Sigma Olomouc vs Slovan Liberec
Olomouc stuns Liberec with early strike
M. Hadaš's 11th-minute goal secures a narrow home victory.
Sigma Olomouc edged out Slovan Liberec 1-0 thanks to an early goal from M. Hadaš. Despite Fipster's low-confidence prediction favouring an away win, the home side held firm to claim all three points in a tight contest. The result was a surprise upset against the forecast, proving the unpredictability of the Czech Liga.
Outcome probability
Sigma Olomouc and Slovan Liberec face off in the Czech league's 11th round, with both sides eager to climb the table. Liberec currently hold a higher league position, while Olomouc boast a solid home scoring record.
Match factors
Home team's attacking midfield strength
Sigma Olomouc's midfielders Ghali and Baráth show strong scoring and assisting form, providing multiple attacking threats.
Away team's defensive solidity
Slovan Liberec concedes only 0.6 goals per game on average, indicating a strong defense that could limit home scoring.
Dominik Janošek's creative form
Janošek leads Sigma Olomouc in assists with 3 this season, showing consistent creative influence in recent matches.
Away team's attacking threat from Mašek
Lukáš Mašek is Slovan Liberec's top scorer with 3 goals, especially effective at home, posing a key threat.
Home team's scoring consistency
Sigma Olomouc averages 1.8 goals per game at home, indicating a decent scoring potential despite predicted loss.
The context
Slovan Liberec sit second in the league with 20 points from 10 games, showing consistent form. Sigma Olomouc are fifth with 16 points from 9 matches, having won half their games. Their head-to-head history is fairly balanced, with Olomouc winning 10 of 20 encounters and Liberec 7, alongside 3 draws.
Key insights
Ahmad Ghali
Sigma Olomouc
Ghali’s 3 goals this season and strong away scoring form make him a key attacking threat for Olomouc.
Czech Liga 26/273 goals in 8 appearances, 0.375 goals/game
Dominik Janošek
Sigma Olomouc
Janošek leads Olomouc with 3 assists, showing consistent creative influence and set-piece threat.
Czech Liga 26/273 assists in 8 appearances, 0.375 assists/game
Lukáš Mašek
Slovan Liberec
Mašek is Liberec’s top scorer with 3 goals, especially effective at home, posing a key threat.
Czech Liga 26/273 goals in 9 appearances, 0.333 goals/game
Analysis
Liberec's defensive solidity is notable, conceding just 0.6 goals per game on average, which could frustrate Olomouc's attacking midfield duo of Ghali and Baráth, both of whom have contributed goals and assists this season. Liberec's Lukáš Mašek, their top scorer with 3 goals, poses a significant threat, especially given his strong home form. Meanwhile, Olomouc's Dominik Janošek leads in assists, providing creative spark. The match is expected to be moderately scoring, reflecting their head-to-head average of 2.4 goals per game.
Key facts
- 1.Sigma Olomouc have won 10 of 20 matches against Slovan Liberec, with 7 losses and 3 draws.
- 2.Slovan Liberec rank 2nd in the league with 20 points from 10 games (W6 D2 L2).
- 3.Sigma Olomouc rank 5th with 16 points from 9 games (W5 D1 L3).
- 4.Head-to-head matches average 2.4 goals, indicating moderate scoring games.
- 5.Slovan Liberec concede only 0.6 goals per game on average, showing defensive strength.
- 6.Dominik Janošek leads Sigma Olomouc with 3 assists this season.
- 7.Lukáš Mašek is Slovan Liberec's top scorer with 3 goals this season.
Prediction
The prediction leans towards an away win for Slovan Liberec with a 2-1 scoreline. Despite Olomouc's decent home scoring record, Liberec's defensive strength and attacking threat from Mašek are likely to tip the balance. The low confidence in this call suggests a closely contested match, but the edge goes to the visitors.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Sigma Olomouc
Away — Slovan Liberec
The verdict
Expect a competitive encounter with both teams showing attacking intent. Liberec's ability to keep things tight at the back and capitalise on chances should see them narrowly prevail. Olomouc will not go down without a fight, making this a match worth watching.
Prediction generated 11 Oct 2026, 14:56 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Hadaš
Assist: Tkáč
Stránský
Yellow Card
Goal cancelled
Mikulenka
Stránský
Tkáč
Hadaš
Original decision changed
Bužek
Yellow Card
Dulay
Basiladze
Sejk
Goal cancelled
Masopust
Kliment
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Slavia Praha | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | +20 | 27 |
| 2 |  Sigma Olomouc | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 20 |
| 3 |  Slovan Liberec | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +6 | 20 |
| 4 |  Mlada Boleslav | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 20 |
Match Statistics
Sigma Olomouc
3-4-3Starting XI
- 2A. SyllaD
- 4Léo BorgesD
- 7M. BeranM
- 10V. SejkF
- 14M. SoldoM
- 22M. HadašM
- 24D. TkáčF
- 33M. MalýD
- 39D. JanošekF
- 70A. GhaliM
- 91Jan KoutnýG
Substitutes
- 5T. HukD
- 8J. SpáčilM
- 9J. KlimentF
- 11H. MikaelssonF
- 16F. SlavíčekD
- 17J. DembeF
- 26S. NoumbissieD
- 29A. EkerothD
- 98M. HruškaG
Slovan Liberec
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5P. HodoušD
- 6A. BasiladzeM
- 8L. MasopustM
- 12V. StránskýM
- 19V. KušejM
- 24P. DulayM
- 25M. MikulenkaF
- 26J. BořilD
- 27A. KayondoD
- 29L. HůlkaD
- 40T. KoubekG
Substitutes
- 3J. MikulaD
- 9L. MašekF
- 15M. LexaM
- 16A. BužekM
- 18J. KoželuhD
- 28V. SychraM
- 33L. PešlG
- 77D. RusM
- 79E. MarsetičM
- 94Venuste BaboulaF
Sigma Olomouc
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan Koutný | G | 90 | 8.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Hadaš | M | 73 | 8.1 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | 0/2 |
| Léo Borges | D | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| D. Tkáč | F | 66 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 3 | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| A. Sylla | D | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| M. Malý | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Ekeroth | D | 17 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| M. Beran | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2/2 |
| D. Janošek | F | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1/2 |
| M. Soldo | M | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| J. Kliment | F | 24 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| H. Mikaelsson | F | 5 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Ghali | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/5 |
| V. Sejk | F | 85 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| F. Slavíček | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Dembe | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Huk | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Hruška | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Spáčil | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Noumbissie | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Slovan Liberec
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Venuste Baboula | F | 10 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1/2 |
| A. Kayondo | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| V. Kušej | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 6 | 1/2 |
| L. Hůlka | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| J. Bořil | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| L. Masopust | M | 89 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 2/2 |
| L. Mašek | F | 26 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| T. Koubek | G | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Basiladze | M | 80 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| A. Bužek | M | 25 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| P. Dulay | M | 80 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/2 |
| M. Mikulenka | F | 64 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Hodouš | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| V. Stránský | M | 65 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Marsetič | M | 1 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| M. Lexa | M | 10 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| J. Koželuh | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Mikula | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Rus | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Pešl | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Sychra | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Sigma Olomouc vs Slovan Liberec?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Slovan Liberec to win against Sigma Olomouc.
- What score did Fipster predict for Sigma Olomouc vs Slovan Liberec?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Sigma Olomouc 1–2 Slovan Liberec.
- What were the win probabilities for Sigma Olomouc vs Slovan Liberec?
- Fipster's model gave Sigma Olomouc a 32% chance of winning, Slovan Liberec a 35% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.