Slavia Praha vs Mlada Boleslav
Mlada Boleslav stuns Slavia with resilient draw
A 15th-minute strike and a late reply earn a surprising share of the spoils.
Mlada Boleslav took an early lead through M. Šubert's 15th-minute goal, only for Slavia Praha's M. Chytil to level the score in the 86th minute. The 1-1 draw defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a dominant 4-0 home win, making this result a notable upset against expectations.
Outcome probability
Slavia Praha face Mlada Boleslav in the 12th round of the regular season, with the home side expected to assert their dominance early and maintain it to the final whistle.
Match factors
Slavia Praha's potent home attack vs Mlada Boleslav's leaky away defense
Slavia scores 2.5 goals per home game while Mlada concedes 2 goals per away game, favoring a high-scoring home win
Tomáš Chorý's strong home scoring form
Chorý has 3 goals in last 3 home games, well above league average for attackers, boosting scoring chances
Michal Sadílek's creative influence waning recently
Sadílek has no assists in last 5 games despite overall 3 assists this season, slight dip in creative output
Slavia's midfield scoring threat vs Mlada's defense
Midfielders Nowak and Ayaosi have strong scoring rates, likely to exploit Mlada's defensive vulnerabilities
No confirmed injuries for either team, full squads expected
Both teams have no confirmed outs, so strongest lineups likely, supporting prediction confidence
The context
Slavia Praha currently lead the league with 26 points from 10 games, while Mlada Boleslav sit fourth with 17 points. Historically, Slavia have a commanding record against Mlada Boleslav, having won 16 of their 17 encounters.
Key insights
Tomáš Chorý
Slavia Praha
Chorý has been clinical at home, scoring 3 goals in his last 3 home games, well above the league average for attackers.
Czech Liga 26/274 goals in 7 games, 3 goals in last 3 home games
Michal Sadílek
Slavia Praha
Sadílek is the top assister for Slavia with 3 assists this season, though he has not assisted in the last 5 games, indicating a slight dip in creativity.
Czech Liga 26/273 assists in 9 games, no assists in last 5 games
Wiktor Nowak
Slavia Praha
Nowak offers a strong scoring threat from midfield with 5 goals this season, including good away form, likely to exploit Mlada's defensive weaknesses.
Czech Liga 26/275 goals in 10 games, 3 goals in last 5 away games
Martin Šubert
Mlada Boleslav
Šubert is Mlada Boleslav's top scorer with 6 goals, providing their main offensive threat despite the team's defensive struggles away from home.
Czech Liga 26/276 goals in 10 games
Analysis
Slavia Praha's attacking prowess at home is impressive, averaging 2.5 goals per game, while Mlada Boleslav concede an average of 2 goals per away match. Tomáš Chorý is in fine form, netting 3 goals in his last 3 home games, making him a key threat. Midfield creativity from Michal Sadílek and Wiktor Nowak adds to Slavia's offensive options, although Sadílek's recent assist drought may slightly temper expectations. Mlada Boleslav's top scorer Martin Šubert poses a challenge, but the defensive vulnerabilities they exhibit away from home suggest a tough afternoon ahead.
Key facts
- 1.Slavia Praha have won 16 of 17 matches against Mlada Boleslav.
- 2.Slavia Praha lead the league with 26 points from 10 games (W8 D2 L0).
- 3.Mlada Boleslav are 4th with 17 points from 10 games (W5 D2 L3).
- 4.Slavia Praha average 2.5 goals per home game this season.
- 5.Mlada Boleslav concede 2 goals per away game on average.
- 6.Tomáš Chorý has scored 3 goals in his last 3 home games.
- 7.Michal Sadílek has 3 assists this season but none in the last 5 games.
- 8.Predicted total cards in the match is 4.
