Slovakia vs Kazakhstan
Slovakia edges Kazakhstan in tight contest
Hancko's second-half strike secures a narrow win for Slovakia.
Slovakia claimed a 2-1 victory over Kazakhstan in the UEFA Nations League, with L. Sauer opening the scoring before R. Karimov levelled for the visitors. D. Hancko's decisive goal after the break proved the difference in a closely fought match. Fipster's medium-confidence prediction of a home win with the exact scoreline proved spot on.
Outcome probability
This League C fixture sees Slovakia take on Kazakhstan in what promises to be a closely contested match. Both teams have shown glimpses of attacking intent, but Slovakia's recent home performances suggest they have the edge.
Match factors
Slovakia's strong home form
Slovakia won their last home match 2-0 with a clean sheet and goals from Schranz and Duda, showing good attacking and defensive balance
Kazakhstan's scoring and conceding away
Kazakhstan scored and conceded once in their last away match, indicating a balanced but vulnerable defense on the road
Slovakia's creative midfield edge
Slovakia's Suslov and Duda showed strong creative and scoring contributions last match, likely to challenge Kazakhstan's defense
Kazakhstan's defensive threat from Erlanov
Defender Erlanov scored in last match and has solid defensive stats, posing a threat on set pieces and counterattacks
The context
Slovakia enter this match with a perfect record in the competition so far, having won their opening game 2-0 without conceding. Kazakhstan, meanwhile, have experienced a narrow defeat in their first outing, scoring once but also conceding. This sets up an intriguing battle between a confident home side and a resilient visitor.
Key insights
- I
I. Schranz
Slovakia
Scored in last home match with a high rating, posing a key goal threat especially from set pieces.
UEFA Nations League 26/27Scored 1 goal with a match rating of 8.27 in this competition.
- O
O. Duda
Slovakia
Scored a penalty and took 3 shots in the last match, showing strong attacking presence.
UEFA Nations League 26/271 goal (penalty), 3 shots, rating 7.8 in this competition.
- T
T. Suslov
Slovakia
Provided an assist and completed 49 passes, acting as a creative hub in midfield.
UEFA Nations League 26/271 assist, 49 passes, rating 7.7 in this competition.
- T
T. Erlanov
Kazakhstan
Scored in recent away match and contributes defensively, a threat on set pieces.
UEFA Nations League 26/271 goal, strong defensive stats in this competition.
Analysis
Slovakia's midfield duo, O. Duda and T. Suslov, have been instrumental in their attacking play, contributing goals and assists in recent matches. Defender I. Schranz also poses a threat, particularly from set pieces. Kazakhstan's T. Erlanov offers a counterbalance with his goal-scoring and defensive solidity. The predicted 2-1 scoreline reflects a competitive match where Slovakia's creative edge and home advantage may just tip the scales.
Key facts
- 1.Slovakia have won their only match so far in this competition, scoring 2 and conceding none.
- 2.Kazakhstan lost their opening match, scoring 1 and conceding 1.
- 3.Slovakia's I. Schranz scored in the last home match and has a high rating of 8.27.
- 4.O. Duda scored a penalty and had 3 shots in the previous game, showing attacking threat.
- 5.T. Suslov provided an assist and completed 49 passes in the last match, highlighting creativity.
- 6.Kazakhstan's T. Erlanov scored in their recent away match and is strong defensively.
- 7.Slovakia's midfield creativity is a key tactical advantage against Kazakhstan's defence.
Prediction
We anticipate Slovakia to clinch a 2-1 victory, capitalising on their strong home form and midfield creativity. Kazakhstan will likely find opportunities to score, but Slovakia's balanced attack and defence should see them through.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Slovakia
Away — Kazakhstan
The verdict
In summary, expect a tight encounter with Slovakia narrowly prevailing. Their ability to convert chances at home and maintain defensive discipline should be enough to overcome Kazakhstan's spirited challenge.
Prediction generated 26 Sep 2026, 20:41 UTC · Fipster Model v1.162
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
FIFA world ranking
Karimov
Yellow Card
Sauer
Strelec
Yellow Card
Karimov
Assist: Amir
Kuat
Yellow Card
Bekbolat
Basmanov
Amir
Sauer
Valjent
Yellow Card
Kuat
Haraslín
Strelec
Hancko
Assist: Duda
Ashirbek
Valjent
Suslov
Match Statistics
Slovakia
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1M. DúbravkaG
- 4M. ValjentD
- 7L. SauerF
- 8O. DudaM
- 10T. SuslovM
- 14M. ŠkriniarD
- 15D. StrelecF
- 16D. HanckoD
- 17L. HaraslínF
- 21A. ObertD
- 22S. LobotkaM
Substitutes
- 2I. MesíkD
- 3D. VavroD
- 5Ľ. ŠatkaD
- 6P. PokornýM
- 9R. BoženíkF
- 11T. BobčekF
- 12D. GreifG
- 13A. KaprálikF
- 18I. SchranzF
- 19T. RigoM
- 20D. ĎurišF
- 23J. SurovčíkG
Kazakhstan
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1S. PokatilovG
- 3N. AlipD
- 4A. AshirbekD
- 5I. KuatM
- 8Z. AmirM
- 9R. KarimovF
- 14N. ZhagorovD
- 17S. BasmanovM
- 18D. KaramanM
- 22I. BekbolatM
- 23T. ErlanovD
Substitutes
- 2S. MaliyD
- 6D. KasabulatD
- 7G. KenzhebekM
- 10A. ShushenachevF
- 11Y. VorogovskiyD
- 12T. AnarbekovG
- 13A. MrynskiyD
- 15G. ZhukovM
- 16A. ZarutskiyG
- 19A. TuyakbayevM
- 20R. OrazovM
- 21E. AstanovM
Slovakia
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Hancko | D | 90 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| L. Sauer | F | 66 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| S. Lobotka | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| O. Duda | M | 90 | 7.1 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 3 | — |
| M. Škriniar | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Obert | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| R. Boženík | F | 15 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| M. Dúbravka | G | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Schranz | F | 15 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Haraslín | F | 75 | 6.4 | — | — | 3 | 3 | — | 1/2 |
| T. Bobček | F | 24 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| M. Valjent | D | 91 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| D. Strelec | F | 75 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| T. Suslov | M | 91 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 4/10 |
| D. Greif | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ľ. Šatka | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Pokorný | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Mesík | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Rigo | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Vavro | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Kaprálik | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Surovčík | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Ďuriš | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Kazakhstan
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Karimov | F | 90 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| S. Pokatilov | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Ashirbek | D | 86 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Z. Amir | M | 60 | 6.4 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 0/3 |
| T. Erlanov | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Zhagorov | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Mrynskiy | D | 44 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| D. Kasabulat | D | 18 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Kenzhebek | M | 30 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| E. Astanov | M | 4 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Bekbolat | M | 46 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| I. Kuat | M | 72 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Orazov | M | 30 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| S. Basmanov | M | 60 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| D. Karaman | M | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| N. Alip | D | 90 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Anarbekov | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Tuyakbayev | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Maliy | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Vorogovskiy | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Zhukov | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Zarutskiy | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Shushenachev | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Slovakia vs Kazakhstan?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Slovakia to win against Kazakhstan.
- What score did Fipster predict for Slovakia vs Kazakhstan?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Slovakia 2–1 Kazakhstan.
- What were the win probabilities for Slovakia vs Kazakhstan?
- Fipster's model gave Slovakia a 50% chance of winning, Kazakhstan a 25% chance, and a 25% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 50% confidence — a medium-confidence call.