Sheffield Utd vs Wrexham
Brereton's strike secures narrow Blades win
Sheffield United edge out Wrexham with a solitary goal in a tight Championship clash
Sheffield United claimed a slender 1-0 victory over Wrexham thanks to B. Brereton's 30th-minute goal. Despite Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a more comfortable 3-0 win, the Blades had to settle for a narrower margin. Nonetheless, the prediction for a home win was spot on.
Outcome probability
Sheffield Utd and Wrexham face off in the 13th round of their league campaign, with both sides eager to climb the table. Sheffield Utd currently sit 11th, while Wrexham are just below in 14th, making this a crucial fixture for momentum.
Match factors
Sheffield Utd missing key defenders
Three defenders confirmed out weaken defensive depth and may increase attacking freedom for Wrexham
Sheffield Utd's midfield passing dominance
Sydie Peck's passing volume and accuracy exceed league averages, boosting Sheffield's control and chance creation
Wrexham's defensive solidity challenged by Sheffield's attacking form
Sheffield Utd's recent scoring streak and home form suggest they will pressure Wrexham's defense heavily
Wrexham's inconsistent away form limits scoring chances
Wrexham have struggled to score consistently away, reducing their threat against Sheffield Utd
The context
Sheffield Utd have shown solid form at home, balancing wins and draws to accumulate 16 points from 12 games. Wrexham, with 14 points from 11 matches, have struggled to find consistency, especially on the road. Their head-to-head history is evenly matched, with two wins apiece and one draw in five meetings, setting the stage for a competitive encounter.
Key insights
- S
Sydie Peck
Sheffield Utd
Peck's passing volume and creativity give Sheffield Utd midfield control and chance creation advantage.
Championship 26/27Averages 39.3 passes per game vs league average 30.9
Analysis
Sheffield Utd's midfield, led by Sydie Peck, boasts a passing volume well above the league average, providing a creative edge that Wrexham will find hard to contain. Defensively, Sheffield Utd face challenges with key defenders missing, but their attacking form and home advantage should compensate. Wrexham's defensive solidity is likely to be tested heavily, compounded by their inconsistent away scoring record. The prediction leans heavily towards a Sheffield Utd win, with a halftime lead of 1-0 and a final scoreline of 3-0.
Key facts
- 1.Sheffield Utd are 11th in the league with 16 points from 12 games (W4 D4 L4).
- 2.Wrexham are 14th with 14 points from 11 games (W3 D5 L3).
- 3.In 5 head-to-head matches, Sheffield Utd and Wrexham have each won twice, with one draw.
- 4.Sheffield Utd's Sydie Peck averages 39.3 passes per game, well above the league midfielder average of 30.9.
- 5.Sheffield Utd are missing three key defenders, impacting their defensive depth.
- 6.Wrexham have struggled to score consistently away from home this season.
- 7.The predicted halftime score is 1-0 in favour of Sheffield Utd.
- 8.The most probable fulltime scoreline is 3-0 to Sheffield Utd.
Prediction
Expect Sheffield Utd to take control early, securing a 1-0 lead by halftime. Their superior midfield control and attacking prowess should see them extend the lead comfortably in the second half, culminating in a 3-0 victory. The match is also expected to be moderately physical, with around four cards likely to be shown.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Sheffield Utd
Away — Wrexham
The verdict
In summary, Sheffield Utd's home form and midfield dominance make them strong favourites to claim all three points against Wrexham. While Wrexham will put up a fight, their away struggles and Sheffield's attacking threat suggest a clear home win.
Prediction generated 24 Oct 2026, 15:52 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Doyle
Yellow Card
Brereton
Hyam
Rathbone
Kitching
Yellow Card
Phillips
Yellow Card
Ayew
Chong
Ekomié
Sheaf
Kaboré
Brereton
Choudhury
Donovan
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +10 | 25 |
| 9 |  QPR | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +2 | 19 |
| 11 |  Blackburn | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 17 |  Cardiff | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 18 |  Wrexham | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 14 |
| 19 |  Bolton | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 14 |
Match Statistics
Sheffield Utd
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1M. CooperG
- 5J. TangangaD
- 8H. ChoudhuryD
- 10J. AyewF
- 11R. DonovanM
- 14H. BurrowsD
- 15L. KitchingD
- 19T. ChongM
- 22B. BreretonF
- 27K. PhillipsM
- 42Sydie PeckM
Substitutes
- 3S. McCallumD
- 4O. ArblasterM
- 7J. RothwellM
- 9T. CannonF
- 23T. CampbellF
- 25M. McGuinnessD
- 38F. SerikiD
- 44J. RiedewaldM
Wrexham
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 2C. DoyleD
- 3J. EkomiéM
- 5D. HyamD
- 6J. WorrallD
- 12I. KaboréM
- 18B. SheafM
- 19K. MooreF
- 20O. RathboneM
- 22A. PattersonG
- 27L. O'BrienM
- 37M. JamesM
Substitutes
- 4M. CleworthD
- 8B. WhitemanM
- 11B. CadamarteriF
- 14G. ThomasonM
- 15G. DobsonM
- 21D. WardG
- 26Z. VynerD
- 28S. SmithF
- 30Daniel Edward Peter ImrayD
Sheffield Utd
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Brereton | F | 79 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| H. Burrows | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| J. Tanganga | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| K. Phillips | M | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| M. McGuinness | D | 4 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Arblaster | M | 11 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Choudhury | D | 86 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Kitching | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Sydie Peck | M | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1/1 |
| R. Donovan | M | 86 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 3/6 |
| T. Cannon | F | 21 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| T. Campbell | F | 4 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| M. Cooper | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Chong | M | 69 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/3 |
| F. Seriki | D | 21 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| J. Ayew | F | 69 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| J. Baptiste | — | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. McCallum | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Riedewald | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wrexham
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Hyam | D | 46 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Smith | F | 44 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| A. Patterson | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. James | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| G. Thomason | M | 17 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| B. Sheaf | M | 73 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Worrall | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Kaboré | M | 73 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| K. Moore | F | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| L. O'Brien | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| O. Rathbone | M | 46 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Daniel Edward Peter Imray | D | 17 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| M. Cleworth | D | 44 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| G. Dobson | M | 17 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| J. Ekomié | M | 73 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| C. Doyle | D | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| B. Cadamarteri | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Z. Vyner | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Whiteman | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Ward | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Sheffield Utd vs Wrexham?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Sheffield Utd to win against Wrexham.
- What score did Fipster predict for Sheffield Utd vs Wrexham?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Sheffield Utd 3–0 Wrexham.
- What were the win probabilities for Sheffield Utd vs Wrexham?
- Fipster's model gave Sheffield Utd a 95% chance of winning, Wrexham a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.