Slavia Praha vs Lens
Lens snatch late win at Slavia Praha
A thrilling finish sees Lens overturn the odds with two stoppage-time goals.
Lens secured a dramatic 3-2 victory over Slavia Praha in the UEFA Champions League, overturning the home side's lead twice. D. Šturm's brace for Slavia looked set to earn them points, but A. Sima's goal and a late double from F. Thauvin and R. Aguilar in stoppage time sealed a stunning comeback for Lens. This result defied Fipster's medium-confidence prediction of a Slavia win, proving the visitors' resilience in the dying moments.
Outcome probability
As the Group Stage unfolds, Slavia Praha and Lens prepare to face off in what promises to be a closely contested match. Both teams enter this fixture with full squads available, setting the stage for a competitive encounter.
Match factors
No key player absences for either team
Both Slavia Praha and Lens have no confirmed injuries, ensuring full squad availability.
Insufficient recent form data limits player impact predictions
Lack of recent match and player form data restricts ability to identify likely scorers or assisters.
League averages provide baseline but no standout performers identified
No individual player stats available to highlight above-average performers for either team.
The context
This Group Stage match sees Slavia Praha and Lens looking to gain early momentum. Neither side has any key player absences, which means both managers can field their strongest line-ups. With limited recent form data, the teams' performances in this competition will be crucial to their progression hopes.
Key facts
- 1.Slavia Praha have a 52.6% probability of winning this match.
- 2.The most likely full-time score is 2-1 in favour of Slavia Praha.
- 3.Draw probability stands at 24.9%, while Lens have a 22.8% chance of winning.
- 4.The most probable halftime score is 0-0, with 25% likelihood.
- 5.A total of four cards are expected during the match.
- 6.No key player absences for either team, ensuring full squad availability.
- 7.Recent form data is insufficient to highlight standout players or likely scorers.
Analysis
Aggregated probabilities favour a home win for Slavia Praha, with a 2-1 scoreline emerging as the most likely outcome. The predicted halftime score is less certain, with 0-0 and 1-1 both plausible. The match is expected to be competitive, with a moderate number of cards anticipated, reflecting a spirited but controlled contest.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Slavia Praha
Away — Lens
Prediction
We anticipate Slavia Praha to clinch a 2-1 victory over Lens. The home side's slight edge in probabilities suggests they will manage to break down Lens' defence while maintaining enough solidity at the back to secure all three points.
The verdict
In summary, expect a tight and engaging Group Stage match with Slavia Praha narrowly overcoming Lens. Both teams have their full squads available, so it should be a fair contest decided by fine margins.
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Head to Head
Zima
Card upgrade confirmed
Konečný
Red Card
Šturm
Assist: Isife
Ivanović
Ganiou
Yellow Card
Sagnan
Skóraś
Sima
Haidara
Sima
Kubiak
Chytil
Nowak
Isife
Šturm
Thauvin
Assist: Mesloub
Aguilar
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Aston Villa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 14 |  RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 |  Lens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 |  Lille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 |  Slavia Praha | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 |  Sporting CP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Match Statistics
Slavia Praha
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 2Š. ChaloupekD
- 4D. ZimaD
- 8O. KubiakM
- 10D. ŠturmM
- 13M. ChytilF
- 14S. IsifeM
- 20E. AyaosiM
- 23M. SadílekM
- 27T. VlčekD
- 30W. NowakM
- 35J. MarkovičG
Substitutes
- 22T. DiakitéM
- 25T. ChorýF
- 26I. SchranzF
- 29N. DomchakG
- 32Pavel KacorM
- 39D. JurásekD
- 42M. KonečnýD
- 43Eliáš PitákD
- 45J. KolísekD
Lens
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 5A. BulatovićM
- 10F. ThauvinM
- 14M. UdolM
- 19A. SimaM
- 21A. HaidaraM
- 22M. SkóraśM
- 25I. GaniouD
- 29F. IvanovićF
- 31S. SagnanD
- 32K. AntonioD
- 40R. RisserG
Substitutes
- 1R. GurtnerG
- 2R. AguilarD
- 4N. ÄelikD
- 7F. SotocaF
- 9T. HazardM
- 11O. ÉdouardF
- 16M. GorgelinG
- 20J. TodiboD
- 24J. GraditD
- 27M. CuisanceM
- 28J. KadileF
- 38Mezian MesloubM
Slavia Praha
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Šturm | M | 90 | 8.1 | 2 | — | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0/2 |
| S. Isife | M | 84 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| M. Sadílek | M | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 3 | — |
| J. Markovič | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Schranz | F | 6 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Š. Chaloupek | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | — |
| T. Chorý | F | 14 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Vlček | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| O. Kubiak | M | 76 | 6.1 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| M. Chytil | F | 76 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| D. Zima | D | 45 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Diakité | M | 8 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| W. Nowak | M | 82 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| D. Jurásek | D | 14 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Ayaosi | M | 90 | 5.4 | — | — | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0/4 |
| M. Konečný | D | 4 | 4.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eliáš Piták | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Domchak | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pavel Kacor | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Kolísek | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Lens
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Thauvin | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 8 | 3 | 4 | — |
| A. Sima | M | 75 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| R. Aguilar | D | 28 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Mezian Mesloub | M | 29 | 7.5 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 4 | 1/2 |
| F. Sotoca | F | 15 | 7.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| O. Édouard | F | 28 | 6.8 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2/4 |
| K. Antonio | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/3 |
| M. Udol | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 3 | — |
| A. Bulatović | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 4 | — | 3 | 0/1 |
| J. Kadile | F | 15 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| R. Risser | G | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Ganiou | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Haidara | M | 75 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Ivanović | F | 61 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/4 |
| S. Sagnan | D | 62 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Skóraś | M | 62 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| T. Hazard | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Gradit | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Cuisance | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Äelik | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Gorgelin | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Gurtner | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Todibo | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Slavia Praha vs Lens?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Slavia Praha to win against Lens.
- What score did Fipster predict for Slavia Praha vs Lens?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Slavia Praha 2–1 Lens.
- What were the win probabilities for Slavia Praha vs Lens?
- Fipster's model gave Slavia Praha a 53% chance of winning, Lens a 23% chance, and a 24% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 53% confidence — a medium-confidence call.