Prediction
The highest probability outcome is a home win, with a 2-0 halftime lead and a 4-0 fulltime scoreline. The match is expected to be high scoring with Slavia Praha firmly in control, while disciplinary action may see around four cards issued.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Slavia Praha
Away — Mlada Boleslav
The verdict
All signs point to a comprehensive victory for Slavia Praha, who should capitalize on their home advantage and superior form. Mlada Boleslav will need to tighten their defence significantly to avoid a heavy defeat.
Prediction generated 17 Oct 2026, 14:54 UTC · Fipster Model v1.164
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Šubert
Penalty cancelled
Diakité
Isife
Langhamer
Klíma
Sadílek
Šubert
Provod
Holeš
Chytil
Assist: Ayaosi
John
Vorel
Yellow Card
Šturm
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Slavia Praha | 13 | 9 | 4 | 0 | +25 | 31 |
| 2 |  Mlada Boleslav | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 24 |
| 3 |  Sigma Olomouc | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 24 |
Match Statistics
Slavia Praha
4-3-3Starting XI
- 3T. HolešD
- 6A. N'GuessanD
- 8O. KubiakD
- 13M. ChytilF
- 14S. IsifeD
- 17L. ProvodF
- 20E. AyaosiF
- 22T. DiakitéM
- 23M. SadílekM
- 29N. DomchakG
- 30W. NowakM
Substitutes
- 1O. KolářG
- 4D. ZimaD
- 10D. ŠturmF
- 15M. E. SuleimanM
- 16D. MosesM
- 27T. VlčekD
- 39D. JurásekD
- 40Adam RezekG
- 42M. KonečnýD
Mlada Boleslav
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3M. KrálikD
- 11M. HybšD
- 13D. DonátM
- 19D. KozelM
- 20S. JohnM
- 21M. ŠubertM
- 23J. KlímaF
- 28D. LanghamerM
- 32F. MatoušekD
- 42V. VorelG
- 44O. KarafiátD
Substitutes
- 5J. HarušťákD
- 9L. LetenayF
- 14S. GrygarM
- 17F. ŠpatenkaF
- 18M. HavranM
- 26M. ZachovalD
- 49J. KoláříkM
- 59J. FloderG
- 77D. PechM
Slavia Praha
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Ayaosi | F | 90 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 8/13 |
| O. Kubiak | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1/1 |
| W. Nowak | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0/4 |
| M. Sadílek | M | 65 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 5 | — |
| D. Moses | M | 44 | 7.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| T. Diakité | M | 46 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. E. Suleiman | M | 44 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | 1/4 |
| M. Chytil | F | 90 | 6.9 | 1 | — | 7 | 1 | 2 | — |
| A. N'Guessan | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Šturm | F | 17 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| N. Domchak | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Isife | D | 46 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| T. Holeš | D | 85 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| D. Jurásek | D | 25 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| L. Provod | F | 73 | 6.4 | — | — | 5 | — | 3 | 0/3 |
| M. Konečný | D | 5 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adam Rezek | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Zima | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Vlček | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Kolář | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Mlada Boleslav
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Šubert | M | 71 | 8.1 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 |
| O. Karafiát | D | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/2 |
| M. Hybš | D | 90 | 7.4 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| V. Vorel | G | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Králik | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. John | M | 89 | 6.8 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| D. Donát | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Letenay | F | 26 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Zachoval | D | 19 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| J. Klíma | F | 64 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| F. Špatenka | F | 26 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| D. Langhamer | M | 64 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1/2 |
| D. Kozel | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/5 |
| J. Kolářík | M | 1 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Matoušek | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Harušťák | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Pech | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Floder | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Grygar | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Havran | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Slavia Praha vs Mlada Boleslav?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Slavia Praha to win against Mlada Boleslav.
- What score did Fipster predict for Slavia Praha vs Mlada Boleslav?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Slavia Praha 4–0 Mlada Boleslav.
- What were the win probabilities for Slavia Praha vs Mlada Boleslav?
- Fipster's model gave Slavia Praha a 92% chance of winning, Mlada Boleslav a 4% chance, and a 4% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 92% confidence — a high-confidence call.