Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid storm Sevilla with Baena brace
Álex Baena's early double sets the tone for a commanding Atletico victory.
Atletico Madrid took control early with Álex Baena scoring twice before the half-hour mark, complemented by A. Lookman's strike to build a strong lead. Sevilla managed a consolation goal through M. Sierra after the break, but it was too little too late as Atletico secured a 3-1 win. Fipster's prediction of an away win was on the money, though the margin was more emphatic than expected.
Outcome probability
The new La Liga season kicks off with a tantalising fixture between Sevilla and Atletico Madrid. Both teams have been busy in the transfer market, shaping their squads for the challenges ahead. Sevilla welcome Juan Iglesias on a free transfer while bidding farewell to A. Sánchez. Atletico Madrid have strengthened their ranks with the signing of M. Hjulmand, but have seen A. Griezmann depart as a free agent. This match promises to be a keenly contested affair as both sides look to start the campaign on a positive note.
Key facts
- 1.Atletico Madrid have a better goal difference than Sevilla from last season.
- 2.Sevilla signed Juan Iglesias on a free transfer ahead of the new season.
- 3.Atletico Madrid strengthened their squad with the transfer of M. Hjulmand.
- 4.Sevilla released A. Sánchez as a free agent during the summer.
- 5.Atletico Madrid lost A. Griezmann on a free transfer this summer.
- 6.The predicted halftime score is 0-1 in favour of Atletico Madrid.
- 7.A total of four cards are expected in this competitive fixture.
- 8.Atletico Madrid had a higher points-per-game than Sevilla last season.
The context
Sevilla and Atletico Madrid enter this fixture with fresh squads and fresh ambitions. The Nervionenses will be keen to leverage their home advantage and new additions to climb the table, while Los Colchoneros aim to build on their solid foundations from last season. The early stages of the season often set the tone, and both teams will be eager to make a statement in this third round of the regular season.
Analysis
The prediction leans towards an away win for Atletico Madrid, with a 2-1 scoreline the most probable outcome. The forecast suggests Atletico will take an early lead, reflected in the halftime score prediction of 0-1. Despite Sevilla's efforts, Atletico's superior goal difference and points-per-game from last season hint at their ability to edge out a victory. The match is expected to be competitive, with a total of four cards predicted, indicating a spirited contest.
Prediction
Expect Atletico Madrid to clinch a 2-1 victory over Sevilla. The away side is likely to strike first and maintain their advantage through the first half, with Sevilla pulling one back later on. The game should be lively, with a handful of bookings adding to the intensity.
The verdict
This season opener promises a tight encounter with Atletico Madrid narrowly prevailing. Both teams have made key changes over the summer, but Atletico's edge in squad strength and last season's metrics suggest they will start the campaign with a win. Fans can look forward to a competitive match filled with tactical battles and moments of individual brilliance.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Álex Baena
Assist: Lee Kang-In
Lookman
Assist: Barrios
Álex Baena
Assist: Llorente
Llorente
Yellow Card
Julio Díaz del Romo
Guridi
Lookman
Llorente
Sierra
Assist: Ure
Peque Fernández
Lee Kang-In
Sierra
Álex Baena
Hjulmand
Isaac
Yellow Card
Suazo
Yellow Card
Pubill
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +10 | 9 |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 9 |
| 3 |  Atletico Madrid | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 |
| 4 |  Alaves | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 |
| 5 |  Osasuna | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 7 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 7 |  Real Betis | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 6 |
Match Statistics
Sevilla
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1O. VlachodimosG
- 2Juan IglesiasD
- 3Julio Díaz del RomoM
- 4Kike SalasD
- 5Andrés CastrínD
- 6L. AgouméM
- 9R. UreF
- 10Peque FernándezM
- 17G. SuazoD
- 18Jon GuridiM
- 30Miguel ÁngelM
Substitutes
- 7Alfon GonzálezF
- 8G. KochorashviliM
- 12A. SanganteD
- 13Fran GonzálezG
- 16IsaacF
- 21C. EjukeF
- 22José Ángel CarmonaD
- 28Manu BuenoM
- 37I. SowF
Atletico Madrid
4-4-2Starting XI
- 7Lee Kang-InF
- 8Pablo BarriosM
- 10Álex BaenaF
- 11A. LookmanM
- 13J. OblakG
- 14Marcos LlorenteD
- 17D. HanckoD
- 18Marc PubillD
- 20G. SimeoneM
- 22Álex GrimaldoD
- 23M. HjulmandM
Substitutes
- 1J. MussoG
- 2J. GiménezD
- 4Rodrigo MendozaM
- 5J. CardosoM
- 6KokeM
- 12Carlos MartínF
- 21C. RomeroD
- 30Dani MartÃnezD
Sevilla
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Sierra | M | 80 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 4 | 3 | 2 | 4/5 |
| Kike Salas | D | 91 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Lucien Agoumé | M | 91 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Peque Fernández | M | 68 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Andres Castrin | D | 91 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Juan Iglesias | D | 91 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Julio Díaz | M | 55 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Robbie Ure | F | 91 | 6.2 | — | 1 | 3 | — | 1 | — |
| Jon Guridi | M | 55 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| Gabriel Suazo(C) | D | 91 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 5 | — |
| Odysseas Vlachodimos | G | 91 | 5.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Nico Guillén | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iker Muñoz | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fran González | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Manu Bueno | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| José Ángel Carmona | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arouna Sangante | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chidera Ejuke | F | 36 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 4/5 |
| Giorgi Kochorashvili | M | 36 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Alfon González | F | 11 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Isaac Romero | F | 23 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Atletico Madrid
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Baena | F | 85 | 9.3 | 2 | — | 3 | 2 | 3 | — |
| Pablo Barrios | M | 91 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2/2 |
| Ademola Lookman | M | 66 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2/3 |
| Marcos Llorente | D | 66 | 7.6 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Morten Hjulmand | M | 85 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Kang-in Lee | F | 72 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 3/5 |
| Dávid Hancko | D | 91 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marc Pubill | D | 91 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Jan Oblak(C) | G | 91 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alejandro Grimaldo | D | 91 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Giuliano Simeone | M | 91 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Juan Musso | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cristian Romero | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Johnny Cardoso | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carlos Martín | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Mendoza | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dani Martinez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miguel Cubo | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| José María Giménez | D | 25 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Koke | M | 19 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |