Shamrock Rovers vs Floriana
- First leg:
- Floriana 2 0 Shamrock Rovers
- Aggregate:
- Shamrock Rovers 5 3 Floriana
- Advances:
- Shamrock Rovers
Match recap
Shamrock Rovers beat Floriana 5–1 in their UEFA Champions League fixture. Grace, Watts, McGovern, Burke, and Byrne scored for Shamrock Rovers. Shamrock Rovers held 56% possession to 44% for Floriana.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
3-1 Shamrock Rovers win
Actual
5–1
Outcome probability
The opening round of the 1st Qualifying Round sees Shamrock Rovers and Floriana face off in what promises to be an engaging encounter. Both teams have shown glimpses of quality, but the home side's attacking prowess and midfield dominance could prove decisive.
Match factors
Shamrock Rovers' midfield dominance
Shamrock Rovers' midfielders Watts and Byrne have high goal and assist rates, controlling play and creating chances
Strong home scoring form for Shamrock Rovers
Shamrock Rovers average 3.5 goals per home game, well above league average, boosting scorer probabilities
Watts' recent assist streak
Dylan Watts has 2 assists in his last home game, showing excellent recent creative form
Full squad availability for both teams
No confirmed injuries or absences, so all key players remain available to influence the match
The context
Shamrock Rovers have played four matches in this competition so far this season, with a record of two wins and two losses, scoring seven goals and conceding six. Floriana have played two matches, winning one and losing one, with three goals scored and five conceded. The two sides have met twice before in this competition, each winning once, so there is a bit of history to this fixture.
Key insights

Dylan Watts
Shamrock Rovers
Dylan Watts has been a key creative force with 2 assists in his last home game, driving Shamrock Rovers' midfield dominance.
UEFA Champions League 26/272 assists in 1 appearance in this competition

J. Byrne
Shamrock Rovers
J. Byrne contributed both a goal and an assist in the last home match versus Floriana, highlighting his importance in attack.
UEFA Champions League 26/271 goal, 1 assist in 1 appearance in this competition

T. Gudelj
Floriana
T. Gudelj is Floriana's top scorer and main attacking threat, having scored in the last match against Shamrock Rovers.
UEFA Champions League 26/271 goal in 1 appearance in this competition
Analysis
Shamrock Rovers boast a strong home scoring record, averaging 3.5 goals per home game, which bodes well for their attacking output in this match. Midfielders Dylan Watts and J. Byrne have been instrumental, combining for multiple goals and assists, giving the Rovers control in the middle of the park. Floriana's main threat comes from T. Gudelj, who has found the net recently, but the visitors may struggle to contain the Rovers' offensive firepower. Level after 90 minutes and Fipster expects extra time to settle nothing either — this one has penalty shootout written all over it, with Shamrock Rovers tipped to hold their nerve from the spot. The graded markets reflect the score at the end of extra time, and any penalty-shootout call is a who-goes-through tip, not a scored prediction.
Key facts
- 1.Shamrock Rovers have played 4 matches in this competition (W2 D0 L2, GF 7 / GA 6).
- 2.Floriana have played 2 matches in this competition (W1 D0 L1, GF 3 / GA 5).
- 3.In 2 head-to-head meetings, Shamrock Rovers have won 1, Floriana have won 1, with 0 draws.
- 4.Shamrock Rovers average 3.5 goals per home game, well above league average.
- 5.Dylan Watts provided 2 assists in his last home game, showing excellent creative form.
- 6.J. Byrne contributed both a goal and an assist in the last home match against Floriana.
- 7.T. Gudelj is Floriana's top scorer with 1 goal in this competition.
Prediction
The prediction favours a home win for Shamrock Rovers with a final score of 3-1. This outcome is supported by the home side's superior attacking form and midfield creativity, which should be enough to overcome Floriana's resistance.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Shamrock Rovers
Away — Floriana
The verdict
In summary, Shamrock Rovers look well placed to secure a comfortable victory thanks to their strong home form and key contributions from midfield. Floriana will need to tighten up defensively and find a way to contain the Rovers' creative outlets if they are to avoid defeat.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 11:36 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Grace
Assist: Byrne
Goal
Watts
McGovern
Assist: Watts
Murić
Burke
Assist: Mulraney
Unknown
Mulraney
McGovern
Yellow Card
Unknown
Byrne
Assist: Watts
Watts
Yellow Card
Unknown
Watts
Burke
McGovern
Vella
Yellow Card
Razi
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
Shamrock Rovers
3-5-2Starting XI
- 1E. McGintyG
- 4PicoD
- 5L. GraceD
- 7D. WattsM
- 10G. BurkeF
- 11J. MulraneyM
- 19A. BrennanM
- 26J. O'Sullivan
- 27C. O'SullivanD
- 29J. ByrneM
- 88J. McGovernF
Substitutes
- 3E. StevensD
- 15M. AsamoahF
- 17L. O'Regan
- 18J. AfolabiF
- 22T. SobowaleD
- 23C. MalleyM
- 25L. SteacyG
- 28N. RaziM
- 31M. NoonanF
- 33C. BarrettD
- 38M. Kovalevskis
- 41Alex NoonanG
Floriana
4-4-2Starting XI
- 3M. BeermanD
- 4Kauan
- 10F. VarelaM
- 11R. MurićM
- 14A. KurtalicM
- 16Chapi
- 17O. SpiteriD
- 19M. JahF
- 21C. Zammit LonardelliM
- 22T. Gudelj
- 23G. Cioletti
Substitutes
- 5G. RodgersD
- 6Amar Drina
- 8Z. ScerriM
- 9K. DervisagicF
- 12D. VellaM
- 20E. PiscopoM
- 27Z. Vella NewellM
- 80PicónG
- 88Curtis N Dri AngeF
Shamrock Rovers
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Malley | M | 13 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Burke | F | 77 | 0.0 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Mulraney | M | 65 | 0.0 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| J. Byrne | M | 90 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| L. Grace | D | 90 | 0.0 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pico | D | 90 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Watts | M | 77 | 0.0 | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| E. McGinty | G | 90 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Steacy | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Afolabi | F | 13 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. McGovern | F | 77 | 0.0 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Sobowale | D | 25 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Asamoah | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| John O'Sullivan | M | 77 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. O'Sullivan | D | 90 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Razi | F | 13 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Barrett | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. O'Regan | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Noonan | F | 13 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Brennan | M | 90 | 0.0 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Max Kovaleskis | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Noonan | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Floriana
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Murić | M | 52 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Vella | M | 26 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Guilherme Cioletti | G | 90 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Beerman | D | 90 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Z. Scerri | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Zammit Lonardelli | D | 90 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Gudelj | F | 71 | 0.0 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chapi Romano | M | 64 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kauan | D | 90 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Drina | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Shamrock Rovers vs Floriana?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Shamrock Rovers to win against Floriana.
- What score did Fipster predict for Shamrock Rovers vs Floriana?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Shamrock Rovers 3–1 Floriana.
- What were the win probabilities for Shamrock Rovers vs Floriana?
- Fipster's model gave Shamrock Rovers a 35% chance of winning, Floriana a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.






