Sigma Olomouc vs Zbrojovka Brno
Match recap
Sigma Olomouc beat Zbrojovka Brno 3–0 in their Czech Liga fixture. Sejk, Soldo, and Sejk scored for Sigma Olomouc. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 2.84 for Sigma Olomouc versus 0.42 for Zbrojovka Brno. Sigma Olomouc sit 3rd in the Czech Liga table while Zbrojovka Brno are 8th.
Outcome probability
Sigma Olomouc and Zbrojovka Brno face off in the 13th round of the regular season, with the home side showing a slight edge in the league standings and attacking prowess.
Match factors
Home midfield scoring edge
Sigma Olomouc's midfielders, especially Ghali, outperform league averages in goals, providing a scoring advantage
Sejk's dual threat as scorer and assister
Václav Sejk leads Sigma Olomouc in goals and assists, boosting team's attacking potency
Vašulín's recent scoring form
Daniel Vašulín has scored 2 goals in last 5 matches, showing good form despite away challenges
Full squad availability
No confirmed injuries or absences for either team, allowing full strength lineups
The context
Sigma Olomouc currently sit 2nd in the league with 20 points from 11 games, while Zbrojovka Brno are close behind in 5th with 19 points. Both teams have demonstrated solid form, but Sigma's midfielders have been particularly effective in contributing goals this season.
Key insights
Ahmad Ghali
Sigma Olomouc
Midfielder Ghali scores at 0.36 goals per game, well above league average, providing a key scoring edge.
Czech Liga 26/274 goals in 11 appearances
Václav Sejk
Sigma Olomouc
Sejk is a dual threat as top scorer and assister, boosting Sigma's attacking potency.
Czech Liga 26/273 goals and 3 assists in 11 appearances
Daniel Vašulín
Zbrojovka Brno
Vašulín leads his team with 5 goals and has good recent away scoring form.
Czech Liga 26/275 goals in 11 appearances
Analysis
Sigma Olomouc's midfield, led by Ahmad Ghali, boasts a scoring rate well above the league average, providing a clear tactical advantage. Václav Sejk adds to the threat with his dual role as top scorer and assister for Sigma. Zbrojovka Brno's Daniel Vašulín remains a key player with recent scoring form, but the home side's overall attacking depth and full squad availability give them the upper hand.
Key facts
- 1.Sigma Olomouc rank 2nd with 20 points from 11 games (W6 D2 L3).
- 2.Zbrojovka Brno rank 5th with 19 points from 11 games (W6 D1 L4).
- 3.Sigma Olomouc's midfielders outperform league averages in goals scored.
- 4.Václav Sejk leads Sigma Olomouc in both goals and assists.
- 5.Daniel Vašulín is Zbrojovka Brno's top scorer with 5 goals this season.
- 6.No confirmed injuries for either team, allowing full-strength lineups.
- 7.Predicted halftime score is 1-0 in favour of Sigma Olomouc.
- 8.Total cards expected in the match are around four.
Prediction
The forecast strongly favours a home win, with Sigma Olomouc expected to lead 1-0 at halftime and extend their advantage to a 3-1 victory by fulltime. The match is also predicted to see around four cards, suggesting a competitive but controlled encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Sigma Olomouc
Away — Zbrojovka Brno
The verdict
With both teams at near full strength, Sigma Olomouc's superior midfield scoring and consistent attacking contributions should see them comfortably through this fixture. Zbrojovka Brno will need to tighten up defensively and find more from their forwards to challenge the hosts' dominance.
Prediction generated 24 Oct 2026, 14:53 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Léo Borges
Yellow Card
Sejk
Assist: Baráth
Pokorný
Yellow Card
Vaníček
Čavoš
Penxa
Carneiro Kaka
Yellow Card
Vedral
Yellow Card
Soldo
Assist: Ghali
Carneiro Kaka
Janošek
Goal cancelled
Sejk
Penalty
Soldo
Léo Borges
Vachoušek
Sejk
Ghali
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Slavia Praha | 13 | 9 | 4 | 0 | +25 | 31 |
| 2 |  Mlada Boleslav | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 24 |
| 3 |  Sigma Olomouc | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 24 |
| 4 |  Slovan Liberec | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +7 | 23 |
| 7 |  FK Jablonec | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | -2 | 20 |
| 8 |  Zbrojovka Brno | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 20 |
| 9 |  Plzen | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +7 | 19 |
Match Statistics
Sigma Olomouc
3-4-3Starting XI
- 3L. LurvinkD
- 4Léo BorgesD
- 7M. BeranM
- 10V. SejkF
- 14M. SoldoF
- 29A. EkerothM
- 33M. MalýD
- 39D. JanošekF
- 70A. GhaliM
- 88P. BaráthM
- 91Jan KoutnýG
Substitutes
- 5T. HukD
- 9J. KlimentF
- 11H. MikaelssonF
- 16F. SlavíčekD
- 17J. DembeF
- 24D. TkáčM
- 28I. BrzyskiM
- 31A. PavlešićG
- 98M. HruškaG
Zbrojovka Brno
3-4-3Starting XI
- 1A. HrdinaG
- 6Lukáš PenxaM
- 7Š. LangerM
- 8P. ČavošM
- 10A. VaníčekF
- 14T. VachoušekF
- 15D. VašulínF
- 26F. VedralD
- 38J. PokornýD
- 39J. KlímaD
- 44A. DantéM
Substitutes
- 3Kauan Carneiro KakaD
- 11M. RymarenkoF
- 18D. GranečnýD
- 19B. KanakimanaF
- 23P. ŠevčíkM
- 25T. BřečkaD
- 29P. ŽitnýM
- 68J. JanetzkýM
- 77L. EzehF
- 78O. ProdelalG
- 79S. AfolabiM
Sigma Olomouc
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Sejk | F | 89 | 8.2 | 2 | — | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0/2 |
| M. Soldo | F | 80 | 8.1 | 1 | — | 4 | 3 | — | 0/1 |
| Léo Borges | D | 80 | 8.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 4 | — |
| A. Ghali | M | 89 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| P. Baráth | M | 90 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| M. Malý | D | 90 | 7.4 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| L. Lurvink | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Huk | D | 10 | 7.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| F. Slavíček | D | 1 | 7.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Jan Koutný | G | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Tkáč | M | 10 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| M. Beran | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 5 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| J. Dembe | F | 1 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Mikaelsson | F | 16 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| D. Janošek | F | 74 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 4 | 1/1 |
| A. Ekeroth | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| M. Hruška | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Kliment | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Pavlešić | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Brzyski | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Zbrojovka Brno
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Hrdina | G | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Rymarenko | F | 9 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Janetzký | M | 44 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| A. Vaníček | F | 46 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Vachoušek | F | 81 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Ezeh | F | 44 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Granečný | D | 23 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| D. Vašulín | F | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Lukáš Penxa | M | 46 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| F. Vedral | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| P. Čavoš | M | 46 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Š. Langer | M | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| J. Pokorný | D | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Klíma | D | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kauan Carneiro Kaka | D | 21 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Danté | M | 90 | 5.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| O. Prodelal | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Ševčík | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Břečka | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Žitný | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Kanakimana | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Afolabi | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Sigma Olomouc vs Zbrojovka Brno?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Sigma Olomouc to win against Zbrojovka Brno.
- What score did Fipster predict for Sigma Olomouc vs Zbrojovka Brno?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Sigma Olomouc 3–1 Zbrojovka Brno.
- What were the win probabilities for Sigma Olomouc vs Zbrojovka Brno?
- Fipster's model gave Sigma Olomouc a 95% chance of winning, Zbrojovka Brno a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.