír Chytil | F | 64 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Emmanuel Ayaosi | F | 81 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Toumani Diakite | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tomáš Vlček | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nazar Domchak | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pavel Kačor | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Danijel Šturm | F | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ange N'Guessan | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oskar Kubiak | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Štěpán Chaloupek | D | 19 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Moses | M | 19 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ivan Schranz | F | 12 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tomáš Chorý | F | 19 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |