Sevilla vs Valencia
Sevilla clinch narrow win over Valencia
Juan Iglesias' late strike secures all three points for Sevilla.
Sevilla edged past Valencia with a solitary goal from Juan Iglesias in the 81st minute, sealing a tight 1-0 victory. The match was a closely contested affair, with the decisive moment coming after the break. Fipster's prediction of a home win was spot on, though the exact scoreline proved a bit optimistic.
Outcome probability
The new season kicks off with an intriguing clash between Sevilla, also known as Los Nervionenses, and Valencia. Both teams have reshaped their squads over the summer, setting the stage for a competitive encounter.
Key facts
- 1.Sevilla are ranked 13th in their league with 43 points from 38 games last season.
- 2.Valencia finished 9th with 49 points from 38 games last season.
- 3.Valencia have a superior goal difference by 5 goals compared to Sevilla last season.
- 4.Sevilla have signed Juan Iglesias on a free transfer ahead of the new season.
- 5.Valencia have added Arnau Martínez permanently and two players on loan: K. van Oevelen and Pablo Maffeo.
- 6.Sevilla have lost three players: A. Adams, D. Sow, and N. Gudelj.
- 7.The predicted halftime score is 1-0 in favour of Sevilla.
- 8.The expected total number of cards in the match is four.
The context
Sevilla have welcomed Juan Iglesias on a free transfer while parting ways with A. Adams, D. Sow, and N. Gudelj. Valencia have strengthened their ranks with the loan signings of K. van Oevelen and Pablo Maffeo, alongside the permanent arrival of Arnau Martínez. These changes will influence how both sides approach this eagerly awaited opener.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Sevilla
Away — Valencia
Analysis
Despite Valencia's slightly better goal difference last season and a higher league finish, the prediction leans towards a home win for Sevilla. The modal fulltime scoreline is 2-1, with Sevilla expected to take a 1-0 lead into halftime. The match is also anticipated to be competitive, with around four cards likely to be shown, reflecting a spirited contest between these two sides.
Prediction
The forecast is for Sevilla to secure a 2-1 victory over Valencia. The home side is expected to start strongly, grabbing an early lead and holding on despite Valencia's efforts to equalise and push for a win.
The verdict
This season opener promises excitement as Sevilla look to capitalise on their summer reinforcements and home advantage. Valencia will test them, but the edge goes to Los Nervionenses in what should be a closely fought encounter.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Tárrega
Sato
Yellow Card
Martínez
Sato
Isaac
Sierra
Ejuke
Yellow Card
Fofana
Juan Iglesias
Assist: Kochorashvili
José Gayà
Félix Correia
Javi Guerra
Stassin
Pablo Maffeo
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
Sevilla
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1O. VlachodimosG
- 2Juan IglesiasD
- 4Kike SalasD
- 5Andrés CastrínD
- 6L. AgouméM
- 16IsaacF
- 17G. SuazoD
- 19L. StassinF
- 20Félix CorreiaM
- 24Y. FofanaM
- 30M. SierraM
Substitutes
- 3Julio Díaz del RomoD
- 7Alfon GonzálezF
- 8G. KochorashviliM
- 9R. UreF
- 10Peque FernándezF
- 13Fran GonzálezG
- 14Manu BuenoM
- 18Jon GuridiM
- 21C. EjukeF
- 22José Ángel CarmonaD
- 23MarcãoD
Valencia
4-4-1-1Starting XI
- 1S. DimitrievskiG
- 5César TárregaD
- 7A. DanjumaF
- 8Javi GuerraM
- 14José GayàD
- 15A. DiengM
- 18PepeluD
- 22Arnau MartínezD
- 23F. UgrinicM
- 27David OtorbiM
- 39R. SatoM
Substitutes
- 9Hugo DuroF
- 10H. ElliottM
- 12J. de HaasD
- 19Dani RabaF
- 21Jesús VázquezD
- 24Pablo MaffeoD
- 25K. van OevelenG
- 29Alex PanachD
- 33Aaron MayolM
- 36Iker CórdobaD
- 37Aimar BlázquezF
- 38Jaume DuráM
Sevilla
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kike Salas | D | 90 | 7.4 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| G. Suazo | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Juan Iglesias | D | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Andrés Castrín | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| O. Vlachodimos | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Kochorashvili | M | 19 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Y. Fofana | M | 71 | 6.8 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 1/3 |
| Julio Díaz del Romo | D | 7 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Agoumé | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Jon Guridi | M | 7 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Ure | F | 27 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| M. Sierra | M | 63 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| L. Stassin | F | 83 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Félix Correia | M | 83 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2/4 |
| C. Ejuke | F | 27 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/6 |
| Isaac | F | 63 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/3 |
| Peque Fernández | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| José Ángel Carmona | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Manu Bueno | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fran González | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcão | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alfon González | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Valencia
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Ugrinic | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| A. Dieng | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| José Gayà | D | 83 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iker Córdoba | D | 66 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| César Tárrega | D | 24 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Dimitrievski | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Javi Guerra | M | 83 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 4/5 |
| Jesús Vázquez | D | 7 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pepelu | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hugo Duro | F | 7 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Elliott | M | 28 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Otorbi | M | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/3 |
| A. Danjuma | F | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/3 |
| Pablo Maffeo | D | 28 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Sato | M | 62 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Arnau Martínez | D | 62 | 5.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Alex Panach | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aimar Blázquez | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. van Oevelen | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. de Haas | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dani Raba | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aaron Mayol | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jaume Durá | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Sevilla vs Valencia?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Sevilla to win against Valencia.
- What score did Fipster predict for Sevilla vs Valencia?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Sevilla 2–1 Valencia.
- What were the win probabilities for Sevilla vs Valencia?
- Fipster's model gave Sevilla a 95% chance of winning, Valencia a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